Jolly-Pause — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.1%

Resolved

Trades

446

lifetime

Volume

$871

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-06 19:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 75% +$2

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$16	11	10	+0	open	—	04-26 18:59
btc updown 5m 1777050300	4	$16	21	20	+1	open	—	04-24 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$15	10	9	+0	open	—	04-26 18:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$15	24	24	+0	open	—	04-17 13:07
btc updown 5m 1777051500	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-24 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-25 13:21
btc updown 5m 1777049400	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$12	8	7	+0	open	—	04-25 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-27 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-25 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 18:59
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	03-31 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$10	7	6	+0	open	—	04-26 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-25 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 16:45
btc updown 5m 1777059600	4	$8	8	7	+0	open	—	04-24 19:44
btc updown 5m 1777059900	4	$7	8	7	+0	open	—	04-24 19:47
btc updown 5m 1777050600	4	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	04-24 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	04-24 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 09:00
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-08 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 20:32
btc updown 5m 1777060200	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 19:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x35afd9…
05-06 18:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x937c60…
05-06 18:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb24571…
05-06 06:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7c312d…
05-06 06:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xac82a7…
05-05 16:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa756e6…
05-05 16:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xef7e36…
05-05 16:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x67501b…
05-05 15:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9e4c3c…
05-05 15:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x131f0c…
05-05 15:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xee5e46…
05-05 15:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xff205d…
05-05 15:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7f85e1…
05-05 15:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x5cf6ed…
05-05 15:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x61070f…
05-05 15:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xde2c80…
05-05 15:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x71160c…
05-05 15:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5f8025…
05-05 15:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3ed298…
05-05 14:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x0b97e2…
05-05 14:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xfe953e…
05-05 14:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x8bc0cf…
05-05 14:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb5e8c8…
05-05 14:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfe0584…
05-05 14:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc7a950…
05-05 14:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x67d7ee…
05-05 14:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x2d9f2c…
05-05 14:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0xb43722…
05-05 14:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0b2a57…
05-05 14:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc717d5…
05-05 13:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa27f2d…
05-05 13:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x93fd31…
05-05 13:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8de439…
05-05 13:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xcf67c0…
05-05 13:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2875aa…
05-05 13:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1a42f5…
05-05 13:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xfc128f…
05-05 13:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0b04d4…
05-05 13:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x14da05…
05-05 13:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbe352b…
05-05 11:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x25957b…
05-05 11:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5bbfdd…
05-05 11:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x157464…
05-05 11:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5bbf9a…
05-05 11:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5a6c5c…
05-05 08:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x16d755…
05-05 08:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x297a6f…
05-05 08:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x73f802…
05-05 08:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x75032a…
05-05 08:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xbc1d44…
05-05 08:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x90943b…
05-05 08:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x8cbab6…
05-05 08:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfe75d8…
05-05 08:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf7e1e4…
05-05 08:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd262c9…
05-05 08:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1a67c2…
05-02 11:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6f1559…
05-02 11:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x633fa4…
05-02 11:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xe1d67a…
05-02 11:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xff6dbe…
05-01 09:42:58	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x25a320…
05-01 09:41:26	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xae969d…
05-01 09:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xada4cc…
05-01 09:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x02ea62…
05-01 08:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1716f5…
05-01 08:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x953671…
05-01 08:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x864387…
05-01 08:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x049a7f…
05-01 08:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5d357b…
05-01 08:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5bb7ca…
04-30 19:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe75426…
04-30 19:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xef1711…
04-30 19:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8005ee…
04-30 11:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfd1b55…
04-30 11:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x83d412…
04-30 09:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x17b0fe…
04-30 09:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1619eb…
04-30 09:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb5db16…
04-30 09:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8dfa2b…
04-29 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0086bf…
04-29 19:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0d0cf3…
04-29 19:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x40106e…
04-29 19:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x2770bd…
04-29 18:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x08f58e…
04-29 18:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2bd23c…
04-29 17:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4a59aa…
04-29 17:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x436ac6…
04-29 17:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xafe42a…
04-29 17:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x0d0cf4…
04-29 17:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x63c156…
04-29 17:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0b4f02…
04-29 17:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x192d90…
04-29 17:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc2594c…
04-29 17:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x4f8517…
04-29 17:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x85865b…
04-29 17:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7d40f4…
04-29 17:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf2d338…
04-29 16:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4b1c7f…
04-29 16:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5a8538…
04-29 15:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbceb3c…