Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$224

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-26 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

70% 22% -$28

Crypto

14% 67% +$10

Other

12% 0% -$22

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	+13	$10	80¢	$10	+$0	10-25 23:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+74	$10	11¢	$8	-$2	10-26 00:04
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+26	$5	16¢	$4	-$1	10-26 00:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$77	72	72	+0	Yes	+$25	10-25 22:27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$25	84	0	+84	No	-$25	10-25 22:58
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$5	01-22 14:18
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$13	17	17	+0	No	+$3	01-14 22:06
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	10-25 23:59
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$10	323	0	+323	No	-$10	02-10 00:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$10	74	0	+74	open	—	10-26 00:04
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	1	$10	24	0	+24	No	-$10	01-14 21:07
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	01-14 21:09
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$7	127	0	+127	No	-$7	01-23 02:28
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$6	11	0	+11	No	+$5	01-17 10:06
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	10-26 00:03
will aryna sabalenka win the 2026 womens australian open	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	01-27 21:55
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$5	116	0	+116	No	-$5	01-17 10:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$5	33	0	+33	Yes	-$5	01-30 23:23
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	1	$4	80	0	+80	No	-$4	02-10 00:21
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$3	18	0	+18	No	-$3	01-30 23:25
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$2	37	0	+37	No	-$2	01-17 10:07
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	01-23 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 00:04:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0xc396d9…
10-26 00:03:32	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x2c23af…
10-25 23:59:18	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf60576…
10-25 22:58:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x331e6f…
10-25 22:43:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x7e52a8…
10-25 22:34:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0x9f6447…
10-25 22:27:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	72	70¢	$51	0x99cc3a…
10-25 20:56:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x116432…
10-25 20:55:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0x07e4e5…
02-10 00:21:11	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x5cf820…
02-10 00:20:43	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x7f5143…
01-30 23:25:14	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x912135…
01-30 23:23:58	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x49c04b…
01-27 21:55:51	will aryna sabalenka win the 2026 womens australian open	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x253aad…
01-23 02:28:12	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x4d2b08…
01-23 02:26:50	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x3be71e…
01-22 14:18:58	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x6c69b8…
01-17 10:07:18	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x45ca11…
01-17 10:06:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x93b2e1…
01-17 10:04:58	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x78d1fc…
01-14 22:06:56	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	Yes	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x8cdf91…
01-14 21:10:58	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfba248…
01-14 21:09:44	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc9a847…
01-14 21:09:16	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd720ef…
01-14 21:08:46	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69a35b…
01-14 21:07:22	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7509c4…
01-14 21:07:08	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb90d41…