Immaterial-Brushing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$338

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

155

Trades

350

lifetime

Volume

$2.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 18:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

76% 51% -$330

Politics

24% 53% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	2	$144	77	77	+0	No	+$2	05-26 14:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$131	81	81	+0	Yes	-$8	05-15 18:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	7	$114	368	368	+0	open	—	10-26 11:36
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	2	$98	64	64	+0	Over	-$1	06-18 18:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	1	$79	87	0	+87	Yes	+$8	10-18 17:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$75	179	179	+0	open	—	10-26 11:36
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	4	$75	88	88	+0	No	-$18	03-10 07:54
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	1	$57	136	0	+136	Under	-$57	06-26 20:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	2	$56	35	35	+0	Yes	+$1	10-12 12:35
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	2	$54	109	109	+0	No	+$4	05-23 07:03
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$50	79	79	+0	No	+$0	05-22 20:03
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 5pt5	5	$49	101	101	+0	Under	-$29	06-26 20:46
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	3	$40	27	27	+0	No	+$9	04-22 07:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$38	41	0	+41	Yes	+$3	10-27 18:42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$36	26	26	+0	No	+$11	05-24 15:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	2	$35	166	166	+0	open	—	10-26 11:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$33	508	508	+0	Yes	-$3	03-01 08:54
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)	2	$32	21	21	+0	FC Bayern München	+$9	04-25 15:12
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	3	$31	29	29	+0	Over	-$1	05-09 18:03
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	2	$31	26	26	+0	No	+$11	05-10 17:48
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	4	$29	21	21	+0	Yes	+$5	03-18 19:05
sea int cag 2026 04 17 int	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	04-17 20:00
epl ars sun 2026 02 07 total 2pt5	2	$26	19	19	+0	Over	+$11	02-07 17:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$25	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 13:36
epl sun mac 2026 01 01 total 2pt5	4	$25	320	0	+320	Under	-$25	01-01 21:37
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	2	$24	28	28	+0	Parma Calcio 1913	+$2	05-17 11:34
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5	2	$23	13	13	+0	Over	+$3	05-02 15:08
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Score	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	04-26 15:13
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 first half team total away 1pt5	2	$23	53	53	+0	Under	-$22	06-27 21:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	2	$23	19	19	+0	No	+$6	04-25 15:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:42:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	94¢	$38	0x69880e…
10-26 11:36:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	136	9¢	$12	0xe0ec5f…
10-26 11:36:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	152	3¢	$5	0x330af1…
10-26 11:36:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	93	14¢	$13	0x5afe14…
10-26 11:36:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	166	5¢	$8	0x65c04b…
10-24 04:48:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	136	17¢	$23	0x801d67…
10-24 04:47:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	93	24¢	$22	0xb2ca91…
10-24 03:47:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	152	10¢	$15	0x092acd…
10-24 03:45:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	166	16¢	$26	0xcbae27…
10-23 16:28:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	103	16¢	$17	0x907bec…
10-23 15:45:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	103	16¢	$16	0xa54cf6…
10-18 17:25:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	87	91¢	$79	0xf472b6…
10-18 16:39:15	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xf0b3a6…
10-17 08:48:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	86	21¢	$18	0xd5cf23…
10-17 08:48:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	129	16¢	$21	0x66c945…
10-17 05:54:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb3ac10…
10-16 19:13:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0xe0fb08…
10-16 19:03:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	86	25¢	$22	0x536e47…
10-12 12:35:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	35	81¢	$28	0xda3c87…
10-12 09:56:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	79¢	$27	0xdd1dad…
08-01 18:03:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0xf62418…
07-22 18:57:25	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xa09914…
06-29 21:12:55	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x687fb4…
06-29 19:48:11	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x108027…
06-27 22:21:56	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0xe4aed7…
06-27 21:43:08	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xee969f…
06-27 21:40:59	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 first half team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0xb9ab00…
06-27 20:54:58	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 first half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	53	42¢	$22	0x99012e…
06-26 20:59:55	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	136	42¢	$57	0x697f2c…
06-26 20:55:43	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x362130…
