Ironclad-Crocus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$375

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

1,275

Trades

3,624

lifetime

Volume

$39.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-11 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

70% 42% +$500

Sports

11% 27% -$210

Politics

10% 41% +$497

Crypto

9% 38% -$348

Pop-Culture

0% 20% -$27

Tech

0% 0% -$37

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mex maz caz 2026 03 20 draw	6	$1.5K	1,019	1,019	+0	Yes	+$152	03-21 05:02
chi sha shp 2026 04 17 draw	12	$738	427	426	+0	Yes	+$106	04-17 13:37
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 draw	6	$674	390	387	+3	Yes	+$96	04-15 20:52
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	29	$571	8,064	732	+7,331	No	+$99	04-04 01:18
cs2 minlat rbls 2026 03 25	21	$544	779	465	+314	Rebels Gaming	-$147	03-25 12:03
col1 mif isf 2026 04 11 draw	30	$521	437	449	-12	Yes	+$356	04-13 03:26
lal ala vil 2026 03 13 draw	2	$500	486	486	+0	Yes	+$422	03-13 21:55
efa whu lee 2026 04 04 draw	4	$470	450	450	+0	Yes	+$428	04-05 17:36
epl liv tot 2026 03 15 draw	2	$466	493	493	+0	Yes	+$352	03-15 18:21
epl bri liv 2026 03 21 draw	7	$420	614	614	+0	No	-$20	03-21 14:04
will trump praise allah again by april 15	7	$337	449	449	+0	Yes	+$241	04-11 13:02
cze1 fmb fdp 2026 04 11 draw	8	$329	430	430	+0	Yes	+$67	04-12 15:33
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	9	$281	514	216	+297	No	-$5	04-11 13:20
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	10	$274	304	304	+0	No	-$4	04-16 23:17
col1 cab bcf 2026 04 12 draw	89	$262	6,734	0	+6,734	No	-$262	04-13 01:06
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	5	$258	5,323	263	+5,060	No	-$130	04-04 01:20
bl2 bie fcn 2026 04 18 draw	5	$249	140	139	+1	Yes	+$30	04-18 12:58
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	12	$243	219	219	+0	Yes	-$2	04-12 12:04
nor ik aal 2026 03 21 draw	2	$241	141	141	+0	Yes	+$41	03-21 16:59
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	16	$240	29,047	9,046	+20,001	No	+$89	04-02 17:18
bun b04 aug 2026 04 18 draw	12	$237	491	481	+9	No	-$127	04-18 15:26
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	9	$227	241	247	-6	No	+$2	03-24 12:59
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	15	$220	189	189	+0	Yes	-$1	03-25 14:34
cs2 9ine og1 2026 03 24	12	$214	255	187	+68	9INE	+$20	03-24 21:57
bitcoin above 70k on march 24	6	$208	135	295	-159	No	-$84	03-24 15:29
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 draw	11	$202	410	323	+86	No	-$14	04-11 13:20
elc she wre 2026 03 21 draw	4	$190	290	251	+38	No	-$42	03-21 16:34
nhl lak nj 2026 03 14	4	$184	124	124	+0	Devils	+$48	03-15 01:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 24	8	$181	222	219	+3	No	+$5	03-24 15:35
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	9	$181	1,009	1,008	+0	Yes	-$9	04-10 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 14:45:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	181	1¢	$2	0x9a7f5b…
05-11 14:45:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x8078b9…
05-10 07:36:47	Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x723aff…
05-08 09:26:51	Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x877af5…
05-07 19:00:25	Will National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xbd7b96…
05-04 18:24:28	Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xb6afa5…
05-04 18:11:40	Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb28370…
05-04 17:31:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x406178…
05-04 15:55:52	Will Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xb546ce…
05-04 15:43:44	Will Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x048906…
05-03 20:42:08	Will GV CD San José vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x24f24e…
05-03 19:09:08	Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xa50711…
05-03 18:54:10	Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. Ismaily SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0be950…
05-03 18:53:46	Will National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Modern SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x015a0c…
05-03 18:42:58	Will SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe56c9c…
05-03 17:59:16	Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x08898f…
05-03 17:59:08	Will CS Cristal vs. Cusco FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x33a596…
05-03 17:55:52	Will CS Cristal vs. Cusco FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2861bf…
05-03 17:54:36	Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x14c088…
05-03 17:31:44	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	77	5¢	$4	0x8bfb58…
05-03 17:29:20	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xdaaa77…
05-03 17:28:42	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x5a1ca1…
05-03 17:26:14	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0x5d3664…
05-03 17:23:20	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xf0730c…
05-03 16:59:20	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x368e04…
05-03 16:53:40	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x0a48de…
05-03 16:49:10	Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa37f32…
05-03 16:26:52	Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x64d7b0…
05-03 16:03:38	Will ZED FC vs. El Gouna SC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd152b4…
05-03 15:55:02	Will ZED FC vs. El Gouna SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x00268e…
05-03 15:10:40	Will Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4d4274…
05-03 14:37:42	Will Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xc5397b…
05-03 14:23:20	Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x559b2a…
05-03 14:18:52	Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x998699…
05-03 14:04:16	Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0xa1d17d…
05-03 12:21:36	Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	75¢	$13	0xda955d…
05-03 05:25:16	Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6a74e4…
05-03 05:04:54	Will Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xd0bdb6…
05-03 04:20:38	Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xbfe09f…
05-02 16:37:56	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x037752…
