Traumatic-Guacamole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,183

lifetime

Volume

$327.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$276

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-05 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

44% 46% -$10,283

Other

40% 43% -$21,308

Tech

9% 55% +$7,469

Pop-Culture

4% 100% +$622

Sports

3% 86% +$1,133

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	179	$52.2K	29,627	31,599	-1,972	Yes	-$748	02-12 01:51
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	57	$41.1K	24,440	24,440	+0	Yes	+$7,584	01-31 19:06
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	56	$20.4K	25,069	5,489	+19,581	No	-$14,276	02-12 08:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	30	$19.2K	48,215	48,215	+0	No	-$2,894	01-18 03:24
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	37	$17.9K	13,877	13,877	+0	Yes	-$2,965	02-28 06:57
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	30	$17.7K	11,824	11,818	+6	No	-$428	02-03 19:59
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	24	$14.3K	19,037	12,996	+6,041	No	-$3,698	02-03 02:22
will lady gaga win 3 grammys	10	$13.9K	7,296	7,296	+0	No	+$622	02-03 02:13
another us government shutdown by february 14	35	$13.4K	19,433	19,433	+0	No	-$2,265	02-14 09:30
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	54	$12.8K	35,799	35,799	+0	No	-$3,783	04-15 03:29
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	69	$9.3K	11,478	10,112	+1,366	No	-$3,722	01-06 19:18
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	29	$8.9K	0	13,286	-13,286	Yes	-$4,407	01-14 21:30
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	41	$7.3K	7,139	7,139	+0	No	-$1,326	01-15 17:41
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	7	$6.8K	3,760	3,760	+0	Yes	+$563	02-20 00:02
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	9	$5.8K	5,960	0	+5,960	Yes	+$166	02-03 06:25
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	31	$5.3K	2,842	2,842	+0	Yes	-$31	01-10 23:06
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	7	$4.3K	17,127	0	+17,127	Yes	+$12,809	06-05 06:48
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$4.3K	2,277	2,277	+0	No	+$180	02-12 03:40
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	75	$4.2K	2,397	2,392	+5	Yes	+$285	04-30 20:12
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	10	$4.1K	2,957	2,957	+0	No	-$747	01-26 23:54
will axiom be accused of insider trading	18	$3.6K	3,893	3,893	+0	Yes	+$27	02-26 11:57
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	15	$3.4K	6,601	6,601	+0	No	-$1,536	05-28 18:36
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	14	$3.2K	5,279	5,279	+0	No	-$793	01-16 21:10
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	22	$2.7K	2,011	2,011	+0	No	-$3	01-13 18:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	10	$2.6K	1,805	1,805	+0	No	-$161	01-22 01:03
us strikes yemen by december 31	5	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$1,422	01-03 07:31
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	32	$2.5K	7,600	5,138	+2,462	No	-$796	01-01 22:58
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	6	$2.1K	2,947	0	+2,947	Yes	+$822	01-03 09:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$12	02-25 17:33
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	16	$2.0K	3,553	3,552	+0	No	-$109	04-11 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 06:48:48	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x3b19b2…
06-05 06:48:40	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xe64449…
05-28 18:36:35	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,589	1¢	$19	0xfc32ae…
05-22 06:44:50	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	780	22¢	$172	0xb0110b…
05-22 06:43:26	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	22¢	$880	0x89c245…
05-22 06:43:07	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,307	21¢	$484	0x28c4fe…
05-22 06:42:53	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	20¢	$400	0x3d6cd7…
05-07 07:03:48	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0x44e74b…
05-02 21:40:44	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xa87620…
05-02 11:38:56	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	7¢	$2	0x365a0b…
05-02 11:16:40	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	7¢	$4	0x6ec3ff…
05-02 11:16:20	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x202d82…
05-01 05:38:44	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	12¢	$16	0xb5d439…
04-30 22:34:02	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	11¢	$77	0xaf354d…
04-30 21:30:40	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	11¢	$33	0x214836…
04-30 20:24:44	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,000	30¢	$2,372	0x9b844f…
04-30 20:14:06	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	226	12¢	$26	0x7d7dd0…
04-30 20:12:04	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,006	100¢	$1,005	0xf754ca…
04-30 19:45:30	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x464d65…
04-30 18:30:04	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	502	97¢	$488	0x7e8b12…
04-30 17:53:14	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x49742d…
04-30 17:52:24	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xed9285…
04-30 17:14:04	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	194	97¢	$188	0xc9bca0…
04-30 17:13:32	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	97¢	$137	0x8e1784…
04-30 05:46:06	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	75¢	$158	0x39d152…
04-30 05:14:04	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	73¢	$112	0xbb2ccd…
04-30 05:10:42	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xed5f64…
