Forked-Spyglass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

144

Trades

438

lifetime

Volume

$1.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-30 22:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

95% 48% +$29

Crypto

3% 67% +$4

Politics

2% 33% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	No		+10	$4	32¢	$3	-$1	10-30 22:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in mexico city on april 13 2026 25corhigher	9	$190	118	117	+1	Yes	-$7	04-13 20:11
highest temperature in london on april 11 2026 15c	2	$131	67	67	+0	No	+$2	04-11 17:39
highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 56forhigher	9	$114	64	63	+1	No	+$14	04-11 07:11
highest temperature in lagos on april 12 2026 35c	11	$93	97	47	+50	Yes	+$4	04-12 13:06
highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 12c	6	$62	68	0	+68	No	+$6	04-08 16:01
highest temperature in panama city on april 6 2026 38corhigher	2	$61	62	0	+62	No	+$1	04-06 20:46
highest temperature in lagos on april 12 2026 34c	9	$58	81	19	+62	No	+$18	04-12 13:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 23corhigher	4	$46	27	27	+0	No	+$2	04-12 06:49
Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	11	$44	61	43	+18	CyberHero	-$4	10-18 15:15
Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 4 Winner	5	$33	40	32	+8	Gorgc Team	-$9	10-18 21:12
highest temperature in mexico city on april 13 2026 24c	3	$33	106	6	+100	No	-$23	04-13 20:12
highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	3	$33	19	19	+0	No	+$1	04-12 06:45
Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	4	$32	20	20	+0	Stariy bog Team	+$8	10-18 19:18
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 20corhigher	2	$27	20	20	+0	No	$0	04-10 20:16
highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 20c	3	$25	15	15	+0	No	-$1	04-12 06:35
highest temperature in panama city on april 6 2026 33c	6	$25	26	12	+14	Yes	+$4	04-06 19:47
highest temperature in lagos on april 12 2026 33c	5	$24	21	21	+1	No	+$2	04-12 11:51
Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner	3	$24	15	15	+0	CyberHero	+$6	10-18 13:00
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 15c	5	$21	20	22	-2	No	+$0	03-26 01:58
highest temperature in dallas on april 10 2026 74forhigher	7	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	04-06 18:05
highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 14c	5	$20	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-25 02:28
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 25 2026 19c	4	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 03:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	8	$20	30	30	+0	No	-$2	06-10 12:44
highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 8c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-15 16:13
highest temperature in chicago on march 29 2026 60 61f	5	$20	15	15	+0	No	+$2	03-29 20:28
Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	6	$20	25	25	+0	ALOHADANCE Team	+$4	10-18 13:17
highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 16c	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-08 19:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?	2	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	06-09 12:27
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 34c	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$2	04-07 15:00
Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 3 Winner	4	$17	25	0	+25	Gorgc Team	+$8	10-18 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 22:22:58	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xd60a57…
10-30 22:08:58	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Socialist" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x77f9fc…
10-24 22:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xf197f6…
10-24 22:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9b1496…
10-24 22:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xaf889a…
10-24 22:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x25565e…
10-24 22:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x9f55a1…
10-24 22:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x849c8c…
10-24 22:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xaa3082…
10-24 22:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2b46d3…
10-24 22:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xf50516…
10-24 22:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1ae635…
10-24 22:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xa11328…
10-24 22:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2d04f5…
10-24 22:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6d6e3d…
10-20 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x903cd5…
10-20 17:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x6c05c6…
10-20 17:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6a5e2e…
10-20 17:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xca672d…
10-20 17:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb0af3e…
10-20 17:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x1ffb85…
10-20 17:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfa6930…
10-20 17:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x549d73…
10-20 17:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9a295a…
10-20 17:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xd0fb7b…
10-20 17:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd3f5ec…
10-20 17:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xc99a09…
10-20 17:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe52a6f…
10-20 14:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0xfa9ffb…
10-20 14:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9ab6a1…
10-20 14:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xd8b9db…
10-20 14:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa09b31…
10-20 13:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x993dc8…
10-20 13:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x952ab1…
10-20 13:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x7e0061…
10-20 13:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xdb3549…
10-20 13:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x7ffd2f…
10-20 13:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xddced1…
10-20 13:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0xf4dfec…
10-20 13:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x49a443…
10-20 13:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xaa9f2d…
10-20 09:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x943961…
10-20 09:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x878515…
10-20 08:20:41	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 20?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xe434a7…
