Realistic-Chronicle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

142

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$47.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$298

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-31 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

100% 93% +$29,246

Crypto

0% 99% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+23	$21	96¢	$22	+$0	10-31 10:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ppa tour 2026 newport beach open womens singles pro main draw winner zoeya khan win	2	$12.2K	12,558	12,558	+0	No	+$11,930	03-08 11:34
cs2 lk sta6 2026 01 14 game1	3	$11.8K	12,093	12,093	+0	STATE	+$10,600	01-13 13:25
epl cry che 2026 01 25 spread away 1pt5	2	$7.7K	6,148	6,148	+0	Chelsea FC	-$2,582	01-13 14:09
nik up or down on january 14 2026	2	$5.8K	5,090	5,090	+0	Up	+$2,698	01-13 14:12
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	2	$2.8K	2,764	2,764	+0	Yes	+$1,354	10-10 11:56
will lea jansen win the 2026 carvana masters womens singles tournament	2	$1.3K	1,828	1,828	+0	No	+$1,225	01-13 13:09
dax up or down on february 13 2026	2	$1.3K	1,293	1,293	+0	Up	+$750	02-13 12:41
ndx up or down on february 2 2026	2	$1.0K	1,032	1,032	+0	Up	+$640	01-31 14:23
will the number of us flights delayed on april 7 be between 6000 and 6500	2	$980	1,290	1,290	+0	No	+$903	04-05 13:53
cs2 ug shangh 2026 02 01	2	$920	902	902	+0	Underground ESC	+$830	01-31 14:28
mex tij san 2026 03 08 tij	2	$424	461	461	+0	No	+$341	02-13 12:46
bkfr1 sai par 2026 02 15	2	$306	300	300	+0	Paris Basketball	+$264	02-13 12:38
will the rsf capture kadugli by march 31	2	$228	240	240	+0	No	+$166	01-31 14:20
ppa tour 2026 newport beach open mixed doubles pro main draw winner alix truong christian alshon win	2	$118	120	120	+0	No	+$115	03-08 11:16
will the number of us flights delayed on april 7 be between 5000 and 5500	2	$34	44	44	+0	No	+$30	04-05 13:41
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	10-31 10:00
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$19	31	0	+31	Spain	-$19	07-12 13:30
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	03-06 15:16
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$15	19	0	+19	France	+$4	07-09 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 18?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-17 14:31
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$13	15	0	+15	France	+$2	06-30 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$2	05-07 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-30 05:13
highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 27c	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-20 00:57
highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 26c	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-16 13:19
bitcoin above 68k on april 8	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	04-08 14:28
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$7	9	0	+9	No	-$7	03-30 14:08
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	03-15 10:51
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 10?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	10-10 11:59
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 10?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	10-10 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 10:00:40	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$21	0x1de84f…
10-10 11:59:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2ceffe…
10-10 11:59:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x97152e…
10-10 11:59:21	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14aebe…
10-10 11:59:18	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 10?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2e3a11…
10-10 11:59:16	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7abf7b…
10-10 11:59:12	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfef8c6…
10-10 11:59:07	Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa099bf…
10-10 11:59:04	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x28a785…
10-10 11:59:01	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x937f05…
10-10 11:58:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x90f1b1…
10-10 11:58:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xff0047…
10-10 11:58:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x10f866…
10-10 11:56:31	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	Yes	SELL	2,764	75¢	$2,073	0x0eddae…
10-10 11:55:54	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	Yes	BUY	2,764	26¢	$719	0x5a6920…
07-12 13:30:37	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	31	60¢	$19	0xc1cb5e…
07-09 14:25:41	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x747d21…
06-30 15:03:19	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x007f1e…
05-17 14:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 18?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9c4007…
05-07 12:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0x6793cc…
04-30 05:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x12cab0…
04-25 13:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe1987…
04-25 13:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8962ab…
04-25 13:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x326cc5…
04-25 13:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb10856…
04-25 13:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xab784f…
04-25 13:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x99dba6…
04-25 13:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04c557…
04-20 00:57:08	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 27c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc572d7…
04-16 13:19:20	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 26c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7d8237…
04-08 14:28:15	bitcoin above 68k on april 8	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcf795f…
04-05 13:57:11	will ethereum reach 2300 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1d8ddd…
04-05 13:57:07	will ethereum reach 2200 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x554adb…
04-05 13:57:05	will ethereum dip to 1900 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfbf947…
04-05 13:57:03	will ethereum dip to 1800 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x76a682…
04-05 13:57:01	will ethereum dip to 1700 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x98d31c…
