Concerned-Presence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 06-08 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$2

Politics

43% 100% +$1

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event	8	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 01:07
will trump post potus this week on truth social	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	04-20 07:08
will trump say soleimani during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-21 15:02
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-21 15:27
will trump say gay during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-21 15:24
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	04-13 15:43
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	04-22 22:12
will trump say beautiful 3 times during tpusa events on april 17	3	$12	10	2	+8	open	—	04-18 00:38
will mrbeasts latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-09 16:05
Will Marco Rubio say "Radical" or "Clerical" during press briefing today?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 22:04
will sketch score a goal in the 2026 sidemen charity match	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 16:33
will xqc score a goal in the 2026 sidemen charity match	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 16:33
will trump say weather or rain or raining during the white house easter egg roll	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-06 19:15
will trump say construction during the white house easter egg roll	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-07 00:13
will trump say hottest during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 13:14
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 13:01
will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 13:00
will trump say sleepy joe or biden during the white house easter egg roll	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 18:20
will starmer say thank 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	3	$10	16	11	+5	open	—	04-22 11:50
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-07 23:03
will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 13:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-09 13:45
will trump say third term in march	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-01 13:38
will the dhs shutdown last 48 days or more 945	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-29 02:41
will the dhs shutdown last 44 days or more 544	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-28 10:51
will claude opus 4 7 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	3	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-24 20:35
will trump say where is 3 times during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 21:35
will no qualifying event occur on april 21	4	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 12:47
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$9	200	200	+0	open	—	05-18 23:36
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	2	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	04-13 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 20:56:39	will john ternus say ai or artificial intelligence 20 times during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x71e759…
06-08 20:35:49	will john ternus say siri during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x99dcb3…
06-08 18:22:33	will john ternus say fluid during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd1d82f…
06-08 18:22:28	will john ternus say siri during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x83af4b…
06-08 18:17:13	will john ternus say ai or artificial intelligence 20 times during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3fe707…
06-07 23:03:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc40620…
06-07 22:57:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x172510…
06-06 16:01:36	will mrbeast say best during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409606	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfeb307…
06-06 16:01:24	will mrbeast say farm during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409601	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8e65dd…
06-06 16:00:46	will mrbeast say minecraft during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409592	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f4309…
06-05 21:11:18	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during wisconsin events 20260602174202018	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x99b5ac…
06-05 21:08:12	will trump say egg during wisconsin events 20260602174202014	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1f16c9…
06-05 21:06:28	will trump say drug during wisconsin events 20260602174202016	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x479d0a…
06-04 19:48:58	will trump say job 10 times during coal announcement 20260604130800069	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xd555c5…
06-04 19:42:45	will trump say coal 20 times during coal announcement	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70110c…
06-04 19:32:33	will trump say job 10 times during coal announcement 20260604130800069	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc617c…
06-04 19:29:57	will trump say coal 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800070	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa0099c…
06-03 19:55:58	will oil or gas be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x313479…
06-03 19:55:43	will housing or house be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0063bd…
06-03 11:50:54	Will Dr. Oz say "Oil" or "Gas" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd99f5b…
06-03 11:50:43	Will Dr. Oz say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc34bec…
06-03 11:50:31	Will Dr. Oz say "China" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f7bd2…
06-02 20:01:35	Will Dr. Oz say "Department of War" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6232a1…
06-02 17:37:26	Will Dr. Oz say "Go ahead" 3+ times during the press briefing?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbc7b17…
06-02 17:31:31	Will Dr. Oz say "Thing" 10+ times during the press briefing?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x31108a…
06-02 17:27:28	Will Dr. Oz say "Congress" during the press briefing?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38132c…
05-30 16:02:53	Will MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd10b9b…
05-29 22:49:01	Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x61746c…
05-29 22:48:57	will innovation be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 695 841	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x11d184…
05-29 22:48:50	Will "Pope" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xebcf3d…
05-28 18:34:50	Will Bessent say "Stock Market" during Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdb8dcd…
05-28 18:09:54	will bessent say trump account during press briefing	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x51f709…
