(anonymous) 0x0ded26…2013ad Create alert
5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$439
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved
153
Trades
595
lifetime
Volume
$17.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$3.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
67% 83% -$703
Politics
24% 81% +$265
Sports
9% 50% -$1
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +776 $758 99¢ $772 +$14 10-28 18:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +427 $425 99¢ $424 -$1 10-28 18:43
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +303 $303 98¢ $296 -$7 10-27 04:16
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +280 $275 94¢ $263 -$12 10-27 22:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +247 $205 82¢ $203 -$1 10-28 18:36
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +162 $159 98¢ $158 -$1 10-29 02:28
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +99 $98 100¢ $99 +$1 10-28 16:52
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +93 $93 99¢ $92 $0 10-27 22:53
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $82 99¢ $89 +$7 10-28 15:48
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +105 $85 78¢ $82 -$3 10-22 03:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +95 $87 70¢ $67 -$20 10-29 09:49
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +62 $61 98¢ $61 +$0 10-26 03:56
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +59 $56 96¢ $56 +$0 10-26 02:36
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +48 $38 84¢ $41 +$3 10-22 02:46
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? No +45 $38 88¢ $39 +$2 10-28 20:07
Will Thinky be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 +$0 10-29 19:32
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026? No +33 $30 100¢ $32 +$2 10-29 14:10
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $31 99¢ $31 +$0 10-20 21:07
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $30 98¢ $31 +$0 10-22 02:03
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +32 $31 95¢ $31 $0 10-22 02:35
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 10-26 16:22
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 10-27 01:47
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? No +22 $17 94¢ $21 +$4 10-27 12:06
Will Dinamo Zagreb win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +20 $20 98¢ $19 $0 10-29 04:36
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 $0 10-30 01:05
Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 7 and December 13, 2026? No +18 $17 100¢ $18 +$1 10-29 07:38
will candidate c win the 2027 nigerian presidential election 20260602163030953 No +18 $12 100¢ $18 +$6 10-28 17:24
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +17 $16 94¢ $16 $0 10-20 21:07
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? No +22 $22 49¢ $11 -$11 10-29 12:37
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? No +9 $8 100¢ $9 +$0 10-29 16:31