Daring-Nanoparticle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$440

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

1,122

Trades

1,501

lifetime

Volume

$4.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 11-03 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 54% -$335

Other

9% 28% -$107

Politics

1% 67% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:40 UTC	1	$100	186	0	+186	Up	-$100	10-17 20:38
BNB Up or Down - October 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$93	63	63	+0	Down	+$13	10-11 16:54
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$89	61	61	+0	Down	+$29	10-10 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$80	54	53	+2	Up	+$23	04-27 23:50
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$74	2,712	0	+2,712	No	-$74	10-26 16:31
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$66	46	46	+0	Up	+$26	10-07 09:51
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$60	108	0	+108	Up	-$60	05-08 20:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$58	38	38	+0	Down	+$18	11-03 00:35
Solana Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$57	143	43	+100	Up	+$15	10-08 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$52	35	35	+0	Up	+$16	11-03 22:43
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$50	98	0	+98	Down	-$50	10-20 19:07
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$50	35	35	+0	Down	+$14	10-29 03:08
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$46	28	28	+0	Up	+$10	11-02 23:34
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$44	35	35	+0	Down	+$26	10-09 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$43	35	35	+0	Up	+$7	11-01 02:44
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 16:05 UTC	2	$41	32	32	+0	Down	+$23	06-14 16:10
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$36	105	105	+0	No	+$26	10-26 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$10	09-18 23:22
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$29	49	49	+0	Up	-$11	10-10 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$29	56	0	+56	Down	-$29	10-22 08:43
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-18 07:04
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$9	05-14 20:03
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$27	48	0	+48	Down	-$27	05-08 20:25
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 19:00 UTC	2	$26	125	0	+125	Down	-$1	04-22 19:13
BNB Up or Down - October 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	Down	+$6	10-11 16:50
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$26	19	19	+0	Down	+$8	06-13 21:29
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Down	-$25	05-06 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$24	18	18	+0	Down	+$12	10-21 19:44
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	5	$24	15	26	-11	No	-$6	04-26 01:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$2	04-21 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 23:54:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xab35d7…
11-03 23:53:40	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0xbd54d8…
11-03 23:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xc58b2f…
11-03 23:49:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe77023…
11-03 23:49:00	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0e2a2e…
11-03 23:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5a61ee…
11-03 23:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x04c76d…
11-03 23:44:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcd1a26…
11-03 23:44:00	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x318550…
11-03 23:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xc6630f…
11-03 23:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5272a9…
11-03 23:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8f9953…
11-03 23:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbcfd80…
11-03 23:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xda2337…
11-03 22:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd81e98…
11-03 22:53:07	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x74b7ef…
11-03 22:52:25	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x41cc34…
11-03 22:50:54	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6a4997…
11-03 22:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xe7280c…
11-03 22:40:24	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5636d2…
11-03 22:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x40033f…
11-03 22:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x4ab7ed…
11-03 00:52:46	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x83781d…
11-03 00:46:00	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x65fcf6…
11-03 00:35:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x61b642…
11-03 00:27:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xf9c01f…
11-03 00:26:21	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xd3b775…
11-03 00:26:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xbeb338…
11-03 00:24:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x31ea3a…
11-03 00:24:22	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x16a3c2…
11-03 00:17:33	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x046271…
11-03 00:17:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf02dfd…
11-03 00:10:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x6267ed…
11-03 00:05:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x369176…
11-02 23:57:22	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x369c5a…
11-02 23:55:40	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1b5101…
11-02 23:54:33	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x9d6b12…
11-02 23:52:30	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe7c48c…
11-02 23:51:52	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3d59d7…
11-02 23:49:57	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x745cbe…
11-02 23:48:00	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x55d951…
11-02 23:44:28	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf37273…
11-02 23:44:04	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x670d0b…
11-02 23:40:09	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe363e6…
11-02 23:37:10	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe31b00…
11-02 23:34:16	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x1b2c5f…
11-02 23:34:04	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x36cefa…
11-02 23:32:40	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa62eda…
11-02 23:31:18	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xe24053…
11-02 23:24:45	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x909155…
11-02 23:18:10	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbb466f…
11-02 23:14:58	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x99d68b…
11-02 23:11:09	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdef6b1…
11-02 22:47:09	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa18e44…
11-02 22:41:13	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0cd6d1…
11-02 22:34:10	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7cf9c2…
11-02 22:31:16	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x232401…
11-02 22:04:33	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x179dd3…
11-02 22:02:15	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x874bb2…
11-02 21:56:39	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0b97a9…
11-02 21:46:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x6b5747…
11-02 21:43:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3572fd…
11-02 21:37:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xca0dea…
11-02 21:30:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xe85b2a…
11-02 21:28:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xee1a28…
11-01 22:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	46	51¢	$24	0x0195be…
11-01 21:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x026bcb…
11-01 21:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5f47eb…
11-01 21:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdf6547…
11-01 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x353855…
11-01 02:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0xd34156…
11-01 02:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x24bf24…
11-01 02:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x50b0dc…
11-01 02:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1e75d7…
11-01 02:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x173cb6…
11-01 02:28:39	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x24d3bd…
11-01 01:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8ec0c4…
11-01 01:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x60a8e0…
11-01 01:32:43	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd22f1c…
11-01 01:29:57	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xad7ffe…
11-01 01:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfd960c…
11-01 01:25:49	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7b72ef…
11-01 01:05:42	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xb6d8aa…
11-01 01:05:24	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbd8695…
11-01 01:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4afc70…
11-01 00:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe4065e…
11-01 00:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xfeae2c…
11-01 00:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4eb8b2…
11-01 00:38:25	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x02f497…
11-01 00:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x084856…
11-01 00:31:21	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa99e3f…
11-01 00:27:12	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7ecc12…
11-01 00:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5bf275…
10-31 23:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5a9d36…
10-31 23:54:10	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x0dcbbb…
10-31 23:53:22	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x2c8afc…
10-31 23:52:37	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1dbb7f…
10-31 23:45:12	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x575d00…
10-31 23:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x2c994f…
10-31 23:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2e68a7…