Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
75
lifetime
Volume
$970
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$528
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 22:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
100%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +101 $79 96¢ $98 +$18 05-05 19:33
Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +97 $94 98¢ $94 +$1 05-05 22:30
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No +84 $70 79¢ $66 $-5 05-05 00:15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +52 $45 83¢ $43 $-2 05-05 12:01
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes +61 $28 60¢ $37 +$9 05-05 18:42
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +35 $34 98¢ $35 +$1 05-05 12:01
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +52 $39 64¢ $33 $-6 05-05 12:01
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No +84 $36 28¢ $23 $-13 05-05 00:15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +32 $24 70¢ $23 $-2 05-04 23:59
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes +43 $13 33¢ $14 +$2 05-05 19:33
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes +30 $2 37¢ $11 +$9 05-05 19:33
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +11 $11 90¢ $10 $-1 05-04 20:04
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +15 $11 67¢ $10 $-1 05-05 14:05
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +17 $8 40¢ $7 $-2 05-05 22:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes +20 $4 30¢ $6 +$1 05-05 12:01
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +84 $19 $5 $-14 05-05 00:15
Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026? No +8 $7 70¢ $5 $-2 05-05 21:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes +36 $6 12¢ $5 $-2 05-05 12:01
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 +$0 05-05 22:30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-1 05-05 12:01
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes +47 $2 $1 $-1 05-05 12:01
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +84 $4 $1 $-4 05-05 00:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes +39 $1 $0 $-1 05-04 23:59
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? No +36 $31 $0 $-31 05-04 20:04