Modern-Main — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$951

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

104

Trades

919

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 05-06 08:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

53% 17% +$1,181

Crypto

41% 23% -$1,368

Other

6% 0% -$764

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	51	$6.8K	157,696	157,696	+0	Yes	+$2,254	04-09 19:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	17	$4.1K	4,138	4,143	-4	Yes	-$155	04-09 19:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	22	$1.4K	34,900	13,678	+21,222	No	-$727	05-06 08:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$791	9,629	9,629	+0	No	-$440	03-31 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 17:35 UTC	4	$775	668	631	+37	Up	+$512	04-10 17:40
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	12	$662	1,557	1,557	+0	No	-$431	03-31 03:13
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	6	$443	499	499	+0	No	-$46	04-06 07:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:20 UTC	5	$407	359	338	+21	Down	+$283	04-10 18:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:20 UTC	5	$370	329	310	+19	Up	+$269	04-10 16:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 08:00 UTC	6	$328	364	347	+17	Down	+$82	04-11 08:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:45 UTC	6	$295	229	220	+9	Up	+$94	04-10 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:35 UTC	6	$269	580	452	+128	Up	+$40	04-10 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:55 UTC	12	$250	1,547	981	+566	Up	-$110	04-10 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:00 UTC	11	$238	1,060	996	+64	Up	-$102	04-10 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 17:40 UTC	2	$231	250	236	+14	Up	+$146	04-10 17:43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$229	214	214	+0	Yes	-$2	04-02 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:30 UTC	4	$218	649	608	+41	Up	+$105	04-10 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:40 UTC	3	$204	152	145	+7	Up	+$90	04-10 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 07:55 UTC	8	$188	361	342	+19	Up	-$12	04-11 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 08:30 UTC	16	$181	567	0	+567	Down	-$181	04-11 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:15 UTC	14	$180	1,153	719	+434	Down	-$121	04-10 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:15 UTC	7	$172	1,009	87	+922	Down	-$68	04-10 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:05 UTC	5	$165	1,369	0	+1,369	Up	-$165	04-10 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 07:45 UTC	5	$164	157	151	+6	Down	+$27	04-11 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:00 UTC	6	$164	3,068	0	+3,068	Down	-$164	04-10 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:30 UTC	19	$162	346	334	+12	Up	+$30	04-10 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 06:10 UTC	5	$158	275	260	+15	Up	+$38	04-11 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 17:25 UTC	5	$153	324	308	+16	Down	-$57	04-11 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:05 UTC	6	$150	982	0	+982	Down	-$150	04-10 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:25 UTC	2	$147	125	119	+7	Up	+$94	04-10 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 08:08:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,222	2¢	$31	0x33518a…
05-06 06:26:58	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	277	2¢	$6	0x8e3175…
05-06 01:49:20	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x8a402d…
05-06 01:47:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x2714f3…
05-06 01:47:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x2bd7aa…
05-06 01:39:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x2e2520…
05-06 01:39:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	132	1¢	$1	0xe9784d…
05-06 01:38:12	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0x4ed378…
05-06 01:37:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0x935f5c…
05-06 01:34:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xc18479…
05-06 01:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x938d6b…
05-06 01:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x43a321…
05-06 01:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0xfaab2b…
05-06 01:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x12ac58…
05-06 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xa724a6…
05-06 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x90a17c…
05-06 01:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x1b33eb…
05-06 01:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xaa6796…
05-06 01:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x7c7d1a…
05-06 01:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0x544b96…
05-06 01:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x6fc4cb…
05-06 01:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0xd37f43…
05-06 01:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x4d55df…
05-06 01:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0x9fbec9…
05-06 01:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xf723c2…
05-06 01:20:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,678	2¢	$64	0x256773…
05-06 01:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xa67d34…
05-06 01:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xf36ad4…
05-06 01:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x6f04e6…
05-06 01:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x7325eb…
05-06 01:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	92	8¢	$7	0x43dc02…
05-06 01:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1272bc…
05-06 01:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xabd080…
05-06 01:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xe2cf22…
05-06 01:15:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$24	0xebbb2a…
05-06 01:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	283	1¢	$3	0x923cff…
05-06 01:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	219	1¢	$3	0x648510…
05-06 01:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x843a08…
05-06 01:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x56cfbc…
05-06 01:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xfdcfac…
05-06 01:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x16345c…
05-06 01:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x9f85fa…
05-06 01:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x9a0401…
05-06 01:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	34	14¢	$5	0x04b41f…
05-06 01:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x8a0422…
05-06 01:05:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$24	0x67cb5e…
05-06 01:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	275	1¢	$3	0x5d76e2…
05-06 01:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7cd4b5…
05-06 01:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x39fbb9…
05-06 01:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xfb67ff…
05-06 01:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xbb2308…
05-06 01:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x5eac2b…
05-06 01:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x1edd6b…
05-06 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x9d76f4…
05-06 00:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x7571a9…
05-06 00:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xbf7c46…
05-06 00:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0x38f6df…
05-06 00:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x15cacc…
05-06 00:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xab5bb2…
05-06 00:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x57782f…
05-06 00:56:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$25	0x1a922b…
05-06 00:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xd6c26a…
05-06 00:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xfc44d0…
05-06 00:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xbd3081…
05-06 00:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x55ddc6…
05-06 00:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xf8633f…
05-06 00:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa8f342…
05-06 00:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5e8145…
05-06 00:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x2892f2…
05-06 00:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x98ffa0…
05-06 00:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2763e0…
05-06 00:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	112	4¢	$4	0x582140…
05-06 00:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xfe993f…
05-06 00:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xbdeeee…
05-06 00:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x3fd58d…
05-06 00:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xafdb29…
05-06 00:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xd75af6…
05-06 00:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xef780c…
05-06 00:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x6f364f…
05-06 00:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x346fa6…
05-06 00:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x8968bd…
05-06 00:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xa631f4…
05-06 00:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x59d9a6…
05-06 00:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0xcd3bf7…
05-06 00:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdbf915…
05-06 00:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4c873a…
05-06 00:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	110	7¢	$8	0x8495df…
05-06 00:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xa7ffe8…
05-06 00:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9a9d6d…
05-06 00:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	26	21¢	$6	0x6e1b75…
05-06 00:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x813ed8…
05-06 00:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xc7766c…
05-06 00:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xa7ba97…
05-06 00:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	63	7¢	$4	0xbfdf99…
05-06 00:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	63	11¢	$7	0xdf0afc…
05-06 00:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0720d2…
05-06 00:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc4fbf7…
05-06 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb41aef…
05-06 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	66	2¢	$1	0xdf9edd…
05-06 00:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	92	3¢	$3	0xe80e7c…