Gummy-Arena — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

Trades

414

lifetime

Volume

$35.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-05 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

71% 95% +$991

Politics

21% 88% -$13

Tech

7% 67% +$15

Sports

1% 100% +$57

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	18	$3.0K	1,532	1,532	+0	No	+$16	04-18 03:43
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	17	$2.5K	1,295	1,295	+0	No	+$50	03-21 22:12
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	10	$2.5K	1,247	1,247	+0	No	+$8	03-10 00:41
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	17	$2.1K	1,070	1,070	+0	No	+$13	01-29 21:11
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	33	$2.0K	1,577	468	+1,110	Yes	+$86	06-30 20:55
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.30% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	26	$1.2K	1,472	0	+1,472	Yes	+$273	03-26 20:33
30 year mortgage rate below 6 by january 31	12	$1.1K	1,164	33	+1,131	No	+$30	01-30 06:16
Will Google say "Alphabet" during earnings call?	9	$1.1K	1,065	44	+1,021	Yes	+$20	04-28 20:58
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,098	0	+1,098	No	+$14	08-27 10:56
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	19	$1.0K	626	404	+222	No	+$4	06-16 23:31
will trump meet with kim jong un in march 2026 215	3	$940	471	471	+0	No	+$1	03-29 10:25
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	2	$935	473	473	+0	Yes	$0	06-01 11:20
will pope leo xiv attend the 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260701191948357	2	$929	942	0	+942	No	+$13	07-02 08:03
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	4	$888	904	0	+904	No	+$16	07-03 22:51
will liftoff mobile not ipo before april 2026	16	$683	399	292	+107	Yes	+$3	04-01 03:39
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.20% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	10	$636	654	0	+654	Yes	+$18	03-21 22:13
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	1	$629	635	0	+635	No	+$6	01-05 22:40
Will Google say "YouTube" during earnings call?	6	$598	612	0	+612	Yes	+$14	04-28 20:59
will the earnings call not air 20260709145309037	2	$572	578	0	+578	No	+$6	07-11 12:23
will amazon say america during earnings call 20260728011934940	5	$558	574	0	+574	Yes	+$16	07-29 21:57
New "The Boys" episode released by May 31?	5	$557	567	0	+567	No	+$11	05-28 11:20
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	5	$450	227	227	+0	No	+$2	04-18 03:43
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?	5	$445	228	228	+0	No	+$4	04-27 12:30
Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?	5	$412	422	0	+422	No	+$10	09-05 23:45
will trump meet with satya nadella in march 2026 475	1	$398	400	0	+400	No	+$1	04-01 02:12
will the earnings call not air 20260703193548743	5	$367	373	0	+373	No	+$5	07-09 05:53
will conagra brands say fiscal during earnings call 20260703161814720	3	$348	362	0	+362	Yes	+$14	07-10 03:19
will airbnb say world cup during earnings call 20260803163357338	6	$327	385	0	+385	Yes	+$57	08-06 20:18
will house of the dragon season 3 premiere by june 21 20260610192715448	6	$295	305	0	+305	Yes	+$10	06-20 14:31
will general mills say fiscal during earnings call 20260624154532544	2	$261	264	0	+264	Yes	+$3	07-01 01:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 23:45:31	Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x1fecc1…
09-02 12:11:48	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	335	0¢	$1	0x209277…
08-31 12:54:18	will dell say agentic during earnings call 20260901	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x6d8ab1…
08-30 00:51:45	will dell say agentic during earnings call 20260901	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xf5aba7…
08-29 09:31:48	will dell say agentic during earnings call 20260901	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe6512a…
08-28 11:19:28	Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0xc6db43…
08-27 16:32:10	will dell say agentic during earnings call 20260901	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x88b998…
08-27 10:56:58	Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1,098	99¢	$1,084	0x5001a7…
08-27 10:51:45	Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x3b4fd9…
08-27 10:51:39	Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x7e7386…
08-27 10:51:24	Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	192	97¢	$185	0xad040f…
08-27 09:53:36	will dell say agentic during earnings call 20260901	Yes	BUY	78	91¢	$71	0xee1a82…
08-27 08:17:22	will the dell earnings call not air 20260901	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4beb9b…
08-24 20:38:13	will the zoom earnings call not air 20260825	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0xde3a9d…
08-24 20:36:36	will the best buy earnings call not air 20260827	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xac56a3…
08-20 01:41:12	will the earnings call not air 20260820	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5c03c7…
08-18 19:19:37	will the earnings call not air 20260820	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd67a9f…