06-26 20:55:05	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x0ea59c…
06-26 20:50:08	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x16687e…
06-26 20:46:37	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	101	10¢	$10	0xf5a938…
06-26 20:33:31	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x38916d…
06-26 20:29:47	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0xbd8191…
06-26 20:26:23	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	23	42¢	$9	0x2b6cd9…
06-26 20:09:05	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xb992cc…
06-22 17:40:29	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xd10118…
06-22 17:19:01	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x197a6b…
06-20 21:38:47	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x233a56…
06-20 21:20:01	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb0fb5e…
06-20 21:03:53	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x48123c…
06-20 18:10:46	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0xe400ae…
06-18 20:09:02	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0x1d81fa…
06-18 18:42:41	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	64	76¢	$49	0x08fed8…
06-18 18:01:17	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	64	77¢	$49	0x131f02…
06-18 15:40:40	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xdd5a62…
06-17 18:20:37	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0xa93fb0…
06-17 17:10:37	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa418d4…
06-16 20:50:08	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x10d585…
06-16 20:45:28	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x1da4f7…
06-16 20:20:50	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x1f9951…
06-16 19:41:41	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x66c150…
06-15 20:27:01	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xdb9cfd…
06-15 19:42:19	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x3d65b0…
06-15 17:25:04	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x15ca42…
06-15 16:46:43	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6ff919…
05-26 14:41:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	SELL	77	94¢	$73	0x9592c6…
05-26 07:38:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	77	92¢	$71	0x510597…
05-24 15:12:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	26	92¢	$23	0xe89f4c…
05-24 09:40:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	26	49¢	$12	0xe96610…
05-23 13:36:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x793c5b…
05-23 07:49:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x72a1a1…
05-23 07:03:37	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	109	27¢	$29	0x899341…
05-22 20:44:50	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xdd9b59…
05-22 20:03:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	79	32¢	$25	0x8a3b67…
05-22 19:53:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0x7462e5…
05-22 11:37:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	26	31¢	$8	0xcb3244…
05-21 19:44:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x54e6b9…
05-21 19:43:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x253b0d…
05-19 19:56:01	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x49fe6c…
05-19 19:35:50	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xc41e4d…
05-18 20:32:14	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xd698db…
05-17 20:07:24	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xdec695…
05-17 20:03:10	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x5f0521…
05-17 17:43:59	Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0xe7a029…
05-17 17:24:00	Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0x486e7d…
05-17 11:35:31	Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0xa78983…
05-17 11:34:02	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	SELL	28	46¢	$13	0xd974b9…
05-17 11:20:51	Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	21	46¢	$9	0x939567…
05-17 11:11:33	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0xf4faf6…
05-16 14:49:15	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xcda6c8…
05-15 18:06:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	81	76¢	$62	0xf9d904…
05-15 08:52:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	81	86¢	$70	0x7ae2b7…
05-10 20:42:59	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x688b48…
05-10 17:48:14	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	No	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0xa23439…
05-10 17:44:01	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc3665f…
05-10 17:09:23	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	AS Roma	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0x9efd6f…
05-10 17:06:11	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	AS Roma	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x70f1f9…
05-10 12:15:50	Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0x6c5a4b…
05-10 11:54:53	Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x1454d8…
05-09 19:00:12	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x78e914…
05-09 18:32:32	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xb08c49…
05-09 18:19:54	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0xca4a63…
05-09 18:12:00	VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0xf2832f…
05-09 18:10:15	VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x12614a…
05-09 18:03:30	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	29	54¢	$15	0x72e94e…
05-09 17:12:45	VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x5b9a1c…
05-09 17:08:04	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xc90ca9…
05-09 17:02:50	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x45f18d…