Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.35K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

224

Trades

765

lifetime

Volume

$112.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-15 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

69% 47% +$1,026

Politics

20% 60% +$2,131

Sports

7% 61% -$31

Tech

2% 40% +$57

Crypto

1% 60% +$68

Pop-Culture

1% 17% +$99

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will keon ellis be traded this season	13	$2.8K	2,602	2,602	+0	Yes	+$17	01-10 19:20
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	4	$2.8K	1,562	1,562	+0	No	+$31	03-30 14:27
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$2.0K	1,217	1,217	+0	Yes	-$110	03-18 14:50
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	11	$1.9K	2,142	2,142	+0	Yes	+$11	01-10 16:03
will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	9	$1.9K	1,172	1,172	+0	No	+$35	04-09 10:10
will borussia dortmund advance to the round of 16	8	$1.9K	1,335	1,335	+0	No	+$72	02-23 23:54
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$1.7K	1,198	1,198	+0	Yes	-$96	04-09 11:47
will owen cooper adolescence win best supporting actor television at the 83rd golden globes	5	$1.6K	1,059	1,059	+0	Yes	+$21	01-10 07:49
will the new orleans pelicans have the worst record in the nba	11	$1.6K	1,210	1,210	+0	No	+$69	02-03 23:19
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	3	$1.6K	916	916	+0	Yes	+$202	03-25 15:57
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	3	$1.5K	847	847	+0	No	+$0	02-28 00:29
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?	8	$1.5K	1,231	1,231	+0	No	+$46	02-01 00:18
col1 cdt dep 2026 04 18 cdt	3	$1.4K	979	979	+0	Yes	+$29	03-31 01:38
will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	11	$1.4K	1,412	1,412	+0	No	-$23	01-06 17:27
will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	2	$1.4K	874	874	+0	No	-$105	02-06 15:22
will global temperature increase by between 1pt00c and 1pt04c in january 2026	6	$1.3K	1,479	1,479	+0	No	-$7	01-06 19:10
will trump say south america or latin america during the state of the union address	5	$1.3K	1,207	1,149	+58	No	+$604	02-25 06:34
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	5	$1.3K	792	792	+0	Yes	+$79	03-25 16:57
will inter milan advance to the round of 16	6	$1.3K	781	781	+0	No	+$8	02-13 05:56
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	8	$1.3K	2,277	2,277	+0	No	-$248	04-11 06:24
nba 2025 26 spg leader dyson daniels	7	$1.2K	1,143	1,143	+0	No	+$5	01-09 13:54
will israel or the us target tehran 812	5	$1.2K	1,235	1,235	+0	Yes	-$7	02-01 01:51
nba 2025 26 3pm leader stephen curry	7	$1.2K	795	795	+0	No	+$16	01-09 21:37
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	7	$1.2K	1,206	1,206	+0	Yes	+$39	02-05 11:53
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.2K	640	640	+0	Yes	+$0	01-05 07:36
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	7	$1.1K	1,015	1,015	+0	No	+$0	01-10 22:44
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	5	$1.1K	733	733	+0	No	+$6	02-25 07:00
will polymarket mindshare hit 75 627 998	7	$1.1K	1,159	1,159	+0	Yes	-$17	01-03 21:22
mex que jua 2026 02 22 draw	4	$1.1K	773	773	+0	Yes	-$14	02-27 19:53
will avatar fire and ash 4th weekend box office be less than 27m	4	$980	784	784	+0	Yes	+$71	01-06 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 14:49:12	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	153	56¢	$86	0x6f8dd0…
06-15 14:48:57	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	326	56¢	$183	0x3a67d5…
04-24 03:34:38	Will Trump name "Massie" in April?	No	BUY	1,054	48¢	$506	0xa16a4e…
04-12 01:03:03	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	No	SELL	416	87¢	$362	0x2cc330…
04-11 06:24:05	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	Yes	SELL	324	22¢	$71	0x7ecc05…
04-11 06:23:41	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	Yes	SELL	579	22¢	$127	0x87353f…
04-11 06:23:27	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,214	22¢	$267	0x5a24c1…
04-11 02:05:41	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	No	BUY	416	84¢	$349	0x4cc8e3…
04-09 22:52:31	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	476	41¢	$195	0x6f2537…
04-09 22:52:19	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	41¢	$47	0xbcc32a…
04-09 22:33:31	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	Yes	SELL	152	24¢	$36	0x1ad14c…