08-18 12:38:18	will klarna say sweden during earnings call	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xe94381…
08-18 11:59:37	will klarna say sweden during earnings call	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xf0640c…
08-18 10:31:09	will the earnings call not air 20260820	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd4fa9d…
08-06 20:18:30	will airbnb say world cup during earnings call 20260803163357338	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xee6443…
08-06 20:14:20	will airbnb say world cup during earnings call 20260803163357338	Yes	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x00f3ef…
08-05 20:04:47	will the earnings call not air 20260803163357344	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x567e21…
08-05 06:54:38	will disney say espn during earnings call 20260803163137847 828	Yes	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0xecda38…
08-04 16:36:36	will the earnings call not air 20260803163357344	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf7d834…
08-04 16:34:02	will the earnings call not air 20260803162908281	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8e4545…
08-04 14:28:09	will disney say doomsday during earnings call 20260803163137846 392	Yes	BUY	143	65¢	$93	0x54abda…
08-04 11:44:51	will airbnb say boutique during earnings call 20260803163357340	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x3143cb…
08-04 11:42:24	will airbnb say boutique during earnings call 20260803163357340	Yes	BUY	126	72¢	$91	0xfac3a3…
08-04 11:17:32	will airbnb say world cup during earnings call 20260803163357338	Yes	BUY	130	84¢	$110	0x8e2144…
08-04 09:29:50	will airbnb say world cup during earnings call 20260803163357338	Yes	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0x1d4823…
08-04 08:49:12	will the earnings call not air 20260803162908281	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb78439…
08-04 08:46:50	will airbnb say world cup during earnings call 20260803163357338	Yes	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x3d47a9…
08-04 08:46:23	will airbnb say world cup during earnings call 20260803163357338	Yes	BUY	113	79¢	$89	0x764b43…
08-04 08:42:48	will the earnings call not air 20260803163357344	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6ffc05…
07-29 21:57:26	will amazon say america during earnings call 20260728011934940	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x4af61a…
07-29 20:40:44	will amazon say international during earnings call 20260728011934941	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x0deaaa…
07-28 10:46:59	will amazon say america during earnings call 20260728011934940	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x9a1d21…
07-28 09:43:46	will amazon say america during earnings call 20260728011934940	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x21c68b…
07-28 09:38:25	will amazon say america during earnings call 20260728011934940	Yes	BUY	298	98¢	$292	0xa1293d…
07-28 09:35:07	will amazon say america during earnings call 20260728011934940	Yes	BUY	182	96¢	$175	0x897016…
07-28 09:32:25	will amazon say international during earnings call 20260728011934941	Yes	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x986f95…
07-28 07:41:42	will amazon say international during earnings call 20260728011934941	Yes	BUY	125	94¢	$118	0x816b33…
07-26 15:32:33	will the earnings call not air 20260724221853563	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7b07a9…
07-25 21:42:24	will the earnings call not air 20260724221853563	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d0f16…
07-25 01:15:13	will the earnings call not air 20260724221853563	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x0ae437…
07-23 10:42:03	will sp global spgi q2 rating revenues be above 12pt5b 20260718021704401	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd217f1…
07-23 10:41:42	will sp global spgi q2 rating revenues be above 13b 20260718021704402	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa0fd9…
07-23 10:41:13	will sp global spgi q2 rating revenues be above 14b 20260718021704404	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd44ef4…
07-23 10:40:52	will sp global spgi q2 rating revenues be above 14pt5b 20260718021704405	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeca50d…
07-22 18:49:45	will the earnings call not air 20260717163814099	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x35ff79…
07-21 00:37:31	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q2 Rating revenues be above $12.5B?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x4796e2…
07-21 00:37:21	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q2 Rating revenues be above $12.5B?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xc11aa6…
07-21 00:36:55	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q2 Rating revenues be above $13B?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x68078a…
07-21 00:36:45	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q2 Rating revenues be above $13B?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x78f853…
07-21 00:36:16	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q2 Rating revenues be above $14B?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9d8c81…