05-02 15:38:06	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x75c890…
05-02 15:25:52	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xbcad4b…
05-01 21:15:24	UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Shamil Gaziev	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2dc31a…
05-01 21:15:22	UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Shamil Gaziev	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x4133b2…
05-01 20:58:38	UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Shamil Gaziev	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x800f69…
05-01 20:28:20	Will Livingston FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xb9e96d…
04-30 16:34:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x23ac8e…
04-30 16:26:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x304e77…
04-30 16:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 1?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x4cfd0d…
04-30 16:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd2a0e7…
04-30 16:09:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 30?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xfc87ad…
04-30 16:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 30?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x0b85e3…
04-30 16:08:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 30?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf3578f…
04-30 16:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3ab6dd…
04-30 16:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 30?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x0ae009…
04-30 16:06:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 30?	No	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xbe2d80…
04-30 16:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 30?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x17a1d8…
04-30 15:51:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x7c791c…
04-30 15:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 30?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x8bdcad…
04-30 15:50:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 30?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa5e55e…
04-30 15:50:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?	No	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x345534…
04-30 15:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 30?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x314fea…
04-30 15:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on April 30?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x6f66a5…
04-30 15:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on April 30?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x98a123…
04-30 15:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 30?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9a1f17…
04-30 15:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 30?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc290bc…
04-30 15:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 30?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2ff927…
04-30 15:45:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 30?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x34e4e7…
04-30 15:45:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x4a9a09…
04-29 20:50:32	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0x0149cf…
04-29 20:44:44	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	BUY	73	22¢	$16	0x0a71d6…
04-29 20:40:40	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe99df3…
04-29 20:01:38	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0x3f0b6e…
04-29 18:49:52	Will Modern SC vs. Tala'ea El Gaish SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xca5ce4…
04-29 18:48:52	Will Modern SC vs. Tala'ea El Gaish SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf8b493…
04-29 17:20:16	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$12	0xa76809…
04-29 16:15:00	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	SELL	32	73¢	$24	0x59d05d…
04-29 16:04:52	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xad6458…
04-29 16:04:40	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xb8f66a…
04-29 16:02:30	Will El Gouna SC vs. Haras El Hodood SC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5631b9…
04-29 15:56:54	Will El Gouna SC vs. Haras El Hodood SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2e2b06…
04-29 15:50:26	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x518fd5…
04-29 15:45:18	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd3eeeb…
04-29 14:45:14	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$13	0xfb7279…
04-29 14:31:16	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	Yes	BUY	64	20¢	$13	0x8c5b58…
04-29 14:11:54	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x6ef741…
04-29 11:32:08	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 29?	No	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x1235f3…
04-29 11:32:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x834d24…
04-29 11:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 29?	No	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0xdbc913…
04-29 11:17:56	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 29?	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xe7190c…
04-29 11:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 29?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xeaf539…
04-29 11:17:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x942e0f…
04-27 20:55:08	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x0fa545…
04-27 20:22:48	Will SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x546ade…
04-27 17:53:26	Will HNK Gorica vs. NK Istra 1961 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xe8630a…
04-27 17:53:26	Will HNK Gorica vs. NK Istra 1961 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x3a517d…
04-27 17:53:22	Will HNK Gorica vs. NK Istra 1961 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xaff167…
04-27 17:53:10	Will HNK Gorica vs. NK Istra 1961 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xb8a7d7…
04-27 17:52:38	Will HNK Gorica vs. NK Istra 1961 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x6902a1…
04-27 17:51:34	Will HNK Gorica vs. NK Istra 1961 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe179f7…