Gracious-Wafer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$195

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-03 04:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

48% 86% +$2

Crypto

28% 100% +$1

Politics

14% — —

Sports

9% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on april 20	6	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-20 17:37
Lakers vs. Thunder	9	$18	20	0	+20	Thunder	+$2	05-06 04:33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	9	$18	19	0	+19	Hanwha Life Esports	+$1	05-05 06:01
highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 25c	8	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-21 05:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	8	$16	17	0	+17	Yes	+$1	05-08 06:22
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	6	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	04-23 04:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	5	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-23 04:34
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	4	$8	9	0	+9	Deep Cross Gaming	+$1	05-12 06:22
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	3	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-10 10:47
bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	3	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-22 10:24
will fidesz kdnp win 44 48 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-10 10:38
highest temperature in tokyo on april 22 2026 22c	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-22 08:38
highest temperature in lagos on april 22 2026 29corbelow	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-22 08:38
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-07 09:37
bitcoin above 74k on april 21	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-21 05:01
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-22 08:38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	1	$2	2	0	+2	MOUZ	+$0	05-12 06:37
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 04:40
nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-15 06:22
highest temperature in beijing on april 20 2026 22c	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-20 04:51
will progressive bulgaria pb win between 80 84 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-17 04:00
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 14	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-14 05:56
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 04:39
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 04:39
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 04:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-22 07:35
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	1	$2	2	0	+2	FC Bayern München	+$0	05-06 04:31
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 4?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-03 04:52
lal bar esp 2026 04 11 esp	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-10 10:47
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-20 09:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 04:52:07	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x377655…
05-25 07:05:59	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4658ad…
05-22 07:35:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x99b6c4…
05-20 09:36:01	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x06ccd2…
05-12 10:37:31	Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)	Misa Esports	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x526ea0…
05-12 06:37:32	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x31209c…
05-12 06:22:29	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xaf65d7…
05-12 06:07:31	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x743161…
05-12 05:52:28	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd72abc…
05-12 05:37:28	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x979860…
05-08 06:22:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd8d791…
05-08 06:07:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfc3843…
05-08 05:52:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x963ad1…
05-08 05:37:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3074b0…
05-08 05:22:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3ea45e…
05-08 05:07:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf50ded…
05-08 04:37:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb327db…
05-08 04:22:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5a33fa…
05-07 09:37:20	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3175ff…
05-07 09:22:25	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x427d9e…
05-06 04:33:34	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf9b431…
05-06 04:33:10	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x70a53d…
05-06 04:32:32	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x59ed88…
05-06 04:32:26	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6db108…
05-06 04:32:18	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1b45e9…
05-06 04:32:10	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x003e74…
05-06 04:32:04	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8c3a66…
05-06 04:31:44	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7cc81d…
05-06 04:31:30	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x073ee7…
05-06 04:31:28	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0742e3…
05-05 06:01:42	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcc3c07…
05-05 06:01:36	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xde7404…
05-05 06:01:32	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb81fc1…
05-05 06:01:26	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe03413…
05-05 06:01:20	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6342c6…
05-05 06:01:14	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x728cb4…
05-05 06:01:08	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf28815…
05-05 05:59:44	Counter-Strike: TDK vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	TDK	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe83a31…
05-05 05:59:44	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x80969d…
05-05 05:59:32	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd4858d…
04-27 04:40:00	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x31c315…
04-27 04:39:58	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xdc32a2…
04-27 04:39:58	Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x26333b…
04-27 04:39:56	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe10d9f…
04-27 04:39:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa1922d…
04-23 04:39:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdd9859…
04-23 04:34:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd4d917…
04-23 04:34:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0f051b…
04-23 04:33:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5b16e3…
04-23 04:33:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x275cae…
04-23 04:32:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf1f4e6…
04-23 04:32:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x47b89a…
04-23 04:31:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd4552b…
04-23 04:31:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x113a6e…
04-23 04:31:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd6be26…
04-23 04:31:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x03776e…
04-22 10:24:22	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xaa9863…
04-22 10:23:36	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6a6c2a…
04-22 08:38:52	highest temperature in tokyo on april 22 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa27dee…
04-22 08:38:38	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3ee74e…
04-22 08:38:16	highest temperature in lagos on april 22 2026 29corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x405b77…
04-22 06:46:00	highest temperature in lagos on april 22 2026 29corbelow	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x218965…
04-22 06:07:32	bitcoin above 76k on april 22	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc29a5c…
04-22 05:23:10	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x323a69…
04-22 04:52:18	highest temperature in tokyo on april 22 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5d10fd…
04-22 04:27:24	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb6edef…
04-21 05:01:26	highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 25c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1c5c04…
04-21 05:01:22	bitcoin above 74k on april 21	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xeadf6c…
04-21 05:01:20	highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 25c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x070dc3…
04-21 05:01:16	bitcoin above 74k on april 21	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x34328c…
04-21 04:51:26	highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 25c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x485f50…
04-21 04:51:18	highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 25c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2f40a2…
04-21 04:51:10	highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 25c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xddab8e…
04-21 04:50:52	highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 25c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0d37ab…
04-21 04:50:40	highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 25c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb18665…
04-21 04:50:10	highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 25c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa49da5…
04-20 17:37:02	bitcoin above 76k on april 20	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd85cea…
04-20 04:56:20	bitcoin above 76k on april 20	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc480f7…
04-20 04:55:58	bitcoin above 76k on april 20	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x72ef26…
04-20 04:55:28	bitcoin above 76k on april 20	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xcafc51…
04-20 04:54:34	bitcoin above 76k on april 20	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x81a059…
04-20 04:51:40	highest temperature in beijing on april 20 2026 22c	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x59e323…
04-20 04:51:32	bitcoin above 76k on april 20	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xbcc35f…
04-17 04:00:08	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 80 84 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1c35cd…
04-15 06:22:28	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5ea080…
04-14 05:56:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 14	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x915285…
04-13 08:18:23	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 19c	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd7bd1c…
04-10 10:47:25	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbf9dbf…
04-10 10:47:25	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 esp	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x0b49d6…
04-10 10:38:01	will fidesz kdnp win 44 48 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1d47f6…
04-10 10:37:59	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb9fcd5…
04-10 10:18:37	will fidesz kdnp win 44 48 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xdfcfac…
04-10 10:18:35	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x70c150…