Realized P&L
+$20.4K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
80.8%
Resolved
90
Trades
9,770
lifetime
Volume
$3.52M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$360
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 03-18 14:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
49%
87%
+$8,151
Crypto
37%
76%
+$9,699
Other
14%
89%
+$2,530
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-18).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026 | 857 | $275.3K | 168,171 | 148,334 | +19,837 | No | +$4,121 | 02-12 04:20 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 634 | $172.9K | 110,406 | 102,568 | +7,837 | No | +$1,525 | 01-16 11:54 |
| us strikes iran by february 21 2026 | 606 | $160.0K | 94,850 | 84,770 | +10,080 | No | +$1,392 | 02-20 07:27 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 288 | $144.4K | 87,468 | 83,598 | +3,870 | No | -$5,064 | 01-30 03:34 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 437 | $143.8K | 76,894 | 84,722 | -7,828 | No | +$108 | 01-15 03:59 |
| will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026 | 233 | $130.3K | 72,446 | 78,340 | -5,893 | No | -$489 | 02-08 17:02 |
| will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026 | 263 | $125.7K | 75,915 | 60,752 | +15,163 | No | +$1,965 | 01-23 19:01 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 372 | $122.1K | 70,241 | 66,832 | +3,409 | No | +$491 | 02-20 14:45 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026 | 451 | $117.9K | 70,954 | 59,345 | +11,609 | No | +$1,715 | 03-18 14:56 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 196 | $117.0K | 61,095 | 67,194 | -6,098 | No | -$55 | 01-24 04:50 |
| us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771 | 368 | $106.4K | 57,835 | 55,938 | +1,897 | No | +$907 | 01-14 03:15 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 292 | $104.4K | 67,302 | 62,753 | +4,549 | No | +$1,018 | 01-14 10:00 |
| will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026 | 249 | $101.2K | 64,375 | 49,203 | +15,172 | No | +$2,110 | 02-12 03:47 |
| us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553 | 162 | $86.9K | 46,947 | 46,645 | +302 | No | +$252 | 02-19 16:15 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 195 | $85.1K | 49,572 | 47,392 | +2,181 | No | +$385 | 01-16 17:03 |
| us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992 | 177 | $80.0K | 38,506 | 43,214 | -4,708 | No | -$18 | 02-20 02:47 |
| us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511 | 199 | $76.1K | 47,199 | 39,200 | +7,999 | No | +$1,673 | 01-23 17:08 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | 153 | $74.1K | 46,722 | 41,500 | +5,222 | No | +$900 | 01-30 03:37 |
| will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026 | 133 | $69.2K | 36,818 | 38,875 | -2,057 | No | +$253 | 02-04 21:48 |
| will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026 | 145 | $65.2K | 35,194 | 35,501 | -307 | No | +$284 | 03-18 14:57 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749 | 193 | $60.6K | 35,893 | 30,231 | +5,662 | No | +$900 | 03-11 21:45 |
| will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026 | 112 | $59.9K | 34,970 | 31,899 | +3,071 | No | +$404 | 02-09 20:02 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 333 | $54.6K | 29,612 | 31,565 | -1,954 | No | +$1,785 | 03-13 05:28 |
| will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026 | 241 | $53.7K | 32,261 | 30,731 | +1,529 | Yes | -$1,019 | 01-16 20:25 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026? | 261 | $46.2K | 27,952 | 27,456 | +496 | No | +$362 | 02-28 06:30 |
| will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586 | 129 | $41.3K | 20,194 | 26,565 | -6,371 | No | -$445 | 02-10 08:08 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 63 | $36.9K | 19,879 | 19,879 | +0 | Yes | +$85 | 02-20 14:36 |
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 148 | $35.4K | 20,289 | 20,285 | +3 | No | +$139 | 01-30 02:37 |
| will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026 | 90 | $34.8K | 26,361 | 30,365 | -4,004 | Yes | -$354 | 01-29 15:34 |
| us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612 | 69 | $33.0K | 19,317 | 17,317 | +2,000 | No | +$738 | 01-16 02:18 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||