Imperfect-Index — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.66K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$54.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.74K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-05 06:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

80% 100% +$1,665

Other

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$14.5K	8,963	8,963	+0	open	—	05-05 06:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$11.6K	6,945	6,945	+0	No	+$1,568	05-02 04:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$8.8K	5,884	5,884	+0	No	+$97	05-05 06:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$6.6K	4,336	4,336	+0	open	—	05-05 00:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$5.7K	3,059	3,059	+0	open	—	04-29 15:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$4.2K	2,381	2,381	+0	open	—	05-01 02:28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$3.5K	9,152	0	+9,152	open	—	05-01 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 06:47:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	5,884	76¢	$4,472	0xea2fc2…
05-05 06:46:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7,838	88¢	$6,898	0x8d5948…
05-05 00:23:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	3,980	74¢	$2,953	0x950b5f…
05-05 00:23:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3,516	84¢	$2,953	0x649762…
05-04 20:49:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	568	74¢	$420	0x801053…
05-04 20:49:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0x9a0bf8…
05-04 20:24:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1,336	75¢	$1,002	0xa31f59…
05-04 20:23:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,125	89¢	$1,001	0xe347ba…
05-02 04:54:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8,963	73¢	$6,567	0xfd65c8…
05-02 04:47:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	6,945	95¢	$6,568	0xc721ad…
05-01 21:24:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	3,604	7¢	$250	0x4f7a99…
05-01 21:18:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	320	78¢	$250	0xa4e5d2…
05-01 02:34:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	4,008	56¢	$2,238	0x7a9879…
05-01 02:28:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2,381	94¢	$2,238	0x79929e…
04-29 15:14:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4,336	69¢	$3,003	0xe16728…
04-29 15:12:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,059	98¢	$3,003	0x6b222d…
04-27 21:16:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,059	87¢	$2,659	0xd0e806…
04-27 21:15:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	1,540	65¢	$1,000	0xb47f7a…
04-27 21:13:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2,381	84¢	$2,000	0x3ddf65…
04-27 21:13:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	6,945	72¢	$5,000	0x7fc2fa…