Hollow-Mug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

122

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 05:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

94% 55% +$7

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-30 23:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-25 08:39
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-16 15:29
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 13:47
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:03
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-25 12:54
will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-29 02:44
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-21 05:24
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 04:18
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 21:15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 10?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 19:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-07 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-04 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-17 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 1?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-01 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-30 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-26 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-08 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 14?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-14 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 7?	9	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 18?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-17 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 05:53:36	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf4eacb…
07-04 00:47:01	will aniya harvey be eliminated from love island usa this week 20260626220759014	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x40a4d3…
06-29 02:44:19	will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe17eee…
06-29 00:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xac32e9…
06-29 00:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc54052…
06-29 00:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x35bda6…
06-28 23:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xae9f9c…
06-28 04:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x099ad1…
06-28 04:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x2316f3…
06-27 13:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x0e84c9…
06-27 12:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7fc062…
06-26 12:52:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x20f678…
06-26 12:03:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcba0af…
06-25 12:54:19	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x26a1d1…
06-25 09:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x378f6c…
06-25 08:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x52aa3c…
06-24 16:00:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xac1fb9…
06-24 12:20:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x4f503f…
06-24 02:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x635083…
06-23 21:42:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x10a6ab…
06-23 21:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 24?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb2f184…
06-23 21:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x511595…
06-23 04:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x76a47c…
06-23 01:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7132da…
06-21 17:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x6fa0d3…
06-21 16:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 22?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x663c66…
06-21 16:08:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 22?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2844ed…
06-21 16:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1ccb7c…
06-21 14:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 22?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xbd9f83…
06-21 05:24:14	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3b69f6…
06-20 08:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x839c9d…
06-20 07:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xc7c61a…
06-19 09:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8fe15b…
06-19 09:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfebbdd…
06-17 12:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2ebe02…
06-17 12:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x55db7f…
06-17 12:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4577a2…
06-17 12:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 18?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd241d9…
06-17 12:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf0e5c8…
06-17 12:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2be688…
06-17 12:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xffd32c…
06-16 15:29:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc61f67…
06-16 02:20:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xe74a81…
06-15 06:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9577e6…
06-15 03:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf701c8…
06-14 03:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xe12a07…
06-14 03:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd5c6c2…
06-14 03:19:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x55d552…
06-14 03:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 14?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x50b253…
06-13 12:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x47217f…
06-13 10:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6345bb…
06-12 11:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2db3ac…
06-12 11:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5be761…
06-12 05:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x254e6a…
06-11 12:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x6258f9…
06-10 16:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe24222…
06-10 16:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc704f7…
06-09 00:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xbe5496…
06-09 00:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 9?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd2ee97…
06-08 03:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x92575c…
06-08 03:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x1447be…
06-08 03:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x0b82f9…
06-08 03:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 8?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xb20ef5…
06-07 07:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xa15c70…
06-07 07:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4a243d…
06-06 18:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x53f40b…
06-06 15:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2268db…
06-06 07:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xca3fcc…
06-06 07:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x310c67…
06-06 01:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 6?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6c5858…
06-05 08:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbe63d5…
06-05 08:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 5?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xab4f3c…
06-04 09:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 4?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xf395d4…
06-04 09:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x507360…
06-04 04:18:25	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4fdf05…
06-03 12:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x816d5f…
06-03 08:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x3b70e2…
06-03 05:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 3?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1a4a66…
06-02 16:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x82cd9e…
06-02 16:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x653c9a…
06-02 12:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xabb1a0…
06-02 01:37:41	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5e1e53…
06-01 14:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x1e2095…
06-01 12:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc6e019…
06-01 03:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa4dbb9…
06-01 03:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x7439ca…
05-31 22:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfa2bc9…
05-31 19:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x2be77b…
05-31 19:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc4f5a7…
05-31 19:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x785aa1…
05-31 19:17:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf83831…
05-31 19:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc2078f…
05-31 19:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8b4ab2…
05-31 12:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xef0cc0…
05-31 00:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xe76e76…
05-30 23:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 31?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x6d672b…
05-30 23:13:13	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3afc62…
05-30 07:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x8bd5c7…
05-30 07:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2d0d9f…
05-29 09:07:09	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8aa1a4…