Rosy-Expectancy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

199

Trades

1,663

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-20 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 68% $-13

Other

38% — —

Sports

7% — —

Politics

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in milan on march 27 2026 16c	3	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	03-27 18:16
highest temperature in paris on february 25 2026 21c	3	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	02-25 20:40
highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 21c	3	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	03-29 05:31
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 11c	3	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	03-29 15:43
mwoh cze can 2026 02 12	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	02-12 05:15
highest temperature in nyc on february 13 2026 38 39f	6	$16	23	23	+0	open	—	02-13 15:49
nhl phi cbj 2026 01 28	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	01-29 08:10
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	2	$13	69	69	+0	open	—	02-28 18:05
nba nyk phi 2026 01 24	2	$13	22	22	+0	open	—	01-24 22:26
highest temperature in lucknow on march 29 2026 35c	5	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	03-29 17:51
cs2 ast10 faze 2026 03 09	3	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	03-09 21:03
val bfg uniway 2026 04 12 game1	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-12 17:19
highest temperature in taipei on march 28 2026 21c	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	03-28 16:14
highest temperature in hong kong on april 6 2026 28c	2	$10	8	7	+0	open	—	04-07 02:23
highest temperature in singapore on april 3 2026 33c	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-03 12:23
nba mia phx 2026 01 25	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	01-25 21:20
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 28 2026 30c	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	03-29 04:17
highest temperature in tokyo on march 28 2026 18c	6	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	03-28 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	4	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 17:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	3	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	03-03 02:51
cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	3	$9	25	25	+0	open	—	06-13 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	4	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 17:00
highest temperature in taipei on march 29 2026 25c	3	$8	24	24	+0	open	—	03-29 03:13
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 3 2026 30c	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-03 18:10
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 first half total 0pt5	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-13 02:37
highest temperature in ankara on april 1 2026 14c	4	$8	16	15	+0	open	—	03-29 23:42
highest temperature in london on february 25 2026 19c	4	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	02-25 15:13
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 2 2026 27c	8	$8	25	17	+8	open	—	04-02 13:16
nba hou cha 2026 02 19	11	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 14:52:04	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb7bb6e…
06-20 02:38:46	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 btts	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x818404…
06-20 00:03:37	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 btts	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8bbbdd…
06-19 23:47:07	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xedbba2…
06-19 23:27:23	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 btts	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xbdc88b…
06-19 21:01:01	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe4ccbf…
06-19 01:31:10	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x020265…
06-19 00:29:37	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x53b90e…
06-18 03:20:43	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x15cbc9…
06-18 03:04:16	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xee4b8b…
06-17 17:51:50	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xeb5ebc…
06-17 15:16:44	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6d08f5…
06-17 02:57:49	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x28fca4…
06-17 02:27:13	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 first half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc5ade6…
06-17 00:22:50	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x094bfa…
06-17 00:10:59	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xd17f37…
06-17 00:09:44	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2dc5c8…
06-16 21:22:26	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x8a1f9a…
06-16 18:18:50	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xd953dc…
06-15 17:58:09	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6d86ea…
06-15 13:58:49	cs2 bb3 fut 2026 06 15	BetBoom Team	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x02f4cd…
06-15 13:13:09	cs2 9z mglz 2026 06 15 total games 2pt5	Over	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x44cb84…
06-15 11:02:54	cs2 9z mglz 2026 06 15 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x3d5f93…
06-14 20:53:06	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa5b118…
06-14 15:28:01	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x04824a…
06-14 13:46:04	cs2 bb3 vit 2026 06 14	BetBoom Team	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x4981dd…
06-13 16:32:39	cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	MOUZ	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x5159d9…
06-13 15:47:45	cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	MOUZ	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x79c56c…
06-13 15:27:00	cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	MOUZ	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x510b99…
06-13 15:00:33	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x89c159…
06-13 02:37:45	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 first half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1950ff…
06-12 22:15:21	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xda2a71…
06-12 17:59:13	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xa8d55a…
06-12 17:44:37	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xef1c85…
06-12 17:44:12	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xff685b…
06-12 17:43:57	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x513467…
06-12 17:43:43	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xde4a0f…
06-12 17:43:22	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xa83a29…
06-12 17:43:21	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xb30c50…
06-12 17:43:07	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xa10c10…
06-12 17:42:51	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xaf8af1…
06-12 17:42:34	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x46aadb…
06-12 17:42:13	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x09069d…
06-12 17:42:00	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x0a759c…
06-12 17:41:34	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x1798fb…
06-12 17:41:30	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x0725bd…
06-12 17:39:27	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x94ed0c…
06-12 17:39:21	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x497284…
06-12 17:39:10	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xc1be14…
06-12 17:38:49	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xf3fad2…
06-12 13:48:51	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Aurora Gaming	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xa13eb1…
06-12 10:43:55	atp bonzi minaur 2026 06 12	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe3f77e…
06-12 10:32:01	wta rybakin maria 2026 06 11	Tatjana Maria	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x55008d…
06-12 05:27:42	wta rybakin maria 2026 06 11	Tatjana Maria	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1fbadb…
06-12 05:21:46	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	KT Rolster	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4e7512…
06-12 03:31:48	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x98b73d…
06-11 22:17:30	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x05d77e…
06-11 20:41:03	atp cigarra estevez 2026 06 11	Thiago Cigarran	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb02a3d…
06-11 17:11:21	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaae500…
06-11 17:10:27	atp cigarra estevez 2026 06 11	Thiago Cigarran	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb34314…
05-24 22:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb8808e…
05-24 21:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x894914…
05-24 20:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe86c9c…
05-24 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xa9321a…
05-24 17:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7bcbec…
05-24 15:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x263d7e…
05-24 15:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8fb04b…
05-24 14:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x0d93bd…
05-24 14:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x088e3f…
05-24 13:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbc844d…
05-24 09:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9af754…
05-24 08:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8d59a0…
05-24 06:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xab3415…
05-24 04:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0455c2…
05-24 04:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x67ab6d…
05-23 22:14:54	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x6fe76a…
05-23 22:13:40	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8e725f…
05-23 18:44:59	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd1d9b5…
05-23 18:43:33	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd863dd…
05-23 18:28:34	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x67cb6c…
05-23 01:43:58	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3cc229…
05-23 00:28:42	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6991e0…
05-22 22:14:35	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x38f4d3…
05-22 21:58:41	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1b627d…
05-22 20:44:57	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x0c709c…
05-22 20:43:53	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7fddaa…
05-22 20:29:26	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfb3604…
05-22 16:29:45	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x49fca8…
05-22 16:13:41	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2e00df…
05-22 02:44:39	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x9582ff…
05-22 02:43:34	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbc67f4…
05-22 02:13:48	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x493bc5…
05-22 01:44:11	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd996d6…
05-21 22:29:02	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6add58…
05-21 19:29:22	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x515fd2…
05-21 19:28:33	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xaca8e4…
05-21 18:43:33	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdc62bd…
05-21 18:29:33	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcb6f0e…
05-21 18:00:12	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x899e76…
05-21 17:58:57	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x184553…