Realistic-Conservative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

828

Trades

1,076

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-31 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Other

98% 53% +$167

Sports

2% 41% -$63

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 aur1 tundra 2026 03 26	7	$212	404	98	+306	Tundra Esports	-$125	03-26 19:33
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	2	$187	119	117	+1	BetBoom Team	+$49	04-26 14:08
dota2 aur1 tundra 2026 03 26 game2	7	$186	230	230	+0	Aurora	-$39	03-26 18:32
dota2 mouz xtreme 2026 03 27 game2	4	$167	205	121	+83	Xtreme Gaming	+$7	03-27 13:39
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	3	$133	78	78	+0	PARIVISION	+$23	05-13 17:20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	4	$124	115	115	+0	PARIVISION	+$24	05-21 17:03
dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 03 27 game2	4	$122	265	0	+265	Xtreme Gaming	-$122	03-27 20:58
dota2 mouz xtreme 2026 03 27 game1	2	$122	82	82	+0	MOUZ	+$42	03-27 15:31
dota2 ty ts8 2026 03 26	3	$118	181	108	+73	Team Yandex	+$28	03-26 14:56
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	2	$110	65	65	+0	Aurora	+$20	05-30 17:35
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	2	$109	69	69	+0	G2	+$29	04-29 19:04
lol t1 fur 2026 07 06 game3	2	$109	59	59	+0	T1	+$9	07-06 08:53
Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VII?	3	$102	55	55	+0	No	+$4	06-02 14:19
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A	3	$102	61	61	+0	PlayTime	+$19	05-06 19:29
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	4	$97	80	80	+0	Team Spirit	+$17	05-26 14:57
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	3	$96	58	58	+0	PlayTime	+$20	05-10 15:56
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A	2	$93	63	63	+0	Yellow Submarine	+$33	05-06 14:39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	4	$89	70	70	+0	Xtreme Gaming	+$9	05-20 21:42
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$84	53	53	+0	Aurora	+$22	05-29 14:50
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$83	53	53	+0	PlayTime	+$23	05-14 12:33
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)	4	$82	56	56	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$12	05-07 14:49
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner	2	$80	51	51	+0	Team Spirit	+$20	05-13 12:55
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$79	49	49	+0	Karmine Corp	+$19	05-09 19:16
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner	2	$77	47	47	+0	GamerLegion	+$17	05-13 19:53
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	3	$76	46	46	+0	PARIVISION	+$16	05-10 18:35
dota2 vp 1win 2026 07 08 game1	3	$74	104	33	+71	1win	-$46	07-08 19:13
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$71	46	46	+0	Xtreme Gaming	+$21	05-13 17:21
cs2 nip nrg 2026 03 03	2	$68	38	38	+0	NIP	+$8	03-04 00:02
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	2	$68	48	48	+0	Virtus.pro	+$28	05-14 17:16
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	2	$68	57	57	+0	CTBC Flying Oyster	-$2	05-06 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:08:09	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x3a1d22…
10-31 17:40:51	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9d1542…
10-31 13:18:48	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	Team Yandex	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x49417f…
10-30 20:11:18	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x3ad898…
10-30 18:50:55	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x24be4a…
10-30 17:36:27	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xeee7f6…
10-30 13:52:33	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x2fbc2f…
10-30 12:38:42	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x778c28…
10-30 12:35:28	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x8b20f0…
10-30 11:33:48	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xef16de…
10-29 20:20:52	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	OG	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x5ff2ea…
10-29 19:13:39	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xb88502…
10-29 17:07:16	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xd75fff…
10-29 15:26:56	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xf86d87…
10-29 11:40:59	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xe8fe63…
10-29 09:22:40	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	Astra Invicta	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x25d703…
10-28 20:48:26	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x6471d5…
10-28 20:22:43	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe94e9d…
10-28 20:19:41	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x9f107a…
10-28 18:43:14	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x67c580…
10-28 11:53:50	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x3f872b…
10-28 09:15:26	Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	PARIVISION	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xfc6711…
10-27 14:47:36	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xa9faf9…
10-27 10:37:50	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xe9242d…
10-26 20:13:14	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xe51700…
10-26 18:26:15	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xe6011c…
10-26 13:24:12	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Team Yandex	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x229afd…
10-26 11:58:23	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe27160…
10-26 09:28:02	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xa314ef…
10-26 09:11:30	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	OG	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x5db267…
10-26 05:13:15	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x4ba98b…
10-25 13:31:54	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)	Team Yandex	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x278230…
10-25 12:15:27	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xb0fd52…
10-25 12:15:17	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x480b7a…
10-25 11:38:18	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5c13e8…
10-25 10:47:17	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner	OG	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xdfe711…
10-24 21:05:14	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x597f6c…
10-24 14:52:32	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xa794b2…
