Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2.83K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.64K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

9 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$9.98K

$9.98K lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.11K

Open exposure

$9.88K

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 06:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

91% 100% +$2,826

Crypto

6% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	+11,666	$4,220	65¢	$7.6K	+$3,334	05-10 04:53
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	-7,589	$-2,770	18¢	$-1328	+$1,441	05-10 06:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-1,000	$-591	69¢	$-688	$-97	05-09 00:31
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,563	$345	12¢	$308	$-38	05-09 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 06:22:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,951	38¢	$1,864	0x79e2fd…
05-10 06:22:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,638	34¢	$905	0x8f9246…
05-10 04:53:38	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,666	36¢	$4,220	0xcce9d9…
05-09 04:06:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	43¢	$83	0x9758de…
05-09 04:06:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	649	43¢	$279	0xa50129…
05-09 04:05:19	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,994	42¢	$1,668	0xa87380…
05-09 00:34:49	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,563	13¢	$345	0x390c23…
05-09 00:31:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	59¢	$591	0xd3658f…
05-06 23:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,605	1¢	$20	0x31cb0a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	4	$13.9K	210	05-10 23:12
Careful-Providence 0xf993…cd9d	4	$2.01K	9	05-10 13:57
Cool-Impostor 0x04a2…e16c	4	$622	11	05-10 22:10
Genuine-Mentor 0xa5d8…415c	3	$1.16K	4	05-07 14:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$4.2K	11,666	0	+11,666	open	—	05-10 04:53
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$2.8K	0	7,589	-7,589	open	—	05-10 06:22
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	3	$2.0K	4,836	0	+4,836	Yes	+$2,806	05-09 04:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$591	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	05-09 00:31
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	1	$345	2,563	0	+2,563	open	—	05-09 00:34
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$20	0	2,605	-2,605	No	+$20	05-06 23:43