Realized P&L
+$74
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
435
Trades
1,640
lifetime
Volume
$2.36K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$47
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-23
last 08-13 21:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
43% 82% -$1
Sports
27% 74% +$2
Crypto
22% 69% +$83
Politics
6% 71% -$2
Tech
1% 40% -$8
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +9 $3 82¢ $7 +$5 07-04 17:01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes -9 -$2 80¢ $-7 -$5 08-13 21:35
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 06-24 03:37
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 06-24 21:29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -5 -$4 96¢ $-5 -$1 06-24 21:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +10 $3 42¢ $4 +$1 07-02 22:14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -10 -$1 32¢ $-3 -$2 07-02 22:14
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +5 $2 30¢ $2 $0 07-04 04:01
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +10 $7 12¢ $1 -$6 07-04 09:14
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -10 -$6 11¢ $-1 +$5 07-04 11:54
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -5 -$1 22¢ $-1 $0 06-24 04:46
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -5 -$1 16¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 04:46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -10 -$1 6¢ $-1 +$0 07-02 22:14
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -5 $0 10¢ $-1 $0 06-24 04:46
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -5 $0 8¢ $-0 $0 06-24 04:46
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? No +14 $0 3¢ $0 $0 07-05 04:12
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 04:46
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 04:46
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 $0 06-24 04:46
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +45 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 07-05 03:47
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -45 -$4 1¢ $-0 +$3 07-05 11:00
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 06-24 04:46
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 06-24 04:46
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes -0 $0 64¢ $-0 $0 07-30 03:48
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 06-24 04:46
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-02 22:14
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 06-24 04:46
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 04:46
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-02 22:44
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No -0 $0 36¢ $-0 +$0 07-30 03:48