Numb-Variant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

Trades

390

lifetime

Volume

$3.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-11 14:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

97% 75% $-3

Politics

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ukx up or down on march 3 2026	2	$121	61	61	+0	open	—	03-03 18:02
nik up or down on march 3 2026	3	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	03-03 12:32
nik up or down on march 2 2026	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	03-02 06:11
ukx up or down on february 27 2026	5	$106	55	55	+0	open	—	02-27 19:45
nik up or down on march 30 2026	6	$96	53	53	+0	open	—	03-30 05:49
nik up or down on february 24 2026	3	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	02-24 10:31
nik up or down on february 27 2026	2	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	02-27 12:38
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 1?	6	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	05-01 12:31
dax up or down on march 6 2026	5	$81	43	43	+0	open	—	03-06 16:25
dax up or down on february 23 2026	2	$79	41	41	+0	open	—	02-23 19:08
ukx up or down on february 20 2026	2	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	02-20 16:25
nik up or down on april 21 2026	3	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	04-21 14:57
nik up or down on february 20 2026	2	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	02-20 12:33
nik up or down on february 18 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	02-18 13:25
nik up or down on march 4 2026	3	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-04 05:58
dax up or down on january 23 2026	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	01-23 18:44
nik up or down on march 11 2026	4	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-11 12:36
dax up or down on march 12 2026	3	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-12 20:45
nik up or down on january 23 2026	4	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	01-23 11:30
nya up or down on february 27 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	02-27 20:06
ukx up or down on march 6 2026	5	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	03-06 17:01
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 24?	4	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	04-24 12:00
nik up or down on march 19 2026	3	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	03-19 12:32
nik up or down on april 23 2026	3	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	04-23 13:01
hsi up or down on february 12 2026	2	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	02-13 00:47
ukx up or down on february 26 2026	1	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	02-26 16:10
ukx up or down on february 11 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	02-11 16:50
spx up or down on march 18 2026	5	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	03-18 18:38
dax up or down on february 25 2026	1	$43	46	0	+46	open	—	02-25 14:30
spx opens up or down on march 5 2026	3	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	03-05 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 14:33:08	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1619dc…
05-11 12:18:49	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8df44b…
05-11 05:46:09	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbe574d…
05-08 13:33:48	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2a0109…
05-08 13:33:23	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0a8ce4…
05-08 02:15:02	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x07b317…
05-08 02:07:16	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7a2289…
05-07 14:26:08	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7c9d7d…
05-07 14:25:30	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc55248…
05-07 14:09:25	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xde0d7f…
05-07 14:08:40	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaee2b3…
05-07 14:07:35	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb4d438…
05-01 12:31:38	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x637f9d…
05-01 05:51:16	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2cac67…
05-01 05:44:00	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc20c3c…
05-01 05:43:18	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4bd162…
05-01 04:51:32	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcba078…
05-01 03:27:00	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xae97e3…
04-28 13:47:54	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0a8adc…
04-28 04:27:02	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb6302a…
04-28 03:47:32	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xeb0b1b…
04-28 03:47:22	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5886ba…
04-24 15:07:14	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xeff836…
04-24 15:00:12	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5cc4dc…
04-24 14:59:44	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x094a97…
04-24 13:45:34	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6f5983…
04-24 12:00:34	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x234fe1…
04-24 05:12:20	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1c39e2…
04-24 05:12:10	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x075ea7…
04-24 04:35:20	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x928279…
04-23 19:36:48	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc87d0…
04-23 13:01:30	nik up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb21a00…
04-23 04:15:20	nik up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf633eb…
04-23 03:32:42	nik up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc57033…
04-21 14:57:06	nik up or down on april 21 2026	Up	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x40d366…
04-21 04:18:10	nik up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6ce8c2…
