Insidious-Sunbonnet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$685

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-04 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 32% -$40

Other

9% 0% -$44

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	5	$95	361	361	+0	Up	+$44	05-05 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	5	$67	124	61	+63	Up	+$17	05-09 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$62	78	78	+0	Down	+$12	05-10 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$40	43	43	+0	Up	+$18	05-05 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$38	28	28	+0	Up	+$18	05-05 22:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:00 UTC	2	$31	26	26	+0	Up	+$21	02-27 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:55 UTC	3	$29	70	0	+70	Down	-$29	06-04 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$26	185	12	+173	Up	-$7	05-06 01:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:55 UTC	2	$20	16	16	+0	Up	+$10	02-27 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$19	43	0	+43	Down	-$19	05-05 22:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$19	41	41	+0	No	$0	05-08 18:09
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?	1	$19	70	0	+70	No	-$19	05-09 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$15	94	0	+94	Up	-$15	05-10 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$15	62	0	+62	Up	-$15	05-09 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$15	39	0	+39	Up	-$15	05-06 00:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 07:20 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	02-26 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 01:00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	1	$12	51	0	+51	No	-$12	05-10 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$10	50	0	+50	Up	-$10	05-08 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:10 UTC	1	$10	33	0	+33	Down	-$10	02-27 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Up	-$10	05-09 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$10	55	0	+55	Down	-$10	05-06 00:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 07:35 UTC	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	+$16	02-26 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$10	41	0	+41	Up	-$10	06-01 18:52
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	3	$9	654	500	+154	Yes	+$1	02-27 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$9	27	0	+27	Up	-$9	05-08 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$8	400	0	+400	Down	-$8	05-09 12:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	1	$8	80	0	+80	Yes	-$8	05-05 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$8	67	0	+67	Up	-$8	05-09 12:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 08:10 UTC	1	$5	25	0	+25	Up	-$5	02-26 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 02:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x97a0ca…
06-04 02:56:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf02dbb…
06-04 02:55:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc62323…
06-01 18:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x7a130e…
05-10 17:54:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	51	23¢	$12	0x395ab8…
05-10 17:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x5d9105…
05-10 17:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	49	37¢	$18	0x9a2ae1…
05-10 17:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0xe653ae…
05-10 17:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	29	66¢	$19	0x5f4c34…
05-10 17:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xc6e9d4…
05-10 17:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1d5c51…
05-09 15:21:01	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0xf218ab…
05-09 15:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x8b153c…
05-09 15:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x3ea127…
05-09 15:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36	66¢	$24	0x5a0149…
05-09 15:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x468d9d…
05-09 15:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	72¢	$18	0x494006…
05-09 15:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe971db…
05-09 12:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x411883…
05-09 12:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x610c24…
05-09 12:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	67	12¢	$8	0x77f394…
05-08 18:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xb3ef0f…
05-08 18:09:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	41	23¢	$9	0xd60fae…
05-08 17:30:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0x03c9ea…
05-08 17:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc6164b…
05-06 01:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	173	5¢	$9	0x246253…
05-06 01:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x242fc1…
05-06 01:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xb249e2…
05-06 01:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x86c39f…
05-06 00:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0xb57ea3…
05-06 00:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xf37093…
05-06 00:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xe36c14…
05-05 22:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0xc1f924…
05-05 22:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	321	10¢	$31	0xe9f4bf…
05-05 22:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x1c62ab…
05-05 22:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	121	7¢	$9	0x3ff129…
05-05 22:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	40	97¢	$38	0x7122f3…
05-05 22:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0xeae543…
05-05 22:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x1e8f8f…
05-05 22:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x7b5bf6…
05-05 22:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	24	55¢	$13	0xf0d7ab…
05-05 22:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x794a5d…
05-05 22:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x1395eb…
05-05 22:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x796c1b…
05-05 22:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4e782b…
05-05 22:35:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0xb4898a…
03-01 18:28:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x06cd64…
02-27 23:12:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x659b48…
02-27 23:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x57114e…
02-27 23:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xd9a2e3…
02-27 23:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x9b9dc3…
02-27 22:59:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0xce9e44…
02-27 22:55:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4ec08c…
02-27 22:53:39	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xad7537…
02-27 22:44:39	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0x477187…
02-27 22:26:05	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xce094b…
02-26 08:44:34	will company e be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x1339f6…
02-26 08:17:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdbe243…
02-26 08:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x98f2b1…
02-26 07:36:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xeeff29…
02-26 07:27:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xea2d93…
02-26 07:26:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe97d31…
02-26 07:19:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x673fb5…