Rundown-Consequence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$952

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

146

Trades

829

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-14 22:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 30% -$258

Sports

30% 41% -$413

Other

7% 29% -$280

Politics

1% 25% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	24	$1.2K	5,246	1,616	+3,630	Yes	-$46	03-12 15:56
nhl mon ott 2026 03 11	12	$1.1K	1,698	1,698	+0	Canadiens	+$143	03-12 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 04:10 UTC	7	$546	545	543	+2	Down	+$404	02-18 04:14
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	12	$473	1,027	513	+513	Hurricanes	-$73	05-24 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	16	$413	691	691	+0	Up	+$198	05-23 18:25
nhl mon sj 2026 03 03	5	$402	1,338	492	+846	Sharks	+$25	03-04 05:42
nhl mon phi 2026 04 14	7	$395	616	489	+127	Flyers	-$60	04-15 01:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	7	$388	856	856	+0	Yes	+$58	05-23 21:49
nhl mon dal 2026 01 04	2	$383	259	259	+0	Canadiens	+$135	01-04 23:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 03:45 UTC	5	$342	306	305	+1	Up	+$245	02-18 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 03:55 UTC	6	$305	276	274	+2	Down	+$186	02-18 03:59
nhl mon buf 2026 01 15	6	$242	541	126	+415	Sabres	-$65	01-16 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$218	168	168	+0	Down	+$8	05-24 14:48
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	15	$214	473	522	-50	Team Spirit	-$2	05-14 14:53
nhl buf mon 2026 01 22	7	$212	1,384	0	+1,384	Sabres	-$212	01-23 02:38
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	3	$208	69,327	0	+69,327	No	-$208	01-02 20:17
nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12	4	$194	146	146	+0	Canadiens	+$23	04-12 23:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$186	356	356	+0	No	-$14	06-14 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	13	$171	633	127	+506	Up	+$34	05-23 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	13	$161	337	237	+100	Up	+$75	05-27 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 04:05 UTC	5	$157	410	70	+339	Up	-$42	02-13 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	8	$156	121	81	+39	Down	+$6	05-24 13:50
nhl mon car 2026 01 01	3	$153	368	160	+208	Canadiens	+$65	01-02 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	16	$145	174	174	+0	Down	+$14	05-28 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	8	$145	123	123	+0	Up	+$85	05-24 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	11	$141	292	124	+168	Up	+$81	05-27 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	6	$139	135	135	+0	Up	+$99	05-23 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	10	$137	773	273	+500	Down	+$57	05-22 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 03:50 UTC	8	$134	261	186	+74	Up	+$6	02-18 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	9	$133	165	165	+0	Down	+$51	05-27 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 22:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x07db6d…
06-14 22:49:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe75103…
06-14 22:48:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xae045b…
06-14 22:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x22059f…
06-14 22:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x885450…
06-14 22:47:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x820b0a…
06-14 22:47:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd2005d…
06-14 22:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x27e9a7…
06-14 22:46:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7550bf…
06-14 22:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa76f09…
06-14 22:44:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x185396…
06-14 22:44:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x03df35…
06-14 22:44:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xeb92f6…
06-14 22:43:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x2bb85a…
06-14 22:43:06	bitcoin above 60k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	130	3¢	$4	0xc21846…
06-14 22:42:55	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	257	2¢	$5	0xa2ba31…
06-14 22:41:06	bitcoin above 62k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0x8a4914…
06-14 22:40:58	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	321	2¢	$5	0x98d9b4…
06-14 22:40:33	bitcoin above 62k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	229	4¢	$10	0xdc3ad8…
06-14 22:40:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?	No	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x15dbcd…
06-14 22:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	356	24¢	$86	0xacad29…
06-14 22:34:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	1,250	0¢	$2	0x188611…
06-14 22:32:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	356	28¢	$100	0xd36ad7…
06-14 22:30:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xe7c2d5…
06-02 20:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x27d48d…
06-02 20:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0ebc4d…
06-02 20:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd83c74…
06-02 20:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x95e742…
06-02 20:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf04689…
06-02 20:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xce0f09…
06-02 20:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaae161…
06-02 20:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0556ab…
06-02 20:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0c48dc…
06-02 20:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6a9798…
06-02 20:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd411b0…
06-02 20:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x1e257e…
06-02 20:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xb2e2af…
06-02 20:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x1f6835…
06-02 20:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x2f6843…
06-02 20:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x83d9aa…
06-02 20:12:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	195	5¢	$10	0xf64c4c…
06-02 20:11:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	351	1¢	$5	0xc84890…
06-01 20:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf226ec…
06-01 20:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc8df25…
06-01 20:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc14d42…
06-01 20:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa347dc…
06-01 19:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa997d5…
06-01 19:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x78e72b…
06-01 19:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd54188…
06-01 19:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc9ff7a…
06-01 19:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	104	20¢	$21	0xf03875…
06-01 19:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf6dd45…
06-01 19:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf944d6…
06-01 19:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa432be…
06-01 19:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7588ae…
06-01 19:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdf7ae1…
06-01 19:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0a590c…
06-01 19:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe74112…
06-01 19:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa2b263…
06-01 19:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x23e4dd…
06-01 19:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb777a8…
06-01 19:46:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	233	4¢	$9	0x768fec…
06-01 19:45:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	71	36¢	$26	0xf07fc3…
06-01 19:28:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	233	4¢	$8	0x2e1aaa…
06-01 19:28:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x03f198…
06-01 19:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0a5ad6…
05-28 01:37:43	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x3f14fa…
05-28 01:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6370bf…
05-28 01:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa2676a…
05-28 01:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2a9f2e…
05-28 01:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x73be70…
05-28 01:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0e4e1a…
05-28 01:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb92ce8…
05-28 01:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x50ce76…
05-28 01:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xbe3b74…
05-28 01:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x13c7f2…
05-28 01:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xee50ba…
05-28 01:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x802b79…
05-28 01:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6752e0…
05-28 01:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdc69a3…
05-28 01:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5f7351…
05-28 01:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0741a0…
05-28 01:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x20cc88…
05-28 01:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1a6f11…
05-28 01:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x066278…
05-28 01:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x165312…
05-28 01:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x479654…
05-28 01:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6e3ed0…
05-28 01:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0cafee…
05-28 01:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x994768…
05-28 01:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	971	1¢	$10	0x5dd4dd…
05-28 01:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4f04d3…
05-28 01:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1d2ed8…
05-28 01:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa2424a…
05-28 01:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4203c4…
05-28 01:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd4517e…
05-28 01:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x385f76…
05-28 01:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x08b73e…
05-28 01:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x5a116a…
05-28 01:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x258f81…