Odd-Fat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-05 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

81% — —

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

8% 50% $-3

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	1	$155	155	+155	open	—	01-07 06:13
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	1	$152	153	+153	open	—	02-02 07:34
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$138	138	+138	open	—	04-21 03:34
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	1	$138	138	+138	open	—	04-16 02:56
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 120 139	1	$137	137	+137	open	—	04-09 08:39
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 220 239	1	$137	137	+137	open	—	01-30 03:03
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	1	$137	137	+137	open	—	01-25 10:34
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	1	$136	137	+137	open	—	01-21 06:53
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	1	$136	136	+136	open	—	03-19 08:41
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1080 1119	1	$136	136	+136	open	—	03-24 08:20
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 220 239	1	$135	135	+135	open	—	01-15 06:26
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	1	$135	135	+135	open	—	03-06 08:57
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$135	135	+135	open	—	03-11 11:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	1	$134	134	+134	Yes	+$0	05-05 12:53
will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	1	$133	133	+133	open	—	02-14 03:49
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	1	$133	133	+133	open	—	02-10 01:50
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	04-26 07:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	1	$53	53	+53	open	—	04-26 07:25
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	1	$20	99	+99	open	—	02-06 03:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$3	1,350	+1,350	Yes	$-3	05-05 12:35
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-15 06:25
will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-15 06:26
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-15 06:23
will zai have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-15 06:24
will googl reach 420 in january	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-15 06:23
will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-15 06:26
will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-15 06:24
will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-15 06:24
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-15 06:26
will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-15 06:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 12:53:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xaf26f2…
05-05 12:35:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	1,350	0¢	$3	0x6d1276…
04-26 07:31:20	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x9c97a3…
04-26 07:25:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xfef4c6…
04-21 03:34:06	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x24b4c9…
04-16 02:56:44	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x0e919f…
04-09 08:39:31	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 120 139	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x9eaf03…
03-24 08:20:29	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1080 1119	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x58aa22…
03-19 08:41:31	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x819dd5…
03-11 11:27:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xbb409d…
03-06 08:57:33	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x5105c9…
02-14 03:49:37	will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xfbe52f…
02-10 01:50:47	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x718fdb…
02-06 03:35:35	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	Yes	BUY	99	20¢	$20	0x52881e…
02-02 07:34:38	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	No	BUY	153	100¢	$152	0xcdb014…
01-30 03:03:22	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 220 239	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x1bd93c…
01-25 10:34:34	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xda0a7a…
01-21 06:53:50	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x85cdbd…
01-15 06:26:42	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 220 239	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x9c69f0…
01-15 06:26:28	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e9e55…
01-15 06:26:22	will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc519d9…
01-15 06:26:14	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5168cd…
01-15 06:26:08	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77a604…
01-15 06:26:00	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x28b54e…
01-15 06:25:54	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26c948…
01-15 06:25:48	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ce064…
01-15 06:24:40	will moonshot have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc8e9c8…
01-15 06:24:30	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ba7e3…
01-15 06:24:24	will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x151317…
01-15 06:24:18	will zai have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xffa774…
01-15 06:24:12	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x09c1b5…
01-15 06:23:42	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x546ad3…
01-15 06:23:32	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc117b8…
01-15 06:23:28	will googl reach 420 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8980ef…
01-15 06:23:16	will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0fe36b…
01-07 06:13:15	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x557d5a…