Creamy-Saddle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$391

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

1,098

Trades

2,247

lifetime

Volume

$8.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 09-29 04:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 39% -$417

Sports

1% 50% +$50

Other

0% 0% -$8

Politics

0% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes		+1,500	$6	0¢	$2	-$4	09-14 01:41
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes		+167	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	09-14 01:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	6	$187	198	198	+0	Up	+$7	09-29 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$134	171	71	+100	Down	-$66	09-29 04:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 05:15 UTC	3	$122	97	51	+46	Up	-$40	04-06 05:25
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	2	$113	157	157	+0	Justin Gaethje	+$50	06-15 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:10 UTC	5	$110	230	130	+100	Down	+$8	09-29 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	11	$94	185	118	+67	Up	+$8	09-29 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 17:45 UTC	6	$88	165	163	+2	Up	-$2	03-24 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$85	85	85	+0	Down	+$5	09-29 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	7	$81	80	80	+0	Up	+$18	05-07 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:50 UTC	5	$77	131	105	+26	Down	-$13	09-29 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	6	$70	80	75	+5	Up	-$2	05-01 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	6	$68	53	53	+0	Down	+$28	09-20 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	6	$66	86	86	+0	Down	-$4	05-05 17:57
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$60	50	50	+0	Down	+$16	05-13 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	6	$57	62	62	+0	Down	+$15	09-20 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	4	$57	111	111	+0	Up	+$7	05-12 17:42
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:10 UTC	3	$56	103	63	+40	Down	+$6	09-26 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$54	57	57	+0	Up	+$12	05-06 18:10
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 19:10 UTC	3	$53	41	35	+6	Down	+$4	04-16 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$53	44	44	+0	Down	+$23	05-07 18:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 23:30 UTC	8	$51	55	53	+2	Down	+$7	04-01 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	5	$44	45	45	+0	Down	-$6	05-06 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:15 UTC	4	$44	45	45	+0	Up	+$4	09-29 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$44	32	32	+0	Up	+$4	05-15 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$44	51	36	+15	Down	+$18	05-13 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 21:30 UTC	5	$44	50	48	+2	Down	+$3	04-02 21:42
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:15 UTC	2	$43	39	36	+3	Down	+$3	09-26 19:19
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$41	40	40	+0	Down	-$1	05-07 18:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:50 UTC	2	$41	34	34	+0	Up	+$21	09-26 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$40	48	48	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 16:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 04:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	98	8¢	$8	0xd3ea1f…
09-29 04:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xbe7893…
09-29 04:06:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:05 UTC	Down	SELL	71	48¢	$34	0x6b27d7…
09-29 04:05:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xb9093e…
09-29 03:55:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xa8ae7c…
09-29 03:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe34050…
09-29 03:53:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:50 UTC	Down	SELL	58	27¢	$16	0x21f3bd…
09-29 03:53:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xe2e7ea…
09-29 03:51:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	47	34¢	$16	0xbaf8fb…
09-29 03:50:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x30587a…
09-29 03:49:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2fc2c3…
09-29 03:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xda911b…
09-29 03:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf85bd3…
09-29 03:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xee8e35…
09-29 03:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xdf92ee…
09-29 03:20:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x18d74a…
09-29 03:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	16	46¢	$8	0x460208…
09-29 03:17:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xaba23f…
09-29 03:16:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	29	59¢	$17	0x2cd889…
09-29 03:16:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xd951a1…
09-29 03:14:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x02c8d8…
09-29 03:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	53	48¢	$25	0xe13fb1…
09-29 03:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x418e6c…
09-29 03:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	77	44¢	$34	0x5aaa36…
09-29 03:10:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x703b03…
09-29 03:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	66	42¢	$28	0x666d04…
09-29 03:04:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb33a8e…
09-29 02:58:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x43fcb2…
09-29 02:52:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xaccd49…
09-29 02:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x5c5411…
09-29 02:50:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfa6a5e…
09-29 02:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3e4ae1…
09-29 02:46:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xd42211…
09-29 02:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x69231e…
09-29 02:44:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	17	68¢	$12	0x349259…
09-29 02:44:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x95a9b6…
09-29 02:43:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	71	36¢	$26	0x4bf79f…
09-29 02:42:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc63c2f…
09-29 02:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x8a37d5…
09-29 02:42:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x02d6ed…
09-29 02:41:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x25cca6…
09-29 02:41:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8a2807…
09-29 02:40:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x16f26f…
09-29 02:40:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x757002…
09-29 02:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	36	29¢	$10	0x5e8626…
09-29 02:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf871c1…
09-29 02:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	102	59¢	$60	0x596d17…
09-29 02:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xe335c9…
09-29 02:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	60	44¢	$26	0x477fca…
09-29 02:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x1d7b4d…
09-29 02:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	85	52¢	$45	0x5b3a30…
09-29 02:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x6d65df…
09-26 20:14:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0xa68e45…
09-26 20:13:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x03b328…
09-26 20:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc2581f…
09-26 20:07:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xf8666f…
09-26 20:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xd4ef8f…
09-26 20:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7c0023…
09-26 20:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9cec93…
09-26 19:59:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xeb014c…
09-26 19:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xea0a90…
09-26 19:58:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0xda253c…
09-26 19:52:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd4dae0…
09-26 19:49:27	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x705245…
09-26 19:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xcce85b…
09-26 19:42:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x3c9f7e…
09-26 19:41:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xfe75d2…
09-26 19:40:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa66865…
09-26 19:39:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa1f0f5…
09-26 19:29:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0e8197…
09-26 19:24:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xab5550…
09-26 19:23:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	17	67¢	$12	0x14544b…
09-26 19:22:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x478f27…
09-26 19:19:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	36	64¢	$23	0x9bcc41…
09-26 19:17:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xabc6e5…
09-26 19:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbab676…
09-26 19:13:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x6a81e3…
09-26 19:11:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:10 UTC	Down	SELL	63	48¢	$31	0x9bf36b…
09-26 19:11:17	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x0e248e…
09-26 19:09:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1aa28c…
09-26 18:59:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf99816…
09-26 15:52:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	34	89¢	$31	0x916550…
09-26 15:52:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x6795a7…
09-26 15:24:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	48	20¢	$10	0xea36ab…
09-26 15:24:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x187d06…
09-26 15:14:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5e2e6c…
09-26 15:13:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	62	9¢	$6	0x64ed5e…
09-26 15:13:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x8ab16d…
09-26 15:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa8dfcc…
09-26 15:03:41	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc0f8b6…
09-26 15:02:32	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x588ffb…
09-20 23:34:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0d7c10…
09-20 23:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xce3090…
09-20 21:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xb0c30a…
09-20 20:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x33a9c4…
09-20 20:58:35	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	52¢	$13	0x9aa0b6…
09-20 20:55:44	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x41264c…
09-20 20:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x66a9e3…
09-20 20:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	57¢	$12	0x197492…
09-20 20:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe5f20c…