05-18 23:36:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$2	0x998ab6…
05-18 23:36:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$3	0xdcf4ca…
05-18 23:30:37	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x9c3530…
05-11 20:35:07	Will Trump say "Coach" 15+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x20e13e…
05-11 20:29:17	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xfa417d…
05-11 20:24:28	Will Trump say "Run" or "Running" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d9e98…
05-11 12:31:34	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xee92d4…
05-08 22:47:06	Will "Telescope" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2e282d…
05-08 22:46:58	Will "AI" be said 35+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe8b73e…
05-08 22:46:49	Will "Comparison" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4cc81b…
05-08 22:46:45	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa94311…
05-08 22:46:44	Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb8e73…
05-06 19:10:12	Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9fc5ce…
05-06 19:10:12	Will "Crazy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9da638…
05-06 19:10:12	Will "Scam" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8c4c2f…
05-06 19:10:12	Will "Patreon" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x65a37a…
05-06 16:54:50	Will Trump or Melania say "Trump" at the Military Mothers event?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b21dc…
05-06 16:53:44	Will Trump or Melania say "Child" 5+ times at the Military Mothers event?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcf3cc5…
05-05 22:47:14	Will JD Vance say "Competitor" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x34858a…
05-05 22:21:56	Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7559d9…
05-05 22:20:48	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x777f31…
05-05 22:11:22	Will JD Vance's remarks not air?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x82ec79…
05-05 22:04:44	Will Marco Rubio say "Radical" or "Clerical" during press briefing today?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x04552d…
05-05 21:04:30	Will Marco Rubio say "Diplomacy" during press briefing today?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0055fd…
05-05 20:55:24	Will Marco Rubio say "Diplomacy" during press briefing today?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe8dee3…
05-05 20:50:20	Will Marco Rubio say "Diplomacy" during press briefing today?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5f8fba…
05-05 20:25:20	Will Marco Rubio say "Diplomacy" during press briefing today?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa494d1…
05-05 19:46:08	Will Marco Rubio say "Radical" or "Clerical" during press briefing today?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x931f20…
05-05 19:27:26	Will Marco Rubio say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press briefing today?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x18705c…
05-05 19:25:20	Will Marco Rubio say "Venezuela" or "Maduro" during press briefing today?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc585c1…
05-05 19:22:32	Will Marco Rubio say "Diplomacy" during press briefing today?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe7d2dd…
05-05 19:21:30	Will Marco Rubio say "EU" or "Europe" during press briefing today?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x741d4b…
05-05 19:17:36	Will Marco Rubio say "Regime" or "Administration" 5+ times during press briefing today?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa6f502…
05-04 20:54:44	Will Trump say "Coal" during Small Business Summit?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x86c631…
05-04 20:07:46	Will Trump say "Trump" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x281344…
05-04 19:58:32	Will Trump say "Crazy" or "Lunatic" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb81059…
05-03 23:16:32	Will Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc51b28…
05-03 22:51:30	Will Bernie Sanders say "Billion" or "Billionaire" 5+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5e3f82…
05-03 22:50:06	Will Bernie Sanders say "Amazon" or "Jeff" or "Bezos" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd677cc…
05-03 22:47:14	Will Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b17d9…
05-02 22:02:58	Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf85010…
05-01 22:20:26	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x3f3f97…
05-01 21:47:50	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x0a0629…
05-01 20:43:10	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x78e98b…
05-01 20:27:54	Will Trump say "Military" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x452c2a…
04-28 00:37:52	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b6549…
04-27 18:55:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x563556…
04-26 08:53:20	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd14bc0…
04-26 01:41:40	Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5a050a…
04-26 01:41:30	Will Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf539ac…
04-26 01:41:30	Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x44c0b5…
04-26 01:41:26	Will Trump say "Waste" or "Fraud" 2+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb24c3c…
04-26 01:41:08	Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc380f0…
04-26 00:38:54	Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?	No	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x251179…
04-26 00:36:48	Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe779a2…
04-25 18:50:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9af95e…
04-25 18:41:34	Bitcoin above 75,400 on April 25, 3PM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce29a0…
04-25 17:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdfbbb6…
04-25 00:29:14	will donald trumps tie be another color on april 24 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4b9dc2…
04-24 22:39:06	will anthropic be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 417	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3e29a…
04-24 20:35:12	will claude opus 4 7 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xad74a9…
04-24 20:33:14	will claude opus 4 7 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	Yes	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x5a6ba6…
04-24 20:31:44	will claude opus 4 7 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9cbf9c…
04-24 20:30:26	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	Yes	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x48e52e…
04-24 20:26:30	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x116842…
04-24 01:08:32	will trump say insurance during healthcare event	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5aa2f…
04-24 01:07:18	will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x308232…
04-23 21:27:44	will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x2a8c63…