Rosy-Expectancy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	05-05 18:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	+2	$2	72¢	$2	$-0	05-05 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	+2	$2	66¢	$1	$-1	05-05 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x284e2f…
05-05 18:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcd59fe…
05-05 17:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd02b3a…
05-05 17:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x55de45…
05-05 03:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x97ced8…
05-05 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfb91f0…
05-04 23:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xda8ff3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	7	$551	40	05-05 18:43
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	5	$549	22	05-05 18:43
Functional-Waterwheel 0x56d4…746f	3	$699	4	05-05 18:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	Up	$-0	05-05 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	Up	$-0	05-05 01:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 18:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 18:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-04 23:30