Insubstantial-Speaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.64K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

818

Trades

2,225

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-13 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 35% -$834

Other

21% 14% -$915

Sports

6% 19% +$277

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$107

Politics

0% 0% -$45

Tech

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes		+556	$10	1¢	$5	-$5	10-13 10:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	15	$709	968	968	+0	Sean Strickland	+$329	05-10 04:54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	7	$346	805	739	+65	Luciano Darderi	+$242	05-12 14:31
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$276	5,482	5,154	+328	No	-$29	07-11 18:57
Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs Wildcard Gaming (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	5	$268	648	648	+0	FaZe Clan	+$43	05-12 00:38
Bengaluru 2: Kriish Tyagi vs Hamish Stewart	3	$254	540	540	+0	Kriish Tyagi	+$167	05-14 12:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 04:00 UTC	4	$198	453	453	+0	Up	+$169	06-06 04:04
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-10?	4	$181	217	217	+0	Yes	+$55	05-11 02:11
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	4	$181	433	333	+100	No	+$93	06-15 23:59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	4	$174	125	125	+0	Yes	+$50	05-10 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 01:10 UTC	2	$166	97	96	+1	Down	+$25	02-24 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 04:35 UTC	8	$163	518	326	+191	Up	+$45	06-06 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$161	266	250	+16	Down	+$107	06-03 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 19:35 UTC	4	$159	151	149	+1	Down	+$80	02-22 19:40
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-10?	4	$156	180	180	+0	No	+$114	05-10 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 01:35 UTC	3	$146	271	267	+4	Down	-$140	02-24 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 17:00 UTC	3	$144	177	126	+51	Up	+$78	02-23 17:05
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	5	$132	277	277	+0	Twisted Minds	+$55	05-11 22:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 04:45 UTC	4	$132	142	142	+0	Down	+$94	06-06 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:20 UTC	8	$129	521	365	+156	Up	+$29	06-05 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:05 UTC	9	$124	422	322	+100	Up	+$40	06-11 00:09
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	8	$122	992	992	+0	No	-$37	06-20 01:13
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?	6	$117	202	202	+0	No	+$67	05-11 21:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 15:00 UTC	9	$116	513	513	+0	Down	-$2	06-10 15:04
Fight to Go the Distance?	3	$115	86	86	+0	Yes	+$25	05-10 04:39
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?	6	$114	297	297	+0	Yes	+$28	05-10 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:05 UTC	6	$113	200	150	+50	Up	+$39	06-10 12:09
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?	5	$112	215	215	+0	Yes	+$47	05-11 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 18:55 UTC	5	$112	107	106	+1	Down	+$53	02-22 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 03:15 UTC	4	$109	94	92	+1	Up	+$47	03-06 03:20
Paris: Anna Blinkova vs Leylah Fernandez	7	$109	184	184	+0	Anna Blinkova	+$16	05-12 14:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 11:01:08	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	397	4¢	$16	0x61a19f…
10-13 10:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x1e8dc0…
10-13 10:56:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:55 UTC	Up	SELL	37	34¢	$13	0xe4f81d…
10-13 10:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xe2adeb…
10-13 10:55:26	Will FC Pohang Steelers win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xce53bb…
10-13 10:54:22	ow mg uwi 2026 10 13	Uwinks	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x819eb2…
10-13 10:53:08	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	449	3¢	$15	0x0071a0…
10-13 10:51:55	atp iannacc jianu 2026 10 13	Federico Iannaccone	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0d412c…
10-13 10:50:10	atp iannacc jianu 2026 10 13	Federico Iannaccone	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x4d14b7…
10-13 10:48:04	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0xedf71d…
10-09 18:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	10¢	$6	0x3b0330…
10-09 18:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5ac876…
10-09 18:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe19edb…
10-09 18:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x276d45…
10-09 18:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	45	32¢	$15	0x0b92e2…
10-09 18:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x5c944f…
10-09 18:39:43	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	180	10¢	$18	0x022389…
07-12 04:37:08	wta gormaz todoni 2026 07 12	Cristiana Todoni	BUY	479	6¢	$29	0xbcbdd0…
07-12 04:34:56	Will England win?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x5df4c0…
07-12 04:33:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xd32974…
07-12 04:32:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x76802c…
07-12 04:28:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x9e9523…
07-12 04:28:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:25 UTC	Down	SELL	37	77¢	$29	0xea9b98…
07-12 04:26:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x2fd6f4…
07-12 04:24:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x388922…
07-11 18:58:53	Will England win?	Yes	BUY	101	9¢	$9	0x4db39f…
07-11 18:57:34	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	328	6¢	$20	0x9f916a…
06-20 01:13:34	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	473	1¢	$2	0x6e1f25…
06-20 00:21:23	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	235	8¢	$19	0x0f01bc…
