Ragged-Coast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$505

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-16 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% $-11

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	6	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 07:08
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	7	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-01 03:23
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	5	$12	23	15	+8	open	—	05-01 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 15:24
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 15:44
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 16:26
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 03:45
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$9	7	4	+3	open	—	04-30 16:19
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 07:34
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	05-01 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-01 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$8	12	11	+1	open	—	05-03 14:20
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	8	$8	51	50	+0	open	—	05-01 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 14:30
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 01:59
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	05-01 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$7	9	5	+4	open	—	05-04 14:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	6	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 16:28
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$7	10	10	+0	Down	$-6	05-05 13:56
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	7	$6	26	11	+14	open	—	05-01 07:28
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	05-01 12:08
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$6	9	5	+4	open	—	05-01 03:29
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 02:09
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	5	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 15:38:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x52412e…
05-16 15:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x93f898…
05-16 15:22:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb2c1bd…
05-16 15:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7c118f…
05-14 09:53:39	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4fdcf6…
05-10 10:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x6122f2…
05-10 10:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2748ac…
05-10 10:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x07c8f5…
05-10 10:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0b24b8…
05-10 10:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfefdb7…
05-10 10:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x316515…
05-10 10:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe72aa7…
05-10 10:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x609e30…
05-10 10:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa23467…
05-10 10:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x26dc51…
05-10 09:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcdffc5…
05-10 08:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xc78602…
05-10 08:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8161f1…
05-10 00:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x240168…
05-09 23:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9fd6b4…
05-09 23:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb93a9c…
05-09 23:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x23df36…
05-09 19:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3b584c…
05-09 19:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x66c768…
05-09 19:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc91b93…
05-09 19:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5938ef…
05-09 18:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x97f57f…
05-09 18:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9f93e8…
05-09 18:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeff60f…
05-09 18:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc16c44…
05-09 18:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6be18a…
05-09 07:22:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2871cc…
05-09 05:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x48e0cd…
05-09 05:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x32266e…
05-09 05:50:14	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc8d191…
05-09 05:49:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x248ae2…
05-09 05:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xbb2495…
05-09 05:29:57	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x303e7f…
05-09 05:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1d36bd…
05-09 05:28:12	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd4d5e7…
05-09 05:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x988c0e…
05-09 05:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x40426f…
05-09 05:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf28957…
05-05 13:59:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd8b30e…
05-05 13:56:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xfce337…
05-05 13:51:14	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x0ca827…
05-05 13:44:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9bd71c…
05-04 23:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x72a73b…
05-04 23:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x813456…
05-04 23:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd343af…
05-04 23:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6797ea…
05-04 23:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x89db1e…
05-04 23:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x84296a…
05-04 23:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x3ea719…
05-04 23:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x07be12…
05-04 15:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xaf3841…
05-04 15:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x209a2d…
05-04 15:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbcfd99…
05-04 15:34:20	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4374cd…
05-04 15:28:38	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5bfd7e…
05-04 15:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0xbba179…
05-04 15:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x02dfd3…
05-04 15:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xedd477…
05-04 14:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x93da31…
05-04 14:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x8b2ca6…
05-04 14:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x9c4322…
05-04 14:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8f057d…
05-04 14:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x21f204…
05-04 14:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xc25efa…
05-04 14:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9d81a5…
05-04 14:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x32ecf9…
05-04 14:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0xf3498e…
05-04 14:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf8b8df…
05-04 14:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0405fa…
05-04 14:12:10	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x18ae93…
05-04 14:10:54	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x26987b…
05-03 14:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb1113c…
05-03 14:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4165eb…
05-03 14:23:58	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3e4af4…
05-03 14:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x04e925…
05-03 14:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6c2283…
05-03 14:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	32¢	$4	0x4f4672…
05-03 14:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x01534c…
05-03 14:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8d5cae…
05-03 14:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x22a35b…
05-03 14:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1ee152…
05-03 14:09:20	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb55658…
05-03 14:08:28	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9d1ae9…
05-03 14:06:26	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc4932e…
05-03 11:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xeb0813…
05-03 10:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4ad0b5…
05-03 10:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x2594e7…
05-03 10:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x47744a…
05-03 08:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7bbe01…
05-03 08:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x79ebe0…
05-03 07:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xc9a162…
05-03 07:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x41fe26…
05-03 07:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x17d186…
05-03 07:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5fd3ba…
05-03 07:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf49df3…