Rusty-Chasm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$331

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

696

Trades

1,851

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 09-17 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

58% 40% -$228

Politics

34% 47% -$264

Sports

8% 41% +$178

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	21	$873	1,076	1,076	+0	No	-$138	04-27 23:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	17	$519	603	603	+0	No	+$27	04-26 23:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	20	$315	774	774	+0	No	-$21	04-21 19:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	7	$202	293	293	+0	No	-$102	04-20 17:58
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	10	$199	173	173	+0	No	+$115	04-11 00:03
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	8	$170	136	132	+4	Yes	+$39	04-17 13:14
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$170	107	107	+0	No	+$38	03-25 17:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$155	92	92	+0	Yes	+$25	04-12 19:19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$139	86	86	+0	Yes	+$3	04-12 01:34
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	6	$139	179	179	+0	No	-$1	04-21 19:20
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	2	$119	128	128	+0	Yes	-$1	04-24 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 11?	23	$117	104	102	+2	Yes	+$1	09-11 21:07
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$116	146	146	+0	No	-$4	04-18 11:35
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	4	$93	178	178	+0	Yes	-$7	05-13 11:24
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	4	$90	58	56	+2	Yes	+$22	07-06 03:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$90	127	127	+0	No	-$1	03-27 16:38
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$86	100	100	+0	No	-$34	04-21 20:53
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	6	$85	66	66	+0	No	+$6	04-10 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 11?	20	$83	164	154	+10	No	-$8	09-11 03:22
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$82	94	94	+0	No	-$18	04-20 10:14
Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$71	47	47	+0	No	+$11	05-04 20:37
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	4	$69	62	62	+0	No	+$29	03-24 21:37
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	6	$68	85	85	+0	Yes	+$8	05-08 05:00
will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	2	$67	48	48	+0	Yes	+$27	07-09 21:52
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	4	$67	49	48	+1	No	+$14	04-11 18:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	5	$66	161	161	+0	No	+$10	04-16 17:26
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$65	56	56	+0	Yes	+$5	04-12 19:20
will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	2	$65	40	40	+0	No	+$15	06-30 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 11?	10	$64	40	40	+0	No	-$2	09-10 13:39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$59	48	48	+0	Yes	+$9	04-07 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 12:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x0f0ee7…
09-17 12:25:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x906156…
09-17 12:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17?	No	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x1bf070…
09-17 11:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xcf4866…
09-17 11:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc53897…
09-17 11:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x53be04…
09-17 11:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x6d9f34…
09-17 11:20:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x950809…
09-17 11:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 17?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf44dad…
09-17 11:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x269b20…
09-17 11:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf10133…
09-17 10:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x25001e…
09-17 09:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x19e2e8…
09-17 09:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8fb5e8…
09-17 09:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5cbca6…
09-17 07:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 17?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x83b4ae…
09-17 07:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 17?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xad09d5…
09-17 07:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2478ae…
09-17 07:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 17?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5146ad…
09-17 07:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 17?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x130e51…
09-17 07:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2d2ec9…
09-17 07:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xca0fcc…
09-17 07:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 17?	No	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xfe58b4…
09-17 07:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 17?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9f9560…
09-17 06:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xa311ea…
09-17 06:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x5dd2e4…
09-17 06:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x74df68…
09-17 06:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 18?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x44b3c3…
09-17 06:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x84dcca…
09-17 03:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x77614a…
09-17 03:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1511c7…
09-17 02:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 17?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x172c22…
09-17 00:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x940dc1…
09-17 00:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 17?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x8bc5d9…
09-16 22:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x641278…
09-16 22:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 16?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x74cbab…
09-16 21:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3898e5…
09-16 21:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 16?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xcb2d0e…
09-16 21:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x2d9aea…
09-16 21:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5b5fa9…
09-16 21:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 16?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x34113d…
09-16 21:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6ce0f9…
09-16 21:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x774413…
09-16 20:50:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf56120…
09-16 20:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa0348d…
09-16 19:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4bfe69…
09-16 19:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 17?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3474ab…
09-16 19:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xcecf40…
09-16 19:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 17?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x3be325…
09-16 19:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xfba8e9…
09-16 19:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xcaac24…
09-16 19:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17?	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x991c2a…
09-16 19:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc0b6b2…
09-16 19:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 17?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x92758b…
09-16 19:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8d823b…
09-16 18:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17?	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x57d690…
09-16 18:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf892ed…
09-16 18:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x112c6e…
09-16 18:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xe4fc1a…
09-16 18:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 17?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x93631f…
09-16 18:45:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd82202…
09-16 18:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xef724c…
09-16 18:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x84a2ee…
09-16 18:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 16?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf438c4…
09-16 18:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x87510f…
09-16 18:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1af749…
09-16 18:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 17?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x6f5996…
09-16 18:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x4ce850…
09-16 16:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xda987a…
09-16 16:50:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf9af44…
09-16 14:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 16?	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xf5e3b4…
09-16 12:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xae93af…
09-16 12:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xae4cf7…
09-16 12:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1ed38a…
09-16 12:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 16?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0549a1…
09-16 12:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x6fca4f…
09-16 09:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x95a9f5…
09-16 09:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6208c4…
09-16 09:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xda8dd0…
09-16 09:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb9ebb3…
09-16 09:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 16?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x7189e5…
09-16 08:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x0f3102…
09-16 08:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xe9bfb1…
09-16 08:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x3743a7…
09-16 08:19:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x52e618…
09-16 08:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x95acac…
09-16 07:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xe96da3…
09-16 07:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x83cf4f…
09-16 06:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 16?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5118ed…
09-16 06:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc5e108…
09-16 05:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 16?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x871399…
09-16 05:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2c3498…
09-16 05:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x594ade…
09-16 05:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xeea62a…
09-16 05:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd79f56…
09-16 04:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0cc92e…
09-16 03:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdd782e…
09-16 01:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xce6b2b…
09-16 01:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x9fd786…
09-16 01:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x381ce1…