Impractical-Curve — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$234

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

379

Trades

5,810

lifetime

Volume

$41.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-01 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 65% $-234

Other

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 656 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the dhs shutdown last 44 days or more 544	10	$741	869	700	+169	open	—	03-28 11:32
will peoples party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	3	$470	500	0	+500	open	—	03-25 16:26
will the dhs shutdown last 48 days or more 945	1	$425	500	0	+500	open	—	03-27 10:10
btc updown 15m 1774090800	24	$151	320	0	+320	open	—	03-21 11:07
btc updown 15m 1774073700	15	$151	320	0	+320	open	—	03-21 06:15
btc updown 15m 1774062900	23	$151	320	0	+320	open	—	03-21 03:15
btc updown 15m 1774109700	18	$151	320	0	+320	open	—	03-21 16:17
btc updown 15m 1774098900	22	$151	320	0	+320	open	—	03-21 13:22
btc updown 15m 1774041300	23	$151	320	0	+320	open	—	03-20 21:15
btc updown 15m 1774039500	25	$151	320	0	+320	open	—	03-20 20:46
btc updown 15m 1774123200	29	$149	315	0	+315	open	—	03-21 20:03
btc updown 15m 1774107000	29	$148	314	0	+314	open	—	03-21 15:30
btc updown 15m 1774071900	17	$146	310	0	+310	open	—	03-21 05:46
btc updown 15m 1774126800	22	$146	307	0	+307	open	—	03-21 21:05
btc updown 15m 1774064700	33	$146	308	0	+308	open	—	03-21 03:50
btc updown 15m 1774114200	21	$144	306	0	+306	open	—	03-21 17:39
btc updown 15m 1774125900	15	$143	301	0	+301	open	—	03-21 20:45
btc updown 15m 1774051200	14	$143	301	0	+301	open	—	03-21 00:10
btc updown 15m 1774093500	16	$142	300	0	+300	open	—	03-21 11:57
btc updown 15m 1774038600	14	$142	298	0	+298	open	—	03-20 20:30
btc updown 15m 1774048500	19	$140	296	0	+296	open	—	03-20 23:16
btc updown 15m 1773964800	24	$137	291	0	+291	open	—	03-20 00:02
btc updown 15m 1774056600	18	$136	289	0	+289	open	—	03-21 01:35
btc updown 15m 1774027800	18	$132	280	0	+280	open	—	03-20 17:31
btc updown 15m 1774035000	20	$132	280	0	+280	open	—	03-20 19:32
btc updown 15m 1774021500	19	$132	280	0	+280	open	—	03-20 15:45
btc updown 15m 1774020600	26	$130	275	0	+275	open	—	03-20 15:31
btc updown 15m 1774033200	19	$127	270	0	+270	open	—	03-20 19:06
btc updown 15m 1774022400	28	$125	265	0	+265	open	—	03-20 16:00
btc updown 15m 1774026900	28	$124	262	0	+262	open	—	03-20 17:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 02:59:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x79e347…
05-31 14:59:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xdb9971…
05-31 14:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x54a6b9…
05-31 14:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x28a1a4…
05-31 10:44:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xf9007c…
05-31 10:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xf46c13…
05-30 16:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x0d63d8…
05-30 14:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xd9470c…
05-30 12:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xa1ebb1…
05-30 10:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0xf7bf71…
05-30 10:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x582be3…
05-30 10:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4f8a3e…
05-30 10:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4ae762…
05-30 09:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa8e4d8…
05-30 09:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x0172f9…
05-30 08:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xdff3c7…
05-30 08:29:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x55bbbd…
05-30 08:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xf80fc4…
05-30 08:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xe8804c…
05-30 08:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	46	67¢	$31	0xa8c412…
05-30 08:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x87d9aa…
05-30 08:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	67¢	$12	0x131c04…
05-30 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x62f1dd…
05-30 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x362e00…
05-30 05:58:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x652135…
05-30 05:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x4cf5bf…
05-30 05:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfade44…
05-30 05:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xcf86e0…
05-30 04:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x5b213d…
05-30 04:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x62cced…
05-30 03:10:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf65e8f…
05-30 03:10:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x61fb0d…
05-30 03:10:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0x041e7a…
05-30 03:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x13d917…
05-30 03:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xba3dcd…
05-30 03:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xa49c16…
05-30 02:11:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x62deb7…
05-30 01:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x4f69ac…
05-30 00:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xa3eadc…
05-30 00:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0x83d6a5…
05-30 00:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0xfe88d2…
05-30 00:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xc3f6d0…
05-30 00:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xed565c…
05-30 00:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x59e75a…
05-30 00:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x43ab16…
05-29 08:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x291928…
05-29 06:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x164993…
05-29 06:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbd1f06…
05-29 06:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x14970a…
05-29 06:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x8ae0a3…
05-29 06:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x6451b9…
05-29 04:55:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x8c7319…
05-29 04:55:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xe7d2cd…
05-29 04:55:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb4e20d…
05-29 04:55:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x6f20c1…
05-29 03:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x715ab6…
05-29 01:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xdec53a…
05-29 01:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x6fd4ee…
05-29 00:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xea7986…
05-29 00:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xe209d1…
05-29 00:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0xcd883f…
05-28 21:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x9492f6…
05-28 21:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x628354…
05-28 21:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x5cec4c…
05-28 20:44:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x0a6e73…
05-28 20:44:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe953d6…
05-28 20:44:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xd60c8f…
05-28 20:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf3c9f2…
05-28 20:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xf39968…
05-28 20:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6be8e4…
05-28 20:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6603b6…
05-28 20:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x5fe339…
05-28 18:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x72f5ec…
05-28 18:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x2c8903…
05-28 17:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x75fc12…
05-28 17:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x63fe38…
05-28 17:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3e6c18…
05-28 17:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x045d4e…
05-28 17:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x60af66…
05-28 16:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x97ab4d…
05-28 16:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x83a6e6…
05-28 16:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x4eae73…
05-28 16:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x3b719f…
05-28 15:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdefc32…
05-28 15:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3ee233…
05-28 13:29:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xb3a7d7…
05-28 12:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x8e5138…
05-28 12:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x8770c8…
05-28 12:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x793471…
05-28 12:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x61e944…
05-28 12:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x5dfcb0…
05-28 12:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x3889a6…
05-28 12:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xcf4cf2…
05-28 12:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0e7cad…
05-28 12:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x6c024f…
05-28 12:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0xa423b8…
05-28 09:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xc93252…
05-28 09:58:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf3b54f…
05-28 08:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x70226e…
05-28 08:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x20b33f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	960	$817.9K	204,699	05-30 10:29
Periodic-Setback 0x8e84…cb71	948	$1.05K	3,229	05-30 10:30
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	943	$357.6K	31,975	05-30 10:28
(anonymous) 0x4336…e51c	914	$1.21K	4,512	05-30 10:30
(anonymous) 0x912a…0f92	906	$137.7K	29,589	05-30 10:25
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	774	$18.9K	2,295	05-28 12:39
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	772	$288.6K	86,427	05-30 10:29
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	772	$169.5K	27,877	05-30 10:29