04-09 18:42:53	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	591	39¢	$230	0x4722a3…
04-09 11:47:31	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	428	69¢	$295	0xde1f3e…
04-09 11:47:09	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	770	69¢	$531	0xd93fbb…
04-09 11:02:41	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xcdf712…
04-09 10:10:43	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	SELL	103	84¢	$87	0x495dff…
04-09 10:08:37	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	SELL	145	84¢	$122	0x86d2e5…
04-09 10:07:23	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	SELL	151	84¢	$127	0x66985f…
04-09 10:05:35	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	SELL	162	84¢	$136	0x6b21a7…
04-09 10:04:37	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	SELL	164	84¢	$138	0xcae3b9…
04-09 10:03:31	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	SELL	174	84¢	$146	0xeccb8e…
04-09 10:02:21	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0x5fcb31…
04-09 09:59:57	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	SELL	248	84¢	$208	0x546869…
04-08 03:20:35	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	533	77¢	$410	0x5637ac…
04-08 03:20:17	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	665	77¢	$512	0x367926…
04-07 22:55:55	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	BUY	1,172	81¢	$949	0x137cfc…
04-07 18:22:09	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	Yes	BUY	587	33¢	$194	0xa015e7…
04-07 18:21:57	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	Yes	BUY	809	33¢	$267	0xe515d2…
04-07 18:21:39	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	Yes	BUY	881	33¢	$291	0xc2dbe9…
03-31 01:38:31	col1 cdt dep 2026 04 18 cdt	Yes	SELL	96	73¢	$70	0x6efa53…
03-31 01:38:13	col1 cdt dep 2026 04 18 cdt	Yes	SELL	883	73¢	$645	0x2bb979…
03-30 16:38:07	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	140	41¢	$57	0x4e16e5…
03-30 16:36:33	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	622	41¢	$255	0xe7762b…
03-30 15:46:09	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 85 89 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	497	62¢	$308	0xb38e81…
03-30 14:27:43	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	759	90¢	$683	0xbec377…
03-30 14:27:33	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	803	90¢	$723	0x76ff41…
03-30 13:36:11	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	97	19¢	$18	0xd3cd5a…
03-30 13:35:55	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	344	19¢	$65	0x2de34e…
03-30 13:35:43	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	362	19¢	$69	0xb8f95c…
03-30 05:49:38	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	762	43¢	$328	0x70f29c…
03-30 04:37:22	col1 cdt dep 2026 04 18 cdt	Yes	BUY	979	70¢	$685	0x70aaa4…
03-30 03:45:18	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 85 89 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	497	62¢	$308	0x93dc86…
03-29 23:46:34	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	662	88¢	$583	0x3beb5a…
03-29 23:46:24	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	88¢	$792	0x10c9d6…
03-29 23:14:10	will starmer say nhs during the next prime ministers questions event	No	BUY	222	57¢	$127	0xdae56c…
03-29 22:37:42	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	803	16¢	$128	0x698351…
03-26 08:25:37	Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x3cad9d…
03-25 19:22:09	will fidesz kdnp win at least 100 seats	No	SELL	651	64¢	$417	0xa1a7bb…
03-25 16:57:13	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	388	87¢	$338	0x453f82…
03-25 16:57:01	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	125	87¢	$109	0x141f63…
03-25 16:56:51	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	279	87¢	$243	0xdd25f5…
03-25 15:57:51	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	Yes	SELL	916	96¢	$879	0xf35d18…
03-24 06:48:21	will trump post congresswoman on truth social this week	Yes	SELL	260	57¢	$148	0xc7d8be…
03-24 06:48:03	will trump post congresswoman on truth social this week	Yes	SELL	386	57¢	$220	0xe78067…
03-24 00:25:57	will oscar or oscars be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	471	31¢	$146	0xdaeb61…
03-23 23:36:39	will trump post congresswoman on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	646	45¢	$291	0xe8b278…
