Finished-Temptation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

313

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$3.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-03 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 230 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% -$2

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:08
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:54
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:50
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:09
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:46
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 10:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 12:46
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 01:29
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 06:22
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:47
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-18 08:48
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:59
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:42
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:08
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:21
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:11
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:51
highest temperature in jeddah on april 14 2026 32c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-14 16:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 05:40
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 17:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc6ce43…
11-03 07:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x131d68…
11-02 09:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x297f82…
10-31 17:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x94065d…
10-31 04:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xee213e…
10-30 08:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x45a843…
10-29 17:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x46e300…
10-29 06:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd0e4a0…
10-28 04:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x79d33c…
10-27 15:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1ad34f…
10-27 07:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x14592b…
10-26 04:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x749153…
10-24 06:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x558704…
10-22 09:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb07a10…
10-20 04:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x23aec5…
10-19 06:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf5263f…
10-18 05:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1445d4…
10-17 07:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x70a43d…
10-16 04:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x38dd36…
10-15 05:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8f9c7d…
10-14 06:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x10ce01…
10-13 13:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdfb60c…
10-13 01:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xc481de…
10-12 01:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb06acb…
10-11 01:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x333c50…
10-08 04:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca1178…
10-07 08:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2019b3…
10-06 14:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x078e00…
10-06 05:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29cf44…
10-04 07:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf28648…
10-03 00:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x139168…
10-02 07:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac9c56…
10-02 03:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa31b5f…
10-01 05:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1541f6…
09-30 07:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e8a65…
09-29 06:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b9702…
09-28 07:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb71242…
09-27 10:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a781e…
09-26 08:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x682972…
09-25 01:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x41803d…
09-24 01:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x581d8d…
09-23 05:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92dc1d…
09-22 01:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40efcd…
09-21 06:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04a678…
09-20 02:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x780f9f…
09-19 05:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a8b18…
09-18 09:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc590b0…
09-18 01:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecf5a3…
09-17 00:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x845657…
09-16 07:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9699e…
09-15 23:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fcc86…
09-15 01:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4587de…
09-14 00:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5333da…
09-13 12:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e3abf…
09-12 03:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a496a…
09-11 01:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x414aee…
09-10 01:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3a2b4…
09-09 00:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a902b…
09-08 01:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x808d9d…
09-07 13:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33ae5c…
09-07 01:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x526081…
09-06 17:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb43898…
09-06 01:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcacfb…
09-05 08:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03a489…
09-04 08:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34cb5e…
09-03 01:06:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe26a79…
09-02 11:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6d208…
09-01 01:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2faaac…
08-30 00:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e5ca1…
08-29 05:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8eb32…
08-28 01:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x603891…
08-27 01:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x169305…
08-26 01:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b1ba5…
08-25 01:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x559120…
08-24 07:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7d37d…
08-23 01:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9da45…
08-22 01:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x665b2c…
08-21 01:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc35e0f…
08-20 05:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb503dd…
08-19 00:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x000166…
08-18 00:10:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83830f…
08-17 05:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb872e…
08-16 01:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08867b…
08-15 01:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35ca7c…
08-14 01:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf5806…
08-13 00:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59b51f…
08-12 00:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacf259…
08-11 00:12:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57ebe5…
08-10 00:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4a090…
08-09 00:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbc25e…
08-08 00:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7be994…
08-07 00:13:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c1fc4…
08-06 00:18:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x069ace…
08-05 00:16:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62f3d0…
08-04 00:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ea1e7…
08-03 00:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1a1ef…
08-02 06:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf98a85…
08-02 00:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x190be9…
08-01 00:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd17d99…
07-31 00:58:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef4cc5…