Fluffy-Smog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$4.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 10-31 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	8	$571	441	441	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	8	$527	666	531	+135	Up	+$27	10-16 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	6	$347	263	263	+0	Up	+$67	10-16 11:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:25 UTC	4	$335	292	292	+0	Up	-$26	10-16 16:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	5	$306	861	261	+600	Down	-$6	10-16 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	5	$245	1,220	320	+900	Down	+$59	10-31 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:20 UTC	2	$205	105	105	+0	Up	+$5	10-16 16:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:55 UTC	4	$200	416	95	+321	Up	-$10	10-16 11:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	3	$190	216	100	+115	Down	+$10	10-16 10:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:35 UTC	2	$173	123	123	+0	Up	+$1	10-16 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$171	96	96	+0	Up	+$21	10-31 04:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	5	$167	1,289	217	+1,071	Up	+$37	10-16 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	2	$167	96	96	+0	Down	+$7	10-16 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:50 UTC	5	$167	225	65	+160	Up	+$46	10-16 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	3	$166	187	87	+100	Up	+$6	10-16 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:10 UTC	2	$157	83	83	+0	Up	+$7	10-16 11:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:25 UTC	3	$112	125	99	+27	Down	-$44	10-16 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:35 UTC	2	$101	220	0	+220	Down	-$101	10-16 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$76	46	46	+0	Down	+$16	05-20 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:25 UTC	6	$75	132	0	+132	Down	+$13	10-16 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$30	51	0	+51	Down	+$21	05-20 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$30	121	0	+121	Down	-$30	05-23 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	05-20 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	4	$27	750	608	+142	Up	-$3	10-16 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$16	21	0	+21	Down	-$16	05-20 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$15	19	0	+19	Up	+$4	05-20 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$15	18	0	+18	Down	+$3	05-20 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	05-20 18:30
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:55 UTC	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	-$10	07-17 08:55
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:50 UTC	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	07-17 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	900	1¢	$9	0x23e69c…
10-31 04:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	225	30¢	$68	0x963163…
10-31 04:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	225	4¢	$9	0x5ba302…
10-31 04:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	95	89¢	$84	0xd21ad6…
10-31 04:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x6bfdcd…
10-31 04:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x4546ae…
10-31 04:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	96	78¢	$75	0x17b8eb…
10-31 04:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x10806f…
10-31 04:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x8d2dc7…
10-16 16:37:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:35 UTC	Down	SELL	123	71¢	$87	0xf9cb51…
10-16 16:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	123	70¢	$86	0xd3646b…
10-16 16:33:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	96	90¢	$87	0x411b32…
10-16 16:30:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	96	83¢	$80	0x9b48e2…
10-16 16:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x2799b2…
10-16 16:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	84	81¢	$68	0x43facd…
10-16 16:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	208	34¢	$72	0x9711ac…
10-16 16:26:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	208	54¢	$112	0x1f9718…
10-16 16:25:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:20 UTC	Up	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xa57d3e…
10-16 16:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x623138…
10-16 16:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	112	100¢	$111	0x138318…
10-16 16:18:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	112	95¢	$106	0xc8d688…
10-16 16:17:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	162	67¢	$109	0x9c040a…
10-16 16:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	149	41¢	$61	0x76a963…
10-16 16:16:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	167	40¢	$67	0xc15a41…
10-16 16:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x825b6c…
10-16 16:15:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0x75e3da…
10-16 16:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x63202e…
10-16 16:12:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x12e2d5…
10-16 13:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xc569db…
10-16 13:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0x3dde0c…
10-16 13:32:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	125	11¢	$14	0x56fe36…
10-16 13:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	136	55¢	$75	0xb9587a…
10-16 13:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	125	60¢	$75	0xfa3511…
10-16 13:28:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:25 UTC	Up	SELL	99	21¢	$21	0x8331a0…
10-16 13:27:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x73f109…
10-16 13:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	99	76¢	$75	0xb05895…
10-16 11:12:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	83	98¢	$82	0x5d2d22…
10-16 11:11:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	83	90¢	$75	0xf34303…
10-16 11:10:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	190	99¢	$189	0xddda79…
10-16 11:08:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0x3f8f18…
10-16 11:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	341	26¢	$89	0x52942b…
10-16 11:07:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x14821c…
10-16 11:07:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x51643c…
10-16 11:07:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	47	75¢	$35	0x3d3993…
10-16 11:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	341	22¢	$75	0x8e98ce…
10-16 11:07:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xffc43b…
10-16 11:06:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x727c3f…
10-16 11:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	83	33¢	$28	0x784dcc…
10-16 11:02:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0xb33455…
10-16 11:02:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0xdb6cb9…
10-16 11:01:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	83	42¢	$35	0x069f13…
10-16 11:01:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	80	44¢	$35	0xb09c5e…
10-16 11:01:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:55 UTC	Up	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xf06e5e…
10-16 10:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x14d2c8…
10-16 10:56:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x373bc0…
10-16 10:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x24fe27…
10-16 10:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xe62877…
10-16 10:52:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:50 UTC	Down	SELL	65	41¢	$27	0x90d910…
10-16 10:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x10c6c6…
10-16 10:51:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x6c9d84…
10-16 10:50:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	111	68¢	$75	0xae1055…
10-16 10:50:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x1da0cf…
10-16 10:46:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x35483b…
10-16 10:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xe73b3b…
10-16 10:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1fa6bb…
10-16 10:36:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x51a8d8…
10-16 10:35:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	87	100¢	$86	0x2dd396…
10-16 10:32:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x240f9a…
10-16 10:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	87	87¢	$75	0xee4fba…
10-16 10:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x95e914…
10-16 10:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2075e9…
10-16 10:26:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8d0796…
10-16 10:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2541ee…
10-16 10:26:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4214f1…
10-16 10:25:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xb7b067…
10-16 10:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3950e8…
10-16 10:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7969ee…
10-16 10:24:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa49d40…
10-16 10:23:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Down	SELL	217	47¢	$102	0x0f95c4…
10-16 10:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x4692fc…
10-16 10:18:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	608	2¢	$12	0x3ca3b7…
10-16 10:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xd896de…
10-16 10:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x614fdd…
10-16 10:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x57be43…
07-17 08:55:55	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x0da4fe…
07-17 08:55:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x6fe7df…
07-17 08:55:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x8224e2…
07-17 08:50:27	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x828046…
07-17 08:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf377e6…
07-17 08:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5b55a6…
05-23 02:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xfac3d4…
05-23 02:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	64	24¢	$15	0xa12ffc…
05-23 02:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x734afb…
05-21 21:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa08bba…
05-21 21:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x02150b…
05-21 21:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x925f5a…
05-21 21:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4b6cc7…
05-21 21:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x18c624…
05-21 20:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd67682…
05-20 19:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1a0311…