Messy-Breakfast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,509

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-09 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

80% 95% +$1

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:33
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-12 14:23
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-09 22:15
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-16 07:46
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 21:12
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:47
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:14
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 20:21
cs2 leo2 brute 2026 04 07 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 18:04
will the match end in a draw or not be completed 766	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-12 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
cs2 red9 m8 2026 04 14 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-14 15:13
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 04:48
elc lei swa 2026 04 11 swa	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 16:03
will notre dame win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 22:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:24:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x477389…
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x745b31…
06-09 00:21:16	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc45d86…
06-08 21:36:58	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb10a86…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07e1c3…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x596c79…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b518e…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79b409…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d5ed1…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef171b…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c85c1…
06-06 11:32:37	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf25072…
06-06 11:32:27	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd9671…
06-05 17:59:15	Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f272b…
06-05 16:29:34	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2590bd…
06-05 01:53:27	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02d1c0…
06-04 18:17:10	mlb bal bos 2026 06 04 nrfi	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x570055…
06-04 14:19:12	atp mcdonal hijikat 2026 06 03 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59077c…
06-04 13:47:01	atp doubles brooste kirkpee 2026 06 02	Kirkov/Peers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36268f…
06-03 20:41:34	mlb cws min 2026 06 03 spread away 3pt5	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81690f…
06-03 20:33:03	mlb cws min 2026 06 03 spread away 2pt5	Chicago White Sox	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa378a2…
06-03 16:04:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49baf3…
06-03 16:02:07	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd931f…
06-03 13:43:32	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Balaji/Demoliner vs Helioevaara/Patten	Helioevaara/Patten	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d6b2b…
06-03 07:01:16	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Saudi Arabia vs United Arab Emirates	United Arab Emirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4619e3…
06-03 04:48:11	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x06d8bd…
06-02 22:56:08	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71d804…
06-02 18:59:45	Spread: Belgium (-2.5)	Croatia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9dcf9…
06-02 15:24:35	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47adcc…
06-02 11:38:41	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98184c…
06-01 18:03:02	LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas - Game 2 Winner	The Ruddy Sack	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89fea4…
06-01 17:54:06	Foggia: Xinyu Gao vs Darya Astakhova	Darya Astakhova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf24eb2…
06-01 14:41:40	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9b2b9…
06-01 07:28:44	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70f602…
05-31 20:39:40	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	Netherlands	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15e707…
05-31 20:11:21	Pallacanestro Brescia vs. Olimpia Milano	Pallacanestro Brescia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x668770…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b1c37…
05-31 18:08:24	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8588a6…
05-31 16:12:23	Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Busta	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17ec28…
05-31 14:19:37	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a1250…
05-31 11:42:02	Tochigi SC vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43afa3…
05-30 19:28:18	LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 3 Winner	Fluxo W7M	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd060d0…
05-30 17:58:00	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16ec92…
05-30 14:25:14	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff6b02…
05-30 12:16:35	UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jake Matthews	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeae2d9…
05-30 10:49:10	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1e019…
05-30 05:33:11	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0336aa…
05-30 04:48:09	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1373a5…
05-30 04:48:09	IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x084092…
05-29 21:58:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c87bd…
05-29 21:06:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e09ce…
05-29 21:06:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5acdad…
05-29 21:01:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6908b6…
05-29 16:01:28	El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Modern SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68f2d2…
05-29 13:57:03	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ba537…
05-28 23:03:28	Matteo Arnaldi vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8da12…
05-28 20:08:40	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7eb346…
05-28 16:52:21	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x291114…
05-28 16:31:09	IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x206276…
05-28 16:31:07	IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6865f2…
05-28 14:34:22	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Hilderbrand/Paris	Arevalo/Pavic	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4f58e9…
05-28 14:00:07	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Hilderbrand/Paris	Arevalo/Pavic	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x914ac5…
05-28 13:56:23	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Hilderbrand/Paris	Arevalo/Pavic	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe3723e…
05-28 13:17:39	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroes	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41ebda…
05-28 12:33:03	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x388ad8…
05-28 02:32:33	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb667c…
05-28 01:57:19	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd397f1…
05-26 20:00:20	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd23dd2…
05-26 13:17:59	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2b5c6…
05-26 06:27:59	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49c31f…
05-26 02:00:48	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd89bc1…
05-25 10:12:42	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00f7c0…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3243b4…
05-25 04:48:19	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x994d0d…
05-25 01:50:41	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4f6a9…
05-25 00:55:16	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcf487…
05-25 00:47:53	Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b9924…
05-24 22:57:07	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e9b2f…
05-24 19:24:10	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe85a2…
05-24 18:21:14	SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ab40b…
05-24 17:20:25	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2ba3d…
05-24 16:02:10	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf1d22f…
05-24 15:30:05	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4727d9…
05-24 08:02:48	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36e668…
05-24 04:52:10	Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2882e…
05-24 00:32:06	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c4f00…
05-23 21:09:02	Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)	CA Osasuna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7fe68e…
05-23 21:08:57	Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)	CA Osasuna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc6c47…
05-23 17:47:07	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe2b4b…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1f8d3…
05-23 12:56:33	Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86fb9f…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0b47c…
05-22 20:37:17	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed4104…
05-21 14:24:59	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e881c…
05-21 11:20:09	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7fe38…
05-21 04:00:51	Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)	Independiente Medellín	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc75369…
05-20 21:53:23	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2a932…
05-20 21:22:33	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x152e11…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x101906…
05-20 19:13:52	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc44fbc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Well-To-Do-Update 0xc093…095c	739	$7.60K	769	06-09 16:28
Another-Carload 0x5a16…27bf	738	$7.53K	761	06-09 16:28
Tough-Report 0x8f74…c469	737	$37.5K	788	06-07 17:39
Round-Shaw 0x28ad…d8e1	715	$3.66K	737	06-09 17:38
Unaware-Height 0x615d…6d80	712	$7.27K	743	06-09 17:38
Well-Lit-Mozzarella 0xdfd1…52ac	709	$7.24K	732	06-09 17:38
Agonizing-Prevalence 0x787a…16c7	706	$3.61K	730	06-09 17:38
Scrawny-Traveler 0xa45f…5d62	702	$3.60K	720	06-09 17:38