04-30 05:05:12	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	73¢	$62	0xd794d4…
04-30 05:05:10	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0xa0132e…
04-24 17:15:22	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	181	9¢	$17	0x5519be…
04-24 17:14:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,277	10¢	$128	0x8c4898…
04-24 17:14:44	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xf1f5f7…
04-24 17:14:42	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	928	12¢	$113	0xb5709c…
04-24 07:24:58	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xed3716…
04-24 04:15:26	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0xf2f9da…
04-23 22:21:04	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	382	19¢	$73	0x3cc89a…
04-23 21:26:06	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x016daf…
04-23 16:01:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	850	87¢	$740	0xe29c35…
04-22 22:32:14	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	85¢	$246	0xc16e34…
04-22 17:43:42	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0xcffee9…
04-22 14:38:34	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xdf3c08…
04-22 14:04:30	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	19¢	$38	0x8eef1d…
04-22 14:04:10	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	24¢	$17	0xca4d0a…
04-22 12:31:44	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x75682b…
04-22 12:25:04	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x831106…
04-22 11:46:24	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x8735d0…
04-22 11:46:02	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xce8972…
04-22 11:45:40	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x069a72…
04-22 11:45:16	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x9fdd6e…
04-22 11:40:56	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x6af9a5…
04-22 10:38:32	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	24¢	$66	0xe9aee3…
04-22 09:46:56	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x5f5af1…
04-22 08:44:50	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xbc08ca…
04-22 08:25:02	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x5829f5…
04-22 08:19:44	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x9b0dab…
04-22 08:19:22	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x63fa94…
04-22 08:19:00	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x24717d…
04-22 08:18:34	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x260168…
04-22 08:18:14	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xb0402b…
04-22 08:14:26	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x997618…
04-22 08:14:24	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x150db0…
04-22 08:08:08	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x06b87b…
04-22 07:58:18	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x573b98…
04-22 07:53:26	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x2bbdbb…
04-22 07:43:26	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x6e1bb4…
04-22 07:39:36	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x0439dd…
04-22 07:35:46	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xeb0d97…
04-22 05:02:06	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xacecf1…
04-22 04:29:20	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	24¢	$144	0xfc98c9…
04-21 07:59:12	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x856f91…
04-21 07:25:58	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xbf5e1c…
04-21 06:57:34	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x21446c…
04-21 06:52:16	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb5374b…
04-21 06:01:22	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0x9134e6…
04-21 05:59:14	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa6273a…
04-21 04:08:52	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xde4321…
04-21 03:18:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x40e52d…
04-21 03:08:52	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf9c8a0…
04-21 02:49:00	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x397ba9…
04-21 02:47:18	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf97f06…
04-21 02:47:18	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	71¢	$14	0x25bf8d…
04-21 02:38:56	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5d2cf3…
04-21 02:28:56	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x170fd0…
04-21 02:28:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x11a4f5…
04-21 02:28:40	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb4b126…
04-21 02:28:34	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x179fdb…
04-21 02:18:50	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5006d9…
04-21 02:18:44	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa2aefa…
04-21 02:08:52	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe67550…
04-21 02:08:44	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x283d5f…
04-21 02:08:38	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9a8316…
04-21 01:58:56	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xcdb525…
04-21 01:58:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x123d97…
04-21 01:58:42	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xbf259a…
04-21 01:58:36	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5ee51e…
04-21 01:48:52	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x46ef72…
04-21 01:48:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc8a375…
04-21 01:38:54	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa93d8e…
04-21 01:38:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x1cf509…
04-21 01:38:42	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x1080e7…