Hard-Outline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

487

Trades

3,817

lifetime

Volume

$32.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 08-23 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Other

94% 56% +$1,166

Sports

5% 75% +$59

Politics

1% 50% -$168

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in munich on march 26 2026 7c	11	$902	896	30	+866	No	+$17	03-26 15:06
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	3	$714	723	0	+723	No	+$9	04-15 20:53
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 16corbelow	8	$706	718	0	+718	No	+$12	04-07 10:40
fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	6	$667	681	0	+681	Yes	+$14	03-29 20:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 13?	6	$650	664	0	+664	No	+$13	05-12 22:28
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?	2	$546	580	0	+580	Yes	+$34	04-26 18:28
highest temperature in london on march 19 2026 16c	40	$532	655	161	+494	Yes	+$82	03-19 16:22
highest temperature in munich on march 30 2026 8c	7	$529	535	0	+535	No	+$6	03-30 15:27
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	12	$467	475	0	+475	Yes	+$8	03-10 21:04
highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 12corbelow	22	$449	528	0	+528	Yes	+$79	03-04 14:59
highest temperature in london on march 8 2026 11corbelow	88	$448	788	0	+788	Yes	+$340	03-07 18:22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	5	$396	422	0	+422	Yes	+$26	04-25 18:27
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 17c	3	$380	385	0	+385	No	+$5	04-18 17:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?	1	$351	355	0	+355	No	+$4	05-25 14:10
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	5	$349	408	0	+408	No	-$349	06-13 19:23
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	6	$337	370	0	+370	Yes	+$33	04-14 20:57
highest temperature in london on march 12 2026 12c	45	$295	439	0	+439	Yes	+$144	03-12 15:57
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	4	$295	312	0	+312	Mexico	+$17	06-11 20:51
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	9	$293	320	0	+320	United States	+$27	06-13 02:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?	1	$282	287	0	+287	No	+$6	04-25 15:56
highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 18c	4	$279	283	0	+283	No	+$4	04-06 13:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 12?	1	$269	271	0	+271	No	+$2	05-12 11:15
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	10	$255	286	0	+286	Under	+$31	06-12 20:52
highest temperature in london on february 24 2026 14c	36	$239	372	326	+46	No	-$147	02-24 12:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 29?	7	$238	128	128	+0	No	+$18	06-29 14:26
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts first half	4	$236	252	0	+252	No	+$16	06-11 19:54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	4	$236	300	300	+0	No	-$164	05-04 20:35
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	5	$236	200	200	+0	Cabo Verde	-$76	06-15 17:22
fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	15	$235	173	134	+38	Yes	-$32	03-30 20:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 27?	5	$228	238	0	+238	No	+$10	05-26 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 11:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xd6b08f…
08-23 11:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x4e4f3d…
08-22 15:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x71864b…
08-21 12:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x2bb734…
08-21 12:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x6f028b…
08-21 11:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on August 21?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x57b970…
08-21 11:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on August 21?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xad9357…
08-21 10:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on August 21?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6bc500…
08-21 10:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on August 21?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xab3aeb…
08-21 10:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on August 21?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x749a41…
08-21 10:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on August 21?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x6749b2…
08-21 10:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on August 21?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x1659ec…
08-20 14:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x4ad315…
08-20 14:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x4054b2…
08-20 13:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xad741d…
08-20 13:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xc0aaa8…
08-20 12:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xa04437…
08-20 11:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x66d5ae…
08-20 11:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xded3d9…
08-20 10:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x69147e…
08-20 09:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0x6c6695…
08-20 09:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x65502e…
08-20 08:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xfa83cb…
08-19 18:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xa8a3dc…
08-19 18:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xaf3d18…
08-19 18:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x8f40e2…
08-19 17:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x294bbb…
08-19 16:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x90d165…
08-05 09:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe804d7…
08-05 09:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xb7cc50…
08-05 09:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xcc0cb4…
08-05 09:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x146252…
08-05 09:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc2bb6d…
08-05 07:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x99c8b9…
08-05 07:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xdcfd0f…
08-04 22:54:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x52f468…
07-31 10:57:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x85e91f…
07-31 10:54:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x3beb9b…
07-31 09:05:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xbc6dfb…
07-31 08:58:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x5e2e89…
07-31 08:57:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x52beb6…
07-31 08:57:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x49237e…
07-31 08:54:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x9c4512…
07-29 04:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc4b9cd…
07-29 04:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf0243d…
07-29 03:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 29?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x856147…
07-29 03:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 29?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x584564…
07-29 02:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xee5841…
07-29 02:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe948bc…
07-29 02:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x486a4b…
07-28 21:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x321aa7…
07-28 15:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x3cd3d7…
07-28 01:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x85bebc…
07-26 06:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xa8a016…
07-26 05:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x423070…
07-26 05:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xac2152…
07-26 05:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbf3753…
07-26 05:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x726621…
07-26 05:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1e053f…
07-26 05:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x095028…
07-26 05:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa231c7…
07-26 05:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x919857…
07-26 05:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xe635fd…
07-26 05:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xda27c3…
07-26 05:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x963077…
07-25 23:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 26?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xa35537…
07-25 23:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 26?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd49498…
07-25 22:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	Yes	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0xfd46cd…
07-25 21:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa56000…
07-25 19:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd3f1cd…
07-25 19:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xca606f…
07-25 19:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	SELL	41	23¢	$9	0x566000…
07-25 18:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x26c567…
07-25 18:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0xf39164…
07-25 18:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x61c596…
07-25 18:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xfb1da8…
07-25 17:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1afb15…
07-25 17:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x2fa7c9…
07-25 17:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa14103…
07-25 17:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x3554f7…
07-25 17:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0xa32c66…
07-25 17:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x6549c2…
07-25 17:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x97e6fc…
07-25 17:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x0fbcec…
07-25 17:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x6d4927…
07-25 17:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x370250…
07-25 13:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x48eb7c…
07-25 12:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x45ce46…
07-25 12:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd4f9d3…
07-25 12:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xa9ae7c…
07-25 03:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xc84446…
07-25 03:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8b6835…
07-25 03:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xfaba80…
07-25 02:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0794c2…
07-25 02:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x380962…
07-25 02:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x6b7d12…
07-25 02:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xf44e2f…
07-25 02:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xb2f3be…
07-25 02:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x732d1f…
07-25 02:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x069968…