Accurate-Pupa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-13 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-0

Sports

19% 0% $-0

Crypto

15% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by April 30?	8	$989	513	513	+0	open	—	03-31 02:41
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$642	332	332	+0	open	—	03-15 13:35
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$635	327	327	+0	open	—	03-19 01:00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$612	319	319	+0	No	$-0	03-27 11:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$586	307	307	+0	open	—	03-27 04:42
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$333	171	171	+0	open	—	03-12 03:35
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$328	170	170	+0	open	—	03-17 16:21
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$324	171	171	+0	open	—	03-17 20:48
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$321	164	164	+0	open	—	03-17 02:27
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$317	164	164	+0	open	—	03-16 18:49
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	5	$314	163	163	+0	open	—	03-19 17:49
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$307	164	164	+0	open	—	03-22 05:47
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$306	157	157	+0	open	—	03-16 10:21
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$298	153	153	+0	open	—	03-28 08:13
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$289	154	154	+0	open	—	03-27 23:47
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$286	152	152	+0	open	—	03-24 21:35
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$284	146	146	+0	open	—	03-30 05:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$282	145	145	+0	open	—	03-26 15:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$278	142	142	+0	open	—	03-29 01:36
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	5	$248	155	110	+45	open	—	05-23 02:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	5	$209	115	115	+0	open	—	06-07 12:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$187	98	97	+0	open	—	04-21 09:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	2	$133	68	68	+0	open	—	04-16 02:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	2	$128	66	65	+0	open	—	04-11 01:25
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$128	69	69	+0	open	—	06-07 08:07
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$123	65	65	+0	open	—	04-10 09:33
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$120	65	65	+0	open	—	04-13 08:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$120	62	62	+0	open	—	04-10 18:16
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$116	59	59	+0	open	—	04-27 17:16
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$115	61	61	+0	Yes	$-0	03-30 21:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 17:33:48	will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5ab5be…
06-13 10:26:51	will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1b648a…
06-11 23:27:52	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	53	92¢	$49	0x310e71…
06-11 15:19:30	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x3af55f…
06-10 02:59:18	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x51861d…
06-09 19:49:27	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf4773c…
06-09 14:27:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	41	91¢	$37	0xb17503…
06-09 08:20:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	41	95¢	$38	0x4b9527…
06-07 12:48:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	SELL	53	91¢	$48	0x02afe8…
06-07 08:42:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x6a6f41…
06-07 08:07:42	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	69	92¢	$63	0x786aec…
06-07 03:01:54	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	69	94¢	$64	0x76b475…
06-06 21:10:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	SELL	62	91¢	$56	0x5070ec…
06-06 15:22:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0xc915a3…
06-06 15:08:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x18cca2…
06-05 15:24:16	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xaed081…
06-05 09:14:48	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xd13560…
06-04 15:44:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0x39b82f…
06-04 08:41:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x1806cf…
06-04 00:34:40	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x25da42…
06-03 18:32:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x743899…
05-23 02:33:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xd6404d…
05-22 11:46:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0xf16b0d…
05-22 04:42:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	58	93¢	$54	0x72e7ce…
05-21 23:26:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	52	92¢	$47	0x0c4ac0…
05-21 15:24:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$48	0xe288e8…
05-20 19:46:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0xa1939b…
05-20 15:45:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0xb254d8…
05-15 07:29:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xc35eb8…
05-12 11:47:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0xb1eab0…
04-28 01:59:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$55	0x1efde6…
04-28 01:51:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x8f37f4…
04-27 17:16:02	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$58	0x78bd60…
04-27 11:13:34	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x993949…
04-21 17:54:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0xd4534c…
04-21 09:52:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0xd80330…
04-21 09:43:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x8a6c8b…
04-21 05:19:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xf49e4e…
04-20 13:39:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x6e2ee0…
04-20 11:39:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x470433…
04-16 02:44:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	68	98¢	$67	0x04c047…
04-15 17:41:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x69fef7…
04-13 08:38:05	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	65	93¢	$60	0x869652…
04-13 00:45:13	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0xaad9f0…
04-12 18:56:27	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0xc3251c…
04-12 10:53:53	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x1c924c…
04-11 01:25:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x8e157d…
04-10 19:24:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$64	0x0bb1e0…
04-10 18:16:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xa13bb8…
04-10 11:09:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xbae2c0…
04-10 09:33:27	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0x1d156f…
04-09 22:07:37	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	41	94¢	$38	0x6d7b87…
04-09 21:58:09	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x8218b5…
04-09 21:58:09	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x15cc3a…
03-31 02:41:35	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x113cd8…
03-30 22:31:35	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x4244ec…
03-30 21:27:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x549363…
03-30 17:03:29	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0xb0ecc6…
03-30 05:17:30	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	146	97¢	$142	0xd68397…
03-29 21:04:16	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	146	97¢	$142	0x2866a7…
03-29 01:36:04	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	142	98¢	$140	0x49ba24…
03-28 18:35:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	123	98¢	$120	0x366bc6…
03-28 18:34:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x08c5e0…
03-28 17:03:29	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0x99e191…
03-28 09:31:01	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$145	0xc84e18…
03-28 08:13:17	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	153	97¢	$149	0x17e68c…
03-28 01:41:15	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	153	98¢	$149	0xd1d67d…
03-27 23:47:41	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	154	94¢	$144	0x86c830…
03-27 18:02:19	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	154	94¢	$144	0x6ea647…
03-27 11:14:25	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	156	97¢	$151	0xdef499…
03-27 07:06:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	156	97¢	$151	0x7901ba…
03-27 04:42:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	157	96¢	$151	0xf8ab10…
03-26 22:18:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	157	96¢	$151	0xcf47be…
03-26 15:48:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	145	97¢	$141	0xc1aa11…
03-26 09:58:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0x65a211…
03-26 08:47:49	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	147	96¢	$142	0x8e9ae5…
03-26 04:45:45	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	147	97¢	$142	0xfa2a77…
03-25 05:24:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	150	95¢	$142	0x9f0983…
03-24 22:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0x9f5513…
03-24 21:35:51	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	152	92¢	$140	0x5d78ed…
03-24 13:44:29	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x003b38…
03-24 13:44:01	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	108	96¢	$104	0xda735d…
03-23 13:20:43	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	154	96¢	$147	0xe11e78…
03-23 04:11:53	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	154	96¢	$148	0xa61c3e…
03-22 05:47:27	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	164	94¢	$154	0x16a7d5…
03-22 00:20:31	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	164	94¢	$153	0x27beb8…
03-19 17:49:49	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	163	96¢	$157	0xc67f87…
03-19 10:30:49	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xc1dab9…
03-19 10:29:05	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0xec689f…
03-19 10:28:49	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3e5d7c…
03-19 10:26:21	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xd3b100…
03-19 01:00:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	163	97¢	$158	0xc12072…
03-18 18:48:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	163	97¢	$158	0xc10f4e…
03-18 18:25:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	163	95¢	$155	0x0197d1…
03-18 11:07:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	163	96¢	$156	0x397238…
03-18 10:46:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	164	97¢	$160	0xd159b3…
03-18 03:43:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	164	97¢	$159	0x4655eb…
03-17 20:48:37	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	171	95¢	$162	0xe18fe0…
03-17 16:33:47	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	171	95¢	$162	0xe149e0…
03-17 16:21:15	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	170	97¢	$165	0x489338…