Dirty-Incident — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-18 11:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$2

Crypto

32% 89% -$1

Politics

5% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	1	$144	144	+144	No	+$0	04-09 10:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	1	$144	144	+144	No	+$0	05-23 09:36
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	1	$144	144	+144	No	+$0	04-16 07:01
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	1	$144	144	+144	No	+$0	03-24 08:48
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 190 214	1	$144	144	+144	No	+$0	04-21 06:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	1	$144	144	+144	Yes	+$0	05-13 10:20
elon musk of tweets march 2026 840 879	1	$144	144	+144	No	+$0	03-19 09:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	1	$143	143	+143	No	+$0	05-01 06:24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	1	$142	142	+142	No	+$0	05-08 13:52
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 80 99	1	$140	140	+140	No	+$0	03-06 11:08
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$139	140	+140	No	+$1	02-15 03:11
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 200 219	1	$139	139	+139	No	+$0	02-10 09:14
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	1	$139	139	+139	No	+$0	02-03 03:44
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	1	$139	139	+139	No	+$0	01-30 09:46
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	1	$139	139	+139	No	+$0	01-26 07:59
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	1	$139	139	+139	No	+$0	01-21 09:01
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1280 1319	1	$139	139	+139	No	+$0	01-17 02:27
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	1	$138	138	+138	No	+$0	01-07 09:36
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	1	$138	138	+138	No	+$0	03-12 02:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	1	$120	120	+120	No	+$0	05-30 03:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	1	$120	120	+120	No	+$0	05-28 10:43
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	05-28 10:35
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	08-26 13:58
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$13	14	+14	No	+$0	07-23 10:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	09-21 14:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	10-18 11:41
bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	03-06 11:09
Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	10-18 11:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	1	$2	1,050	+1,050	Yes	-$2	05-28 10:38
Giants vs. Rams	1	$1	2	+2	Rams	+$1	09-21 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 11:41:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xef5304…
10-18 11:38:38	Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc5dd0e…
09-21 14:19:53	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xde160c…
09-21 14:17:05	Giants vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xa8cd71…
08-26 13:58:16	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8d8939…
07-23 10:34:06	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xcb0cd6…
05-30 03:36:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x42a48f…
05-28 10:43:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x9e7f00…
05-28 10:38:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x3edcea…
05-28 10:35:48	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6db34a…
05-23 09:36:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x933b81…
05-13 10:20:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x4a0a55…
05-08 13:52:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x6cc7dd…
05-01 06:24:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xfd8a65…
04-21 06:51:10	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 190 214	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x74874a…
04-16 07:01:52	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xe47226…
04-09 10:44:43	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xac631e…
03-24 08:48:01	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xe94328…
03-19 09:28:33	elon musk of tweets march 2026 840 879	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x9ec9f5…
03-12 02:29:13	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd91535…
03-12 02:29:05	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x981d51…
03-12 02:28:57	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xff1766…
03-06 11:09:05	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x089c78…
03-06 11:08:57	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 80 99	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x5089ce…
02-15 03:11:21	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x6b225d…
02-10 09:14:11	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 200 219	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x5b4d70…
02-03 03:44:48	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x4d3bb8…
01-30 09:46:22	will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x267dd0…
01-26 07:59:35	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x7684eb…
01-21 09:01:22	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xdbed10…
01-17 02:27:52	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1280 1319	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xa01773…
01-07 09:36:55	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xff9073…