04-05 13:56:53	will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8c97ce…
04-05 13:56:53	will bitcoin reach 72k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5749b4…
04-05 13:56:49	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7a2282…
04-05 13:56:45	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ed541…
04-05 13:56:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x003381…
04-05 13:53:13	will the number of us flights delayed on april 7 be between 6000 and 6500	Yes	SELL	1,290	73¢	$942	0x6d48eb…
04-05 13:52:25	will the number of us flights delayed on april 7 be between 6000 and 6500	Yes	BUY	1,290	3¢	$39	0xfb26cb…
04-05 13:41:07	will the number of us flights delayed on april 7 be between 5000 and 5500	Yes	SELL	44	73¢	$32	0x7ef1ce…
04-05 13:40:45	will the number of us flights delayed on april 7 be between 5000 and 5500	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x727943…
03-30 14:08:43	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x822793…
03-15 10:51:55	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xabfad3…
03-08 11:46:13	solana above 70 on march 8	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf5a711…
03-08 11:46:07	solana above 80 on march 8	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0ccc89…
03-08 11:46:03	solana above 90 on march 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe20485…
03-08 11:46:01	solana above 100 on march 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd0278b…
03-08 11:44:23	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb42fc6…
03-08 11:44:17	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x04164c…
03-08 11:44:15	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa1f674…
03-08 11:44:13	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x38e47d…
03-08 11:44:09	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2fd9da…
03-08 11:44:01	xrp above 1pt3 on march 8	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x26c22f…
03-08 11:43:59	xrp above 1pt2 on march 8	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e5008…
03-08 11:43:55	xrp above 1pt4 on march 8	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc99c32…
03-08 11:43:51	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc64873…
03-08 11:41:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 8	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe7b977…
03-08 11:40:57	ethereum above 1800 on march 8	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf6490f…
03-08 11:40:55	ethereum above 2100 on march 8	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdc66f5…
03-08 11:40:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 8	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf01065…
03-08 11:34:07	ppa tour 2026 newport beach open womens singles pro main draw winner zoeya khan win	Yes	SELL	12,558	96¢	$12,056	0x8c16f7…
03-08 11:30:27	ppa tour 2026 newport beach open womens singles pro main draw winner zoeya khan win	Yes	BUY	12,558	1¢	$126	0x774d16…
03-08 11:29:15	will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe13e7c…
03-08 11:29:13	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x67d32a…
03-08 11:29:11	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b66b5…
03-08 11:29:07	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 2 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41999e…
03-08 11:29:05	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 2 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe956a4…
03-08 11:29:03	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 2 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x063e8b…
03-08 11:28:47	will ethereum reach 2200 march 2 8	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x455c21…
03-08 11:28:41	will ethereum dip to 1500 march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x04c839…
03-08 11:28:39	will ethereum dip to 1400 march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb7e992…
03-08 11:28:35	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6edb2f…
03-08 11:16:59	ppa tour 2026 newport beach open mixed doubles pro main draw winner alix truong christian alshon win	Yes	SELL	120	97¢	$116	0x4b0e33…
03-08 11:11:13	ppa tour 2026 newport beach open mixed doubles pro main draw winner alix truong christian alshon win	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x1f138a…
03-06 15:16:07	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x712852…
03-06 15:15:55	ethereum above 1900 on march 6	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x32e949…
03-06 15:15:51	ethereum above 1800 on march 6	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa70dae…
03-06 15:15:49	ethereum above 2100 on march 6	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8a329f…
03-06 15:15:43	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf22dd9…
03-06 15:15:41	bitcoin above 72k on march 6	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5eedf6…
02-13 12:50:03	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x190bb3…
02-13 12:49:59	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xac3986…
02-13 12:46:43	mex tij san 2026 03 08 tij	Yes	SELL	461	83¢	$383	0xff7897…
02-13 12:46:17	will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x864796…
02-13 12:46:13	will bitcoin reach 82k february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x53888e…
02-13 12:46:11	will bitcoin reach 80k february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb0f062…
02-13 12:46:07	will bitcoin reach 78k february 9 15	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8b8528…
02-13 12:46:05	will bitcoin dip to 60k february 9 15	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x74af9a…
02-13 12:46:01	will bitcoin dip to 58k february 9 15	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeb2c81…
02-13 12:45:59	will bitcoin dip to 56k february 9 15	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x204433…
02-13 12:45:51	will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xda25af…
02-13 12:45:49	will ethereum reach 2700 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc64583…
02-13 12:45:45	will ethereum reach 2600 february 9 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3496e7…
02-13 12:45:43	will ethereum reach 2500 february 9 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa914c…
02-13 12:45:41	will ethereum reach 2400 february 9 15	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf9fb43…
02-13 12:45:37	will ethereum reach 2300 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x391bc8…