10-20 07:35:20	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc14533…
10-20 07:20:34	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x625a35…
10-20 06:59:59	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe56f16…
10-20 06:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3b186a…
10-19 12:14:06	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x651214…
10-18 21:12:12	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 4 Winner	Stariy bog Team	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x96bb85…
10-18 20:55:26	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 4 Winner	Stariy bog Team	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x0375d4…
10-18 20:39:17	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 4 Winner	Stariy bog Team	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xd3f360…
10-18 20:36:15	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 4 Winner	Gorgc Team	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xb16e4c…
10-18 20:09:42	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 4 Winner	Gorgc Team	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xeda28e…
10-18 19:44:47	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 3 Winner	Gorgc Team	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb0781c…
10-18 19:44:33	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 3 Winner	Gorgc Team	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7444c1…
10-18 19:22:11	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 3 Winner	Gorgc Team	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x677abb…
10-18 19:18:29	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	Stariy bog Team	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa7cfdf…
10-18 19:16:42	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 3 Winner	Gorgc Team	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5c9291…
10-18 18:26:21	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	Stariy bog Team	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xbc6a23…
10-18 17:56:24	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	Stariy bog Team	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdcb748…
10-18 17:28:57	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1a26a7…
10-18 17:24:17	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	Stariy bog Team	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0e1c45…
10-18 17:08:41	Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 1 Winner	Gorgc Team	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x50bf25…
10-18 16:30:45	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6aef6c…
10-18 16:25:27	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa4462c…
10-18 15:15:14	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Team Synapse	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x497156…
10-18 15:09:18	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Team Synapse	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x63c424…
10-18 15:06:08	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Team Synapse	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x18841e…
10-18 15:01:08	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Team Synapse	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x214279…
10-18 14:59:36	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	CyberHero	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x205ca7…
10-18 14:58:11	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	CyberHero	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4edd6d…
10-18 14:54:54	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Team Synapse	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0xe886fa…
10-18 14:49:17	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Team Synapse	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf49e07…
10-18 14:45:03	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Team Synapse	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x190277…
10-18 14:31:50	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Team Synapse	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd205bf…
10-18 14:28:32	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Team Synapse	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x160a1e…
10-18 13:55:45	Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs Stariy bog Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs	Stariy bog Team	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x9eab89…
10-18 13:41:32	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf767de…
10-18 13:37:05	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8ac54c…
10-18 13:20:06	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfe38ab…
10-18 13:19:44	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xf02307…
10-18 13:17:48	Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	ALOHADANCE Team	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6aba09…
10-18 13:10:57	Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	ALOHADANCE Team	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd8ef77…
10-18 13:08:17	Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	ALOHADANCE Team	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd6e1e9…
10-18 13:00:38	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner	CyberHero	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3d7544…
10-18 12:51:54	Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	Stariy bog Team	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xe1d87e…
10-18 12:43:08	Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	Stariy bog Team	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3c7236…
10-18 12:38:47	Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	Stariy bog Team	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x857e8f…
10-18 12:36:35	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xf20936…
10-18 12:20:44	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x801aac…
06-10 12:44:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xa3f464…
06-10 12:28:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x926ef3…
06-10 12:28:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf5cedb…
06-10 12:23:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x84d1b6…
06-10 12:16:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x542b6f…
06-10 12:11:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x7aa7ea…
06-10 12:10:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7626f2…
06-10 12:07:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x7da6ac…
06-10 12:06:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0xd9ab6d…