Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.99K

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-09-26

last 10-26 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

54% 76% -$730

Other

46% 71% -$2,261

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+66	$48	60¢	$40	-$8	10-26 23:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	11	$1.9K	2,478	96	+2,382	Yes	-$1,879	10-09 00:06
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$1.1K	803	803	+0	open	—	10-24 02:07
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	4	$1.1K	2,079	2,079	+0	open	—	10-22 17:07
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$644	758	710	+48	Yes	-$506	10-25 23:34
will trump say ceasefire during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	1	$600	647	0	+647	No	+$47	10-13 23:13
cfb wkent smho 2026 10 14	2	$547	976	976	+0	Western Kentucky	-$39	10-15 02:05
Will Trump say "Vegan" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	1	$536	596	0	+596	No	+$60	10-12 18:06
Trump insults Anthropic CEO this week?	4	$489	260	260	+0	No	+$31	10-05 20:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	3	$480	276	276	+0	No	+$0	10-06 21:09
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?	3	$477	250	250	+0	Yes	+$22	10-03 03:14
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	3	$459	255	255	+0	Yes	+$26	10-06 21:08
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	3	$437	349	349	+0	open	—	10-10 18:35
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	22	$432	644	228	+417	Yes	-$312	10-05 02:07
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	2	$422	237	237	+0	No	+$19	10-07 23:11
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	2	$404	246	246	+0	open	—	10-07 12:01
Will Trump say "Gay" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	1	$381	409	0	+409	No	+$28	10-10 18:37
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	4	$368	229	229	+0	Yes	+$18	10-10 18:36
Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?	7	$307	205	205	+0	open	—	10-21 18:51
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	1	$250	448	0	+448	Yes	-$250	10-05 02:42
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?	1	$250	290	0	+290	No	+$40	10-02 03:01
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	2	$244	265	0	+265	No	+$21	09-26 14:28
Lula participates in debate before first round?	3	$242	123	123	+0	No	+$2	10-03 11:50
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	4	$235	277	0	+277	No	+$42	09-26 14:11
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	1	$220	230	0	+230	No	+$10	09-26 02:49
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	2	$216	338	0	+338	Yes	-$216	10-05 02:51
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$214	147	147	+0	open	—	10-06 14:39
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$213	178	178	+0	open	—	10-06 12:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$213	166	166	+0	open	—	10-06 14:40
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026?	5	$206	106	106	+0	No	+$4	10-03 21:15
will trump say healthcare during his midterm rally in montana october 14	1	$197	364	0	+364	Yes	-$197	10-15 00:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:00:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	66	72¢	$48	0xbd8ad8…
10-25 23:34:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x4ceed1…
10-25 23:34:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	710	6¢	$45	0x2f6e7d…
10-24 02:07:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	710	78¢	$554	0x82b780…
10-24 02:07:33	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	803	69¢	$554	0x8ad7b8…
10-22 17:09:44	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	803	71¢	$567	0x2700ec…
10-22 17:07:02	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	2,079	27¢	$567	0x49356f…
10-21 18:57:15	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	520	29¢	$149	0xc8832c…
10-21 18:51:30	Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x462e8e…
10-20 08:12:28	Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x02a6a0…
10-20 08:07:20	Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xfea3e9…
10-20 08:07:07	Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xd6d954…
10-15 11:39:18	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	587	24¢	$141	0xc032da…
10-15 03:39:16	us iran ceasefire continues through the midterms	No	BUY	973	24¢	$234	0xb17a08…
10-15 02:11:31	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8358a9…
10-15 02:05:26	cfb wkent smho 2026 10 14	Sam Houston	SELL	976	26¢	$254	0x4a2b7a…
10-15 01:16:02	cfb wkent smho 2026 10 14	Sam Houston	BUY	976	30¢	$293	0x790873…
10-15 00:46:10	will trump say healthcare during his midterm rally in montana october 14	No	BUY	364	54¢	$197	0x1f833e…
10-15 00:44:37	will trump say iran during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	126	87¢	$110	0xe7e9cf…
10-14 21:28:00	will trump say nevada during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	No	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x649994…
10-14 21:27:27	will trump say ice during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	No	BUY	73	82¢	$60	0xd6e8ef…
10-13 23:13:13	will trump say ceasefire during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	647	93¢	$600	0xf65bac…
10-12 18:06:48	Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x521e7d…
10-12 18:06:11	Will Trump say "Vegan" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	596	90¢	$536	0x19e6d1…
10-12 15:52:45	Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by October 31?	No	SELL	144	67¢	$97	0x793a48…
10-12 15:52:30	Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?	No	SELL	41	64¢	$26	0x1e5115…
10-10 18:37:30	Will Trump say "Gay" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	409	93¢	$381	0x446cf9…
10-10 18:36:19	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	SELL	160	83¢	$133	0xc7a0cb…
10-10 18:35:57	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	SELL	96	66¢	$64	0x331953…
10-10 18:35:46	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	SELL	253	67¢	$169	0x029ae3…
10-09 00:06:33	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	SELL	96	26¢	$25	0x786f7e…
