Reflecting-Pendulum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$166

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

904

lifetime

Volume

$242.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$268

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 06-10 09:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 100% +$166

Other

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-4	$-1	29¢	$-1	$-0	06-08 13:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	50	$19.0K	8,795	10,355	-1,560	open	—	05-14 07:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	41	$17.6K	8,209	9,531	-1,321	Yes	+$35	05-12 14:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	43	$11.7K	5,968	5,968	+0	open	—	05-14 14:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	69	$9.8K	4,940	4,940	+0	open	—	04-30 12:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	25	$9.6K	5,856	3,855	+2,001	Yes	+$47	05-13 14:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	29	$7.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$22	05-11 12:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	28	$7.6K	3,940	3,940	+0	open	—	05-13 12:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10?	76	$7.2K	3,596	3,596	+0	No	+$22	05-09 05:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	77	$7.1K	3,565	3,565	+0	No	+$7	05-08 02:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	19	$7.0K	3,499	3,497	+2	open	—	04-28 15:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	18	$6.9K	3,513	3,513	+0	open	—	05-14 11:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	2	$6.9K	3,469	3,469	+0	open	—	04-25 01:42
bitcoin above 74k on april 24	5	$6.8K	3,441	3,441	+0	open	—	04-24 12:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	10	$6.7K	3,375	3,375	+0	open	—	04-30 03:57
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	7	$6.5K	3,255	3,250	+5	open	—	03-11 02:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	13	$5.8K	3,418	2,459	+959	open	—	05-16 11:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	8	$5.2K	2,607	2,605	+2	open	—	04-26 11:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	4	$4.3K	2,176	2,176	+0	open	—	04-28 06:54
bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	21	$3.7K	1,496	2,242	-746	open	—	06-10 09:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	20	$3.6K	3,610	50	+3,560	No	+$18	05-10 08:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	11	$3.5K	2,165	1,377	+788	open	—	05-31 14:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	2	$3.5K	3,477	0	+3,477	open	—	04-27 03:25
bitcoin above 70k on april 23	1	$3.4K	3,431	0	+3,431	open	—	04-23 01:40
bitcoin above 72k on april 22	4	$3.4K	3,415	0	+3,415	open	—	04-22 07:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	5	$3.4K	1,709	1,708	+1	open	—	05-20 13:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	14	$3.2K	1,615	1,615	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 09:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	7	$3.2K	1,602	1,602	+0	open	—	05-19 09:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	34	$2.7K	1,337	1,337	+0	open	—	05-26 04:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	3	$2.6K	1,319	1,318	+1	open	—	05-25 00:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	2	$2.6K	1,325	1,324	+1	open	—	05-25 10:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 23:58:51	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	SELL	189	100¢	$189	0xe14d18…
06-10 22:48:21	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x257a50…
06-10 09:01:28	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	650	100¢	$648	0x73e665…
06-10 09:01:18	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6242fe…
06-10 09:01:07	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4d2831…
06-10 09:00:55	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x169385…
06-10 09:00:45	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0e353d…
06-10 09:00:43	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3fa241…
06-10 09:00:34	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x65721e…
06-10 09:00:25	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x22c7d6…
06-10 09:00:13	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xaaf293…
06-10 07:00:42	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	750	100¢	$748	0x63de8d…
06-10 05:36:37	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	452	100¢	$451	0xdda7dc…
06-10 05:35:57	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf4ca2b…
06-10 05:35:36	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x4dc7c0…
06-10 05:35:27	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb5a611…
06-10 05:35:13	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe0dac8…
06-10 05:34:22	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x117619…
06-10 05:33:46	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6a0f36…
06-10 05:33:25	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc13710…
06-10 05:33:00	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1487dd…
06-10 05:32:33	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x757d00…
06-10 05:32:12	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x695a2a…
06-10 05:32:10	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf04d69…
06-10 05:31:55	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xbc2b9f…
06-10 05:29:54	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	748	100¢	$746	0x553560…
06-10 03:19:25	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xb665ea…
06-10 03:19:21	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4b5b03…
06-10 03:19:19	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0x5dddea…
06-10 03:19:13	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$114	0xc82e7b…
06-10 03:19:07	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	137	100¢	$136	0xd59911…