10-24 13:00:50	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 2 Winner	OG	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x77679a…
10-24 11:15:14	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xecf065…
10-24 08:23:33	Dota 2: 1win vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xba4de0…
10-24 07:48:45	Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5eae0b…
10-24 07:19:12	Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x3a3a6a…
10-23 15:53:32	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	Astra Invicta	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x1fcdc3…
10-23 14:38:50	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x25478f…
10-23 12:44:35	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x11eb97…
10-23 11:40:20	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x4005a4…
10-23 09:50:51	Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner	OG	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x1e2ac4…
10-23 08:35:23	Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner	1win	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x3b381a…
10-22 17:02:32	Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5)	PARIVISION	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x4ecee9…
10-22 16:19:36	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winner	1win	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xdd1e08…
10-22 08:28:03	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x8bdfac…
10-22 07:51:26	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	Team Yandex	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xa171c0…
10-21 17:18:11	Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PRIVATE (+1.5)	TheMongolz	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xc7dba0…
10-19 21:05:10	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xa55ba2…
10-18 07:25:15	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x7299fa…
10-17 17:09:39	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 10 17 map handicap away 1pt5	Team Falcons	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x145008…
10-17 15:02:32	cs2 furia aur1 2026 10 17 game2	FURIA	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x763ae3…
10-15 20:22:18	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x5e192f…
10-15 14:13:29	cs2 hero bcg 2026 10 15	BC.Game Esports	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x453dd4…
10-15 11:59:32	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	9z	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x6ff0ce…
10-15 11:14:16	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner	BC.Game Esports	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0xee20c7…
10-15 10:59:16	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner	BC.Game Esports	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x534a30…
10-15 10:56:06	LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner	HANJIN BRION	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x688f08…
10-15 10:55:22	LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner	HANJIN BRION	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf1c7e1…
10-14 18:14:07	cs2 furia bb3 2026 10 14 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xfce387…
10-14 15:28:16	cs2 lgc prv 2026 10 14	PARIVISION	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xaed28c…
10-14 11:35:13	cs2 fal2 nip 2026 10 14 map handicap away 1pt5	Team Falcons	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x41a4e7…
10-14 10:54:25	cs2 9z aur1 2026 10 14 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x4098bc…
10-14 10:47:40	cs2 9z aur1 2026 10 14 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x9e81a5…
10-14 08:24:53	cs2 9z aur1 2026 10 14 map handicap home 1pt5	Aurora Gaming	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x5bc28b…
10-13 10:24:32	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x79737c…
10-13 10:07:43	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x25713a…
10-11 18:45:57	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xaa6b7b…
10-11 17:13:10	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x351ad6…
10-11 16:14:22	Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)	Vitality	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x4650db…
10-11 13:12:01	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0x86c728…
10-11 10:32:23	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x05b97c…
10-10 16:33:13	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x524269…
10-10 15:18:49	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x80aeca…
10-10 10:47:22	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xb51372…
10-10 09:12:13	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xee98e2…
10-09 15:27:07	Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	1win	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x1fbc17…
10-09 14:22:24	dota2 1win pari 2026 10 09 game handicap home 1pt5	PARIVISION	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x219499…
10-09 12:38:04	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xc02b84…
10-09 12:08:19	dota2 ts8 aur1 2026 10 09	Team Spirit	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x392b22…
10-09 11:22:12	dota2 ts8 aur1 2026 10 09 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x7f76b1…
10-09 11:19:49	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 10 09	Team Falcons	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x08711f…
10-09 09:32:28	dota2 ts8 aur1 2026 10 09 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x1dd739…
10-08 20:01:00	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x496478…
10-08 18:36:47	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x825155…
10-08 16:57:08	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xb6f806…
10-08 15:16:32	Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner	Aurora	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x5447e4…
10-08 13:21:47	Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner	1win	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x0650b3…
10-08 12:13:15	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x6afc8f…
10-08 10:49:41	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x1ea3fd…
10-07 12:09:32	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x93c2ff…
10-06 18:48:09	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xa73457…
10-06 11:25:39	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	HULIGANI	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x65d359…
10-06 08:24:21	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xbac26e…