Dense-Lung — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

1,468

Trades

3,117

lifetime

Volume

$114.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 09-11 01:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 60% -$1,856

Other

7% 54% +$1,693

Sports

4% 47% +$215

Politics

0% 100% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:25 UTC	5	$1.8K	1,270	1,242	+28	Up	+$69	04-19 00:30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	4	$1.2K	937	937	+0	Yes	+$651	07-14 20:53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$1.0K	3,259	0	+3,259	Yes	+$2,227	07-15 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$969	765	549	+216	Down	+$90	05-16 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 02:45 UTC	4	$870	697	675	+22	Down	+$103	04-19 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 03:00 UTC	3	$853	810	643	+167	Down	-$16	04-19 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	8	$839	612	612	+0	Down	+$46	05-06 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$831	507	507	+0	Down	+$31	05-06 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$810	513	513	+0	Down	+$10	05-07 02:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:55 UTC	2	$808	512	498	+14	Up	+$193	04-19 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:10 UTC	2	$790	772	738	+34	Down	+$226	04-19 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$726	549	246	+303	Down	+$29	05-07 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:30 UTC	4	$694	1,384	1,321	+63	Down	-$256	04-19 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$688	466	466	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 02:35 UTC	4	$668	552	535	+18	Up	+$78	04-19 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	5	$647	536	536	+0	Down	+$47	05-15 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$646	567	567	+0	Up	-$114	05-16 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:55 UTC	1	$636	1,073	0	+1,073	Up	-$636	07-18 18:57
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	2	$627	2,678	0	+2,678	No	-$627	07-19 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	4	$610	343	343	+0	Up	+$14	05-15 02:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:35 UTC	3	$596	615	333	+283	Up	+$112	04-19 00:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:45 UTC	4	$595	578	578	+0	Up	-$71	06-07 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:50 UTC	2	$590	591	567	+23	Down	+$82	04-19 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$583	349	349	+0	Down	+$108	05-30 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:35 UTC	2	$549	326	326	+0	Down	+$65	07-18 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:30 UTC	2	$518	631	631	+0	Down	+$34	06-15 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$516	275	275	+0	Down	+$28	05-16 06:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 02:25 UTC	3	$508	445	296	+149	Up	+$55	04-19 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:00 UTC	2	$501	433	416	+17	Up	+$126	04-19 00:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 01:00 UTC	1	$493	1,146	0	+1,146	Up	-$493	04-19 01:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 01:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xaf517e…
09-11 01:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x087641…
09-11 01:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	225	35¢	$79	0xad2f82…
09-11 01:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	225	52¢	$118	0x6ceaf4…
09-11 01:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa8cb0f…
09-11 01:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	109	32¢	$35	0x0fb698…
09-10 02:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x0c4218…
09-10 02:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	184	30¢	$55	0x431edf…
09-10 02:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x844c99…
09-10 02:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x6da731…
09-10 02:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	89	63¢	$56	0x058455…
09-10 02:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	89	48¢	$43	0x6f744e…
09-10 02:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	89	63¢	$56	0x3dc48f…
09-10 02:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xdf4185…
09-10 02:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	84	67¢	$56	0xce5407…
09-10 02:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	77	87¢	$67	0x3fedb1…
09-10 02:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	77	73¢	$56	0x67be91…
09-10 02:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0xeb8acc…
09-10 02:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	67	84¢	$56	0x0094d1…
09-10 02:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	81	86¢	$69	0x0ed2ce…
09-10 02:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	81	69¢	$56	0x710729…
09-10 02:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	73	70¢	$51	0x78bfc6…
09-10 02:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x1e523c…
09-10 02:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	88	65¢	$57	0x02fbc4…
09-10 02:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	88	64¢	$56	0x5cba1d…
09-10 02:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	93	71¢	$66	0x2b02e4…
09-10 02:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	93	60¢	$56	0xf70607…
09-10 02:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	73	82¢	$60	0x5b6d18…
09-10 02:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	73	76¢	$55	0x2c1ba1…
09-10 02:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0x202a4c…
09-10 02:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xa5243a…
09-10 02:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	103	55¢	$57	0x6ba701…
09-10 02:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x816b13…
09-10 02:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	81	64¢	$52	0x033974…
09-10 02:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	81	64¢	$52	0x4c5fa9…
09-10 02:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x7d8fe3…
09-10 02:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x2cdb21…
09-10 02:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	78	71¢	$55	0x063489…
09-10 02:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	78	67¢	$52	0x937737…
09-10 01:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x203dd1…
09-10 01:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x8c1678…
09-10 01:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	48	90¢	$43	0xefafcc…
09-10 01:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xefad7e…
09-10 01:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	67	77¢	$52	0x321aa0…
09-10 01:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	58¢	$39	0xc7adb9…
09-10 01:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xce5e63…
09-10 01:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb87fe…
09-10 01:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x36e669…
09-02 23:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	38	71¢	$27	0x00720e…
09-02 23:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb8f0f1…
09-02 23:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x890af3…
09-02 23:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xcb8972…
09-02 23:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	78¢	$24	0xc154fe…
09-02 23:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x0197ec…
09-02 23:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x23e9b1…
09-02 23:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x9dfac5…
09-02 23:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	35	64¢	$22	0x7690f3…
09-02 23:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x6e8572…
09-02 23:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6763dc…
09-02 23:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x6a62f2…
08-31 21:29:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xb9296c…
08-31 21:17:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x3174d1…
08-31 21:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x1a81cd…
08-31 21:15:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x050c96…
08-31 21:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0xd38d43…
08-31 21:12:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	49	37¢	$18	0x86a54d…
08-31 21:09:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	59	6¢	$4	0x0672bf…
08-31 21:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x89d0db…
08-31 20:26:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x54d5f6…
08-31 20:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0xc5ce94…
08-31 20:11:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xbbbf62…
08-30 12:30:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x641fd0…
08-30 12:25:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xff87cb…
08-30 12:24:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:20 UTC	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0xde025a…
08-30 12:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0xdd4732…
08-30 12:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x91d0fc…
08-30 07:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x2acc5b…
08-30 07:29:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x889b73…
08-30 07:28:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 07:25 UTC	Down	SELL	185	61¢	$113	0x6993cd…
08-30 07:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x998d18…
08-30 07:22:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	120	92¢	$110	0xa4e104…
08-30 07:22:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	120	79¢	$95	0x32c131…
08-30 05:51:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	154	61¢	$93	0xe8d3dc…
08-30 05:43:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	96	57¢	$55	0x08d264…
08-30 05:42:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:40 UTC	Up	SELL	117	49¢	$57	0x1eae51…
08-30 05:41:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	117	84¢	$99	0xdfd54d…
08-30 05:34:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	148	1¢	$1	0x886d04…
08-30 05:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0xc74da0…
08-30 05:32:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	214	40¢	$85	0x80eefe…
08-30 05:31:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	214	47¢	$100	0x23bced…
08-30 05:29:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	69	1¢	$1	0x5fca71…
08-30 05:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xd7c871…
08-30 05:29:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	166	25¢	$42	0x0e378f…
08-30 05:27:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	234	43¢	$100	0x50c142…
08-30 05:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	185	52¢	$97	0x97c366…
08-29 14:38:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	86	49¢	$42	0x62e441…
08-29 13:57:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	185	15¢	$27	0x732009…
08-29 13:55:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xc75b8a…
08-29 13:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	133	85¢	$114	0xfce1e9…
08-29 13:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x1c8c26…