Fumbling-Dispatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$735

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$361

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-15 06:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

52% 67% +$728

Sports

43% 0% -$3

Crypto

5% 100% +$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$5.3K	2,660	2,660	+0	No	-$3	03-17 09:41
will canada win the 2026 world baseball classic	2	$5.3K	2,638	2,638	+0	No	+$0	03-09 09:07
tsla up or down on march 20 2026	1	$1.1K	1,820	0	+1,820	Down	+$728	03-20 10:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 06:45 UTC	1	$32	33	0	+33	Up	+$1	04-11 06:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:45 UTC	1	$32	33	0	+33	Down	+$1	03-30 08:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:50 UTC	1	$31	32	0	+32	Up	+$1	03-30 08:54
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 30?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	04-30 06:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 7?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-07 06:48
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 12?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-12 04:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 28?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	04-28 06:14
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:50 UTC	1	$31	31	0	+31	Up	+$0	04-08 05:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:50 UTC	1	$31	34	0	+34	Up	+$4	04-08 05:52
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 21	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	04-21 05:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-15 06:45
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:05 UTC	1	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$2	04-16 07:08
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:25 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$0	04-16 07:28
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 06:24
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 23	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 05:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 07:00 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	04-11 07:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 08:45 UTC	1	$26	26	0	+26	Down	+$0	03-30 08:59
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 1am et	1	$22	22	0	+22	Up	+$0	04-08 05:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 07:15 UTC	1	$13	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	04-11 07:29
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:30 UTC	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	04-16 07:34
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 30?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-30 07:01
will ethereum reach 2650 on april 23	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-23 05:40
will xrp reach 1pt65 on april 21	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-21 05:56
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 15?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-15 06:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-09 06:25
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 7?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-07 06:49
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-28 06:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 06:47:30	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe29560…
05-15 06:45:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x3638d4…
05-12 04:58:55	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c2f86…
05-12 04:57:47	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 12?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9ee8e6…
05-09 06:25:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5eb8f8…
05-09 06:24:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfedfe8…
05-07 06:49:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 7?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xba0577…
05-07 06:48:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd32c00…
04-30 07:01:02	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xecc8cc…
04-30 06:56:56	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 30?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xf02479…
04-28 06:25:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3714d…
04-28 06:14:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x58613b…
04-23 05:40:34	will ethereum reach 2650 on april 23	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x45b55b…
04-23 05:37:08	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 23	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x47d769…
04-21 05:56:30	will xrp reach 1pt65 on april 21	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa8b045…
04-21 05:42:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 21	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xab524f…
04-16 07:34:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xc7fd31…
04-16 07:28:20	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x1dee0d…
04-16 07:08:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xaf2b6e…
04-11 07:29:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc8b5f7…
04-11 07:13:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5fb948…
04-11 06:56:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x9b7ac2…
04-08 05:58:23	bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf3bf47…
04-08 05:54:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xff743a…
04-08 05:