06-20 00:21:07	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	830	2¢	$20	0x77cb03…
06-20 00:13:22	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	237	8¢	$19	0xe42ddb…
06-20 00:13:02	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	830	2¢	$20	0x5fa959…
06-19 23:46:07	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	271	2¢	$7	0xc03503…
06-19 23:45:44	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	SELL	552	1¢	$7	0xab5f69…
06-19 22:12:08	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xb40f48…
06-19 22:11:41	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	463	2¢	$11	0xc0be02…
06-19 20:42:46	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0x20b06c…
06-19 20:41:32	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	260	8¢	$20	0x05f4d9…
06-19 20:19:08	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0x554808…
06-19 20:18:25	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	260	8¢	$20	0xae9564…
06-19 19:24:08	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	148	16¢	$24	0x5f572f…
06-19 19:23:49	Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	96	26¢	$25	0x1dec0f…
06-19 13:01:16	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	208	8¢	$17	0x4441ba…
06-19 13:00:52	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	SELL	462	4¢	$18	0x5be04e…
06-19 12:57:04	Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	96	27¢	$26	0x988f60…
06-19 12:56:38	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x18f66b…
06-19 12:56:32	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf8eed3…
06-19 12:55:40	itf grignac maquet 2026 06 19	Carla Grignac	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc40f7c…
06-18 21:34:34	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	249	8¢	$20	0xd0f04a…
06-18 21:34:19	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	205	4¢	$8	0x1319c4…
06-16 23:50:44	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	420	0¢	$2	0x9fb77f…
06-16 23:50:16	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,852	3¢	$50	0x7cf9ca…
06-16 23:21:14	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	205	12¢	$25	0x41cce7…
06-16 23:20:58	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x9762b0…
06-16 00:13:34	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	497	6¢	$30	0xe5cdda…
06-16 00:01:28	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x99831a…
06-15 23:59:43	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x40f789…
06-15 23:59:39	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xa180ef…
06-15 23:14:22	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	333	41¢	$137	0x6daf9e…
06-15 21:04:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$9	0x5aae53…
06-15 21:02:45	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x2a7491…
06-15 21:02:24	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	938	2¢	$23	0xf0c521…
06-15 21:02:16	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	384	2¢	$8	0x705194…
06-15 20:22:09	r6siege flcs secret 2026 06 15	Team Secret	BUY	357	9¢	$32	0x8fafbe…
06-15 20:20:48	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x7d1cf0…
06-15 19:00:36	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	384	2¢	$8	0x2d8b27…
06-15 18:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x53c582…
06-15 18:58:39	wta rakotom lizaraz 2026 06 15	Yuliana Lizarazo	BUY	256	8¢	$20	0x4289ff…
06-15 18:57:48	wta rakotom lizaraz 2026 06 15	Yuliana Lizarazo	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0x4f8655…
06-15 18:56:12	wta rakotom lizaraz 2026 06 15	Yuliana Lizarazo	BUY	142	5¢	$7	0x79c7ce…
06-15 18:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xcecb7a…
06-15 18:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6236c5…
06-15 18:48:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x83d1b3…
06-15 17:06:31	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	431	5¢	$20	0x766403…
06-15 17:04:48	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	280	2¢	$7	0x898970…
06-15 17:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x364e8e…
06-15 17:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa5415c…
06-15 16:58:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0xa6cc35…
06-15 16:53:25	wta ansari palicov 2026 06 15	Carolyn Ansari	BUY	91	4¢	$4	0x95d319…
06-15 16:51:16	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	271	5¢	$13	0x7637cf…
06-15 14:47:57	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	658	2¢	$16	0x35dae9…
06-15 14:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x20559e…
06-15 14:46:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	104	17¢	$18	0x1f3486…
06-15 14:45:46	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	807	2¢	$19	0x4b9603…
06-15 14:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0x36e8dd…
06-15 14:41:18	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	182	5¢	$10	0x1b86ee…
06-15 14:11:06	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	780	2¢	$20	0x251f2f…
06-15 14:10:06	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	182	5¢	$10	0x558c70…
06-12 02:01:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	26¢	$13	0x864869…
06-12 01:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x3eb23c…
06-12 01:56:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe1c94c…
06-12 01:55:21	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,286	2¢	$31	0x11fa66…
06-12 01:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x746d9e…
06-12 01:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:50 UTC	Down	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0x29467a…
06-12 01:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe6d826…
06-12 01:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xcb000e…
06-12 01:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3e18de…
06-12 01:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2abca1…
06-12 01:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x01ad41…
06-12 01:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3b21fd…