06-10 03:19:01	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xdaa227…
06-10 03:18:55	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0xabd882…
06-10 03:18:51	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xe1a60c…
06-10 03:18:49	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc143d6…
06-10 02:47:40	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	746	100¢	$743	0x8fc62d…
06-10 02:05:16	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	746	100¢	$744	0x696ca1…
06-09 02:31:25	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	744	100¢	$742	0x2764c3…
06-09 00:28:00	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	366	99¢	$364	0x2db9f6…
06-09 00:26:33	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	378	100¢	$376	0x6099e1…
06-08 23:35:43	bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	738	97¢	$718	0x1c6039…
06-08 22:55:21	bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	738	96¢	$709	0x790879…
06-08 13:55:37	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	No	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xaba44c…
06-08 13:55:30	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x095e55…
06-08 06:16:30	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	733	100¢	$730	0xe14431…
06-08 03:42:33	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	552	99¢	$549	0xb69846…
06-08 03:41:13	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x193868…
06-08 03:41:10	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x85360f…
06-08 03:36:28	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x26e5b9…
06-07 12:10:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	730	98¢	$715	0x8152e9…
06-07 04:53:49	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	264	97¢	$257	0x11e687…
06-07 04:51:04	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x454499…
06-07 04:50:24	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x0f7241…
06-07 04:48:40	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x3cc8e1…
06-06 02:17:52	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	93	97¢	$90	0xb4da76…
06-06 02:17:19	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x78831c…
06-06 02:17:01	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xc2b421…
06-06 02:15:12	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7b0e31…
06-06 02:13:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x794407…
06-06 02:12:34	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x772072…
06-06 02:07:03	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x1ea18c…
06-06 02:06:22	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xffdf35…
06-06 02:05:39	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x77ef25…
06-06 00:02:40	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	243	94¢	$228	0x8ba4fe…
06-05 08:34:00	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x6b5884…
06-05 08:33:55	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5ef126…
06-05 08:33:00	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9d24f4…
06-05 08:32:34	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeb754b…
06-05 08:32:34	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x1b036e…
06-05 08:32:21	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xe33a29…
06-05 08:32:07	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x48ba94…
06-05 08:31:58	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe6b845…
06-05 08:31:51	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xc4b859…
06-05 08:31:37	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x951bc6…
06-05 08:31:21	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1bdf2d…
06-05 05:55:31	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	713	100¢	$710	0xd85bc4…
06-01 15:00:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	206	10¢	$21	0xd6b43b…
06-01 15:00:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	338	10¢	$34	0x8b41b8…
06-01 15:00:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	326	10¢	$33	0xf50939…
06-01 14:59:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x127977…
06-01 14:59:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x4ea709…
06-01 10:14:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xbb2aaa…
06-01 10:13:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x372fbe…
06-01 10:11:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x6d63bd…
05-31 23:22:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	619	96¢	$594	0xbfa87c…
05-31 22:57:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	61	96¢	$58	0x8283fd…
05-31 22:29:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	801	96¢	$767	0xb281fb…
05-31 22:26:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	465	100¢	$464	0xb9fd71…
05-31 14:19:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	979	100¢	$976	0x43245f…
05-31 12:02:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	372	100¢	$371	0x48d32a…
05-31 12:01:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,005	100¢	$1,002	0x18ae46…
05-31 01:19:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	441	99¢	$435	0xacb03e…
05-31 00:28:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc64f28…
05-31 00:12:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0919c0…
05-30 23:59:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	164	99¢	$162	0xb06ff2…
05-30 23:34:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	250	99¢	$246	0x7bc2f2…
05-30 23:26:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	140	99¢	$138	0xe17bfa…
05-30 23:19:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4f25b8…
05-30 22:34:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	179	99¢	$176	0x290274…
05-30 06:46:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	111	97¢	$108	0x8b220c…