Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$179

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 09-23 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

83% 55% +$5

Politics

13% 50% -$4

Tech

3% 50% -$1

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2	$4	10	+10	Yes	+$2	09-17 04:46
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$4	8	+8	Yes	+$2	08-02 16:28
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 13:34
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-23 14:24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-18 21:27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-03 21:46
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-23 06:23
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-15 20:01
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-07 23:35
spy up or down on august 5 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	08-05 00:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-17 12:54
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-17 21:36
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-08 09:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-12 03:10
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-17 23:15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	09-01 18:17
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-19 05:33
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-21 22:19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-19 22:13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-20 13:59
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-08 18:00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-13 05:19
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-05 09:00
spy closes above 780 on august 14 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-14 00:49
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 06:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-02 05:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-06 01:02
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-05 17:01
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-30 06:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-13 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 14:24:58	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x151a1b…
09-23 06:23:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x061fb9…
09-21 22:19:18	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0562d4…
09-20 13:59:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x15f073…
09-19 22:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd7ebe0…
09-19 13:34:27	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xec3799…
09-19 05:33:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbce311…
09-18 21:27:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xa1efc9…
09-17 21:36:00	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x26ae8e…
09-17 12:54:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x8882af…
09-17 04:46:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x1d591f…
09-15 20:01:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x4e643a…
09-15 19:56:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe0473d…
09-13 05:19:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xdb247b…
09-12 20:34:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9b1307…
09-12 03:10:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x5b9398…
09-11 17:27:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9f3f12…
09-08 18:00:12	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x9a1dc5…
09-08 09:07:21	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb465d7…
09-07 23:35:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xeaeb28…
09-07 14:13:58	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc990d7…
09-03 21:46:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe3d379…
09-03 13:31:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd782ab…
09-03 00:37:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xdef4f6…
09-02 14:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x27d58a…
09-02 05:35:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x17c3c4…
09-01 18:17:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1c424b…
09-01 06:59:54	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x21487c…
08-30 06:51:04	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5d1a17…
08-29 22:09:45	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x95afbc…
08-29 14:05:04	Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.1M in July?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb96cdb…
08-29 04:15:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xe446d0…
08-27 06:22:25	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xe9922a…
08-24 20:32:52	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1640c3…
08-22 23:24:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8be1ee…
08-22 13:42:07	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x96b3a9…
08-21 11:48:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd35fe9…
08-21 03:37:37	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x385113…
08-20 19:27:16	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7d68d1…
08-20 11:20:30	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x85b89b…
08-19 22:49:15	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2710e1…
08-19 14:21:49	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x861316…
08-19 01:53:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7007f4…
08-18 15:28:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd3c593…
08-18 07:18:49	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd1c965…
08-17 23:15:13	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb67091…
08-17 15:13:58	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc4e91a…
08-17 05:53:40	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3aaaed…
08-16 21:53:15	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x664418…
08-16 09:44:49	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x81ecda…
08-16 00:17:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x02e09b…
08-15 15:52:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7b7f88…
08-15 01:32:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc739ba…
08-14 17:18:33	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd6d605…
08-14 08:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc8dbd5…
08-14 00:49:48	spy closes above 780 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc90c83…
08-13 16:48:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1af427…
08-13 08:45:10	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd62b05…
08-13 00:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x944dce…
08-08 03:02:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x95aa50…
08-06 18:59:09	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xee0e10…
08-06 10:58:53	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x003df4…
08-06 09:02:42	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x878a8a…
08-06 01:02:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2b0323…
08-05 17:01:38	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd93397…
08-05 09:00:51	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xafde01…
08-05 00:53:38	spy up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc9d685…
08-04 16:52:41	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6ad765…
08-04 08:52:17	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xfd51c0…
08-04 00:51:54	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa83425…
08-03 16:50:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x2c68dc…
08-03 08:48:47	will open reach 4 00 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x69d72d…
08-03 00:29:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd85e86…
08-02 16:28:17	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x51782f…
08-02 06:43:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xbd3f3f…
08-02 06:41:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xaa4abf…
08-02 06:40:27	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3c9f83…
08-01 22:38:36	will iran target a arab country on august 6 2026 20260801004719123	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa948c6…
08-01 13:50:24	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc045ad…
08-01 03:46:51	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf00e78…
07-31 19:46:41	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2bb39a…
07-31 11:45:48	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x90a095…
07-30 09:58:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x491b6d…
07-30 00:51:11	will apple say apple pay during earnings call 20260727155548222	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xee886c…
07-29 11:02:48	will warsh say holding during july press conference 20260728013709204	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0c3e93…
07-29 00:32:01	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4ed303…
07-28 15:28:23	will trump say data center during cabinet meeting 20260727172357448	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xe12343…
07-28 02:54:06	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa9aa65…
07-27 18:28:04	Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5e98b1…
07-27 04:17:55	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x6248aa…
07-26 16:17:37	will trump say hottest during michigan remarks 20260724162420370	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8877c3…
07-26 04:16:54	will warsh say projection during july press conference 20260720204109048	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x724de9…