07-21 00:35:55	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q2 Rating revenues be above $14.5B?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7ed0d3…
07-21 00:35:45	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q2 Rating revenues be above $14.5B?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xa0ab2a…
07-20 03:43:07	will the earnings call not air 20260717164416079	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xad2251…
07-19 21:04:03	will the earnings call not air 20260717164416079	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x292263…
07-18 17:21:19	will the earnings call not air 20260713183530324	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x92b55d…
07-18 12:18:04	will the earnings call not air 20260717164416079	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfc6f65…
07-18 12:16:34	will the earnings call not air 20260717164206385	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x440993…
07-18 12:12:55	will the earnings call not air 20260717163814099	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x5ca8f8…
07-15 11:52:34	will the earnings call not air 20260713183304183	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x63fcca…
07-11 12:23:01	will the earnings call not air 20260709145309037	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x4979ee…
07-10 08:14:26	will the earnings call not air 20260709145309037	No	BUY	538	99¢	$533	0x2a7bdb…
07-10 03:19:25	will conagra brands say fiscal during earnings call 20260703161814720	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xf5e93e…
07-09 12:02:44	will conagra brands say fiscal during earnings call 20260703161814720	Yes	BUY	109	97¢	$106	0xe1583f…
07-09 12:02:02	will conagra brands say fiscal during earnings call 20260703161814720	Yes	BUY	153	96¢	$147	0x470c12…
07-09 11:59:40	will the earnings call not air 20260703161814730	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xcbad28…
07-09 05:53:19	will the earnings call not air 20260703193548743	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xbcd8a4…
07-08 20:43:37	will nextera energy nee q2 operating revenue be above 7pt0b 20260703222021532	Yes	SELL	42	90¢	$38	0x2a8cc2…
07-08 04:23:01	will nextera energy nee q2 operating revenue be above 7pt0b 20260703222021532	Yes	BUY	42	77¢	$33	0x28f6b4…
07-08 01:13:02	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x6f7ef6…
07-08 01:12:59	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x2ab713…
07-08 00:28:29	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xa8c3b7…
07-07 22:11:25	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?	Yes	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0x86e934…
07-07 22:11:25	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?	No	BUY	64	45¢	$29	0x614ee8…
07-07 21:40:04	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x032636…
07-07 21:33:29	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?	No	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0x529f16…
07-06 09:37:19	will the earnings call not air 20260703193548743	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5d2fa2…
07-06 09:37:19	will the earnings call not air 20260703193548743	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x08aacf…
07-06 07:56:26	will the earnings call not air 20260703193548743	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc9a924…
07-06 04:41:11	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xccdfd2…
07-06 00:52:40	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?	No	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0x70da70…
07-05 23:49:41	will the earnings call not air 20260703193548743	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x54ef3e…
07-03 22:51:04	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xad0578…
07-03 22:49:37	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	161	98¢	$158	0x021ece…
07-03 13:40:49	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x6a59bb…
07-03 13:38:28	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x90b0e5…
07-02 08:03:11	will pope leo xiv attend the 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260701191948357	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xc8b7b7…
07-02 00:56:40	will pope leo xiv attend the 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260701191948357	No	BUY	822	99¢	$810	0x3fdfae…
07-01 11:11:05	will general mills say headwind during earnings call 20260624154532542	Yes	BUY	158	86¢	$136	0x36c07d…
07-01 11:03:04	will the earnings call not air 20260626145802228	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x39c060…
07-01 01:09:26	will general mills say fiscal during earnings call 20260624154532544	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xb6e676…
06-30 20:57:20	will nike say china during earnings call 20260624143210392	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdaf90e…
06-30 20:55:41	Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc09b0c…
06-30 12:33:08	will general mills say price during earnings call 20260624154532546	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdd59aa…
06-30 12:31:46	Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6ef772…