03-23 21:26:07	Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x3e6de3…
03-23 21:06:57	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	613	77¢	$472	0x567762…
03-23 21:06:47	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	179	77¢	$138	0xbead62…
03-23 19:59:21	will fidesz kdnp win at least 100 seats	No	BUY	651	71¢	$462	0xcb3da2…
03-23 19:48:17	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	Yes	BUY	584	74¢	$432	0x7a53fa…
03-23 19:48:05	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	Yes	BUY	332	74¢	$246	0x8a565a…
03-23 05:08:57	will team spirit make it to the blast open rotterdam grand final	Yes	BUY	650	14¢	$91	0x24b157…
03-23 05:08:39	will team spirit make it to the blast open rotterdam grand final	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x9ceb78…
03-22 14:12:41	will trump say death tax this week march 29	Yes	SELL	133	55¢	$73	0x843d51…
03-22 11:35:33	will trump say death tax this week march 29	Yes	SELL	437	58¢	$253	0x99d7e6…
03-20 22:01:21	will trump say death tax this week march 29	Yes	BUY	570	14¢	$80	0xb769a8…
03-18 14:50:09	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	413	76¢	$314	0x8c50fe…
03-18 14:48:47	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	804	76¢	$611	0x7fb1a1…
03-17 19:31:39	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,217	85¢	$1,034	0xdff47a…
03-17 04:37:05	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x63fe84…
03-17 04:36:49	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	Yes	BUY	785	12¢	$94	0x7eaa38…
03-17 01:46:25	will two people dissent the march fed decision	Yes	BUY	781	54¢	$422	0xff96cc…
03-17 01:46:01	will two people dissent the march fed decision	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xf1d7ae…
03-16 20:01:41	elc wat wre 2026 03 07 wat	Yes	BUY	910	31¢	$282	0x65fbe5…
03-16 20:01:21	elc wat wre 2026 03 07 wat	Yes	BUY	926	31¢	$287	0xcc0534…
03-16 01:57:11	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	101	34¢	$34	0x999b94…
03-16 01:56:51	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	426	34¢	$145	0x5362a6…
03-14 05:50:09	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	111	26¢	$29	0xf855cc…
03-14 05:49:51	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	416	26¢	$108	0x66b6db…
03-13 05:21:55	will khamenei tweet every day through march 31	Yes	SELL	78	43¢	$34	0xeafa8d…
03-12 22:45:55	will khamenei tweet every day through march 31	Yes	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0x492dc5…
03-11 11:17:37	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 9	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xf8bb37…
03-11 11:16:11	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 9	Yes	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x7d258a…
03-11 05:12:17	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	422	17¢	$72	0x151fba…
03-10 12:38:05	will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	No	SELL	245	53¢	$130	0x7bbb46…
03-10 10:46:07	will nyc have more than 6 inches of precipitation in march	No	SELL	66	86¢	$57	0x1bab44…
03-10 10:29:05	mar1 rsb hua 2026 01 26 rsb	Yes	SELL	299	99¢	$296	0x4ea440…
03-10 10:28:53	mar1 rsb hua 2026 01 26 rsb	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x6f6d30…
03-07 04:57:59	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 9	Yes	BUY	175	29¢	$51	0x797c30…
03-07 04:57:47	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 9	Yes	BUY	144	29¢	$42	0x29f6b2…
03-07 04:56:41	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	422	20¢	$84	0x0c1395…
03-07 04:21:09	will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	No	BUY	245	50¢	$122	0x63ed8c…
03-07 03:54:49	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x04d8f6…
03-07 03:05:01	will nyc have more than 6 inches of precipitation in march	No	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0xd82605…
03-06 05:14:55	mar1 rsb hua 2026 01 26 rsb	Yes	BUY	392	53¢	$208	0xb98b33…
03-06 05:14:41	mar1 rsb hua 2026 01 26 rsb	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x209847…
02-28 01:43:27	scop abe cel 2026 02 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	509	39¢	$199	0x23b673…
02-28 01:43:09	scop abe cel 2026 02 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	211	39¢	$82	0xcc4293…
02-28 00:29:11	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	No	SELL	59	88¢	$52	0x29341c…