04-21 03:25:08	nik up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x98e8ea…
04-20 12:22:10	nik up or down on april 20 2026	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa99d68…
04-20 03:56:16	nik up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe1ffce…
04-20 01:59:14	nik up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xee4b18…
04-15 05:01:30	nik up or down on april 15 2026	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x66d6ba…
04-13 15:57:19	dax up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xae3c2f…
04-13 12:39:33	ukx up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xca74e4…
04-13 12:39:07	dax up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7aea3d…
04-13 12:37:57	nik up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x571962…
04-12 15:09:05	nik up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xedbd34…
04-08 12:34:55	nik up or down on april 8 2026	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x15a380…
04-07 23:11:15	nik up or down on april 8 2026	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf23fa1…
04-06 12:27:29	nik up or down on april 6 2026	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb6ae1e…
04-06 02:38:29	nik up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa7ce06…
04-06 02:38:09	nik up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x942ab3…
03-31 16:48:11	dax up or down on march 31 2026	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x37f0ca…
03-31 13:36:47	dax up or down on march 31 2026	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xde7fa8…
03-30 16:27:45	ukx up or down on march 30 2026	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7ea613…
03-30 13:41:17	ukx up or down on march 30 2026	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x4c8a52…
03-30 13:39:19	ukx up or down on march 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6e3106…
03-30 05:49:00	nik up or down on march 30 2026	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xa2fbb7…
03-30 03:12:30	nik up or down on march 30 2026	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x207d77…
03-30 03:12:08	nik up or down on march 30 2026	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xae260e…
03-30 03:10:18	nik up or down on march 30 2026	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x592059…
03-30 03:09:04	nik up or down on march 30 2026	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfda498…
03-30 03:08:18	nik up or down on march 30 2026	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x54739a…
03-23 19:40:37	spx up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f191d…
03-23 18:00:47	dax up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5375f5…
03-23 14:24:21	dax up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x89a9fc…
03-23 14:22:55	spx up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6e9ed3…
03-23 14:21:59	dax up or down on march 23 2026	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x98adb3…
03-23 09:55:55	ukx up or down on march 23 2026	Down	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x3aa74c…
03-23 05:50:13	nik up or down on march 23 2026	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0x5b8e9f…
03-23 05:46:51	dax up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x20cb11…
03-23 05:44:53	ukx up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf099fe…
03-23 05:10:43	ukx up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xaaad1a…
03-23 00:21:31	nik up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5d107f…
03-23 00:21:15	nik up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3b10c8…
03-20 19:39:21	dax up or down on march 20 2026	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x49f4ca…
03-20 19:39:17	ukx up or down on march 20 2026	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf60cfc…
03-20 19:39:13	spx up or down on march 20 2026	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2e510a…
03-20 14:54:23	spx up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfe7b1b…
03-20 14:45:53	ukx up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6ca37f…
03-20 14:45:29	dax up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x932e23…
03-20 14:32:25	ukx up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x47b7e2…
03-20 14:31:53	dax up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x856b7c…
03-19 19:20:51	ukx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb71c2f…
03-19 19:20:47	dax up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6d9d42…
03-19 19:20:13	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xafdbef…
03-19 18:06:17	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb54aea…
03-19 15:40:57	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xbc897f…
03-19 12:34:07	dax up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa70f9e…
03-19 12:33:17	ukx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3d877d…
03-19 12:32:17	nik up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x6079c3…
03-19 01:44:11	nik up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc94073…
03-19 01:28:05	nik up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb85a44…
03-18 18:59:31	ndx up or down on march 18 2026	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x41a3ad…
03-18 18:51:07	ndx up or down on march 18 2026	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x78cb59…
03-18 18:47:29	ndx up or down on march 18 2026	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc65120…
03-18 18:38:47	spx up or down on march 18 2026	Down	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xf0a97d…
03-18 18:34:43	spx up or down on march 18 2026	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6e77b9…
03-18 18:34:43	spx up or down on march 18 2026	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0211f4…
03-18 18:33:29	spx up or down on march 18 2026	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcb0693…
03-18 18:31:45	spx up or down on march 18 2026	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0488e9…