Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$295

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

563

Trades

1,042

lifetime

Volume

$3.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-13

last 10-28 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 32% -$215

Other

4% 9% -$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$70	69	69	+0	Up	+$46	09-05 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	6	$62	61	61	+0	Down	+$46	09-05 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	5	$49	43	43	+0	Down	+$9	09-05 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$48	53	53	+0	Down	+$28	09-06 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$47	32	32	+0	Down	+$17	09-06 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$45	38	38	+0	Down	+$5	09-07 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 05:50 UTC	9	$42	591	0	+591	Up	-$42	07-24 05:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$40	93	93	+0	Yes	+$0	09-13 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$38	27	27	+0	Down	+$8	09-06 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	5	$38	35	35	+0	Up	+$12	09-05 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$33	73	43	+29	Up	+$3	09-06 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$33	27	25	+1	Down	+$4	09-06 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$31	27	27	+0	Down	+$11	09-07 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$30	24	24	+0	Up	+$16	09-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$30	26	26	+0	Down	+$10	09-05 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$29	31	31	+0	Down	+$9	09-06 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$28	30	30	+0	Down	+$8	09-13 18:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:40 UTC	3	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	08-30 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$26	17	17	+0	Down	+$6	09-05 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	Down	+$6	09-06 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$25	49	34	+14	Down	+$3	09-05 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$25	17	17	+0	Down	+$5	09-13 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	5	$25	1,038	0	+1,038	Up	-$25	09-06 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 06:40 UTC	5	$25	122	0	+122	Up	-$25	08-30 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$25	20	20	+0	Down	+$11	09-05 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$24	29	29	+0	Up	+$14	09-07 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$24	21	21	+0	Down	+$14	09-05 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$24	16	16	+0	Up	+$4	09-13 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$23	83	33	+50	Up	+$11	09-05 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$21	123	123	+0	Up	-$19	09-06 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:56:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x096c00…
10-28 17:55:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xbf096d…
10-04 16:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x5d8ccd…
10-04 16:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xb0b882…
10-04 16:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdff493…
10-04 16:36:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x7a0389…
10-04 16:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9cbd93…
10-04 16:33:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd595b6…
10-04 16:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x41c793…
10-04 10:52:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x5cdd90…
10-04 10:48:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x74cf70…
10-04 10:41:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x8e90a0…
09-17 07:43:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xcb837e…
09-17 07:38:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdc7c98…
09-17 07:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x78ba87…
09-17 07:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc048cc…
09-17 05:27:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	25	51¢	$13	0x18fa22…
09-17 05:26:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x781d7a…
09-17 04:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe7ab90…
09-17 04:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xaf1b31…
09-17 04:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x705c1f…
09-15 08:35:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0xa8fe17…
09-14 13:36:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xfdf3a0…
09-14 13:27:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x717401…
09-14 13:16:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x14314e…
09-14 13:04:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x3cf195…
09-14 13:01:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xd0e50a…
09-13 19:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x355dad…
09-13 19:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x662142…
09-13 19:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0e3612…
09-13 18:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1311d1…
09-13 18:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe6ea8d…
09-13 18:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x022a10…
09-13 18:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	28	38¢	$11	0xb159a8…
09-13 18:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x790b01…
09-13 18:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x95e936…
09-13 18:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x799c2b…
09-13 18:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0xf003b6…
09-13 18:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe880f2…
09-13 18:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x152790…
09-13 18:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xc50018…
09-13 18:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x976687…
09-13 18:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb9702f…
09-13 18:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x666fb9…
09-13 17:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x70af04…
09-13 17:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa8a398…
09-13 17:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0xfe4621…
09-13 17:51:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	93	22¢	$20	0x49d0fd…
09-13 17:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xf810bd…
09-13 17:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xccdd2e…
09-13 17:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x2f1ceb…
09-13 17:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x8e78bb…
09-13 17:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2c0e6c…
09-13 17:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	67¢	$11	0xa214b6…
09-13 17:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xdd109e…
09-13 17:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb49396…
09-13 17:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x34e16c…
09-13 17:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf37d71…
09-13 17:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x692b03…
09-13 17:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb15701…
09-13 16:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3cd527…
09-13 16:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x033c17…
09-13 16:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0xa1ae3e…
09-13 16:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x8e2e39…
09-13 16:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x63435a…
09-13 16:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb725c1…
09-13 16:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5d1e77…
09-13 16:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xd8edd9…
09-13 16:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x6505ad…
09-13 16:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x868563…
09-13 16:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xfd8159…
09-13 16:04:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xd8b27e…
09-13 15:56:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x3db8d5…
09-13 15:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xa87b86…
09-13 15:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe480eb…
09-13 15:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3bc90d…
09-13 15:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf25a7b…
09-13 06:20:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xeb0fd0…
09-13 06:19:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	20¢	$10	0xf1260f…
09-13 06:18:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x25bfca…
09-13 06:18:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x71c0d5…
09-13 06:16:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x360b0b…
09-12 16:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xc0a5a2…
09-12 16:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x1a6a40…
09-12 15:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x73ce85…
09-12 15:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf5a35c…
09-12 15:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x67edd4…
09-12 15:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x326b91…
09-12 15:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf7d3d5…
09-12 15:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xac64b1…
09-12 14:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd01172…
09-12 14:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x6a828e…
09-12 14:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xe04f5d…
09-12 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc1ccf9…
09-12 14:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4a05ee…
09-12 14:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x16be80…
09-12 14:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x90a118…
09-12 14:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xd2276e…
09-12 14:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x53dd7c…
09-12 14:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd21959…