10-08 02:28:05	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	74	84¢	$62	0xb71982…
10-08 02:27:47	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0xdd68c3…
10-08 02:27:17	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xad55b9…
10-07 23:12:08	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	294	74¢	$218	0xc5fed4…
10-07 23:11:52	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	SELL	237	93¢	$221	0xa5c647…
10-07 20:17:05	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	147	80¢	$118	0x7e1230…
10-07 20:16:56	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	89¢	$94	0xf85fbb…
10-07 20:16:28	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	SELL	29	87¢	$25	0xa06b60…
10-07 16:52:25	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	323	77¢	$248	0x491548…
10-07 15:35:50	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	89	70¢	$62	0x518b87…
10-07 14:00:11	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0xf8c205…
10-07 12:01:08	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	SELL	246	82¢	$202	0x07f9ca…
10-07 02:55:08	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x163b51…
10-06 21:09:42	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	642	75¢	$482	0xbb7f7f…
10-06 21:09:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	276	87¢	$240	0x092d03…
10-06 21:08:59	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	SELL	221	95¢	$210	0x43fb0e…
10-06 21:08:45	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x84c3eb…
10-06 16:03:06	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	398	76¢	$303	0x7e4383…
10-06 14:51:20	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x8fb4ad…
10-06 14:40:36	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	SELL	71	88¢	$63	0x8da140…
10-06 14:40:09	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	166	64¢	$106	0x5b8fcc…
10-06 14:39:47	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	73¢	$107	0x53944c…
10-06 12:23:33	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	178	60¢	$107	0x6e32d1…
10-05 23:56:34	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	399	82¢	$327	0x31902c…
10-05 23:54:52	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 6?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xd2b7c7…
10-05 22:21:17	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xc8d209…
10-05 22:21:02	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7b833b…
10-05 22:11:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x0a6ec2…
10-05 22:11:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	195	87¢	$170	0x1d4c5e…
10-05 20:55:43	Trump insults Anthropic CEO this week?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x377979…
10-05 20:55:43	Trump insults Anthropic CEO this week?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x0f4a88…
10-05 20:55:41	Trump insults Anthropic CEO this week?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xae4386…
10-05 09:03:38	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x1b0f6f…
10-05 07:49:29	will the iea ask germany to release oil stocks by october 31	No	BUY	144	65¢	$94	0x30dba5…
10-05 05:18:32	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	180	82¢	$148	0xc7f066…
10-05 04:57:17	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xa53998…
10-05 02:54:37	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	BUY	71	91¢	$65	0x07ffa1…
10-05 02:53:28	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	BUY	246	82¢	$202	0xdbe2bf…
10-05 02:51:07	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x596db6…
10-05 02:45:38	will the iea ask france to release oil stocks by october 31	No	BUY	205	61¢	$125	0x6c8500…
10-05 02:44:43	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	73¢	$107	0x80658d…
10-05 02:44:28	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	64¢	$106	0x785f35…
10-05 02:44:08	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	178	60¢	$106	0x8ea726…
10-05 02:42:37	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	BUY	349	59¢	$204	0x5dee5e…
10-05 02:42:05	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	BUY	448	56¢	$250	0x3b88f7…
10-05 02:40:19	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x2c7484…
10-05 02:07:49	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	SELL	53	5¢	$3	0x137c49…
10-05 01:50:26	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	SELL	118	19¢	$22	0xaca0b3…
10-05 01:32:47	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	SELL	57	63¢	$36	0x1abf7c…
10-04 21:30:41	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x4a9c33…
10-04 21:10:50	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	73	65¢	$47	0x6ef88d…
10-04 18:08:35	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	71	62¢	$44	0x82386c…
10-04 18:08:01	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf371e3…
10-04 18:08:01	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x698dd4…
10-04 18:07:59	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf1ec9d…
10-04 18:07:02	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf0f835…
10-04 18:06:56	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x5ab771…
10-04 18:06:05	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xbdfe1d…
10-04 18:06:04	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xac467c…
10-04 18:06:02	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3139e4…
10-04 18:06:02	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2ec164…
10-04 18:05:59	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x15e0c7…
10-04 18:05:16	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc8817f…
10-04 16:31:04	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	BUY	229	76¢	$175	0x0f3905…
10-04 15:36:37	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x1ff466…
10-04 15:31:19	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x343db2…
10-04 15:30:17	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	46	49¢	$22	0xcb4a6e…
10-04 15:28:23	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	148	49¢	$73	0x1623a4…
10-03 21:15:31	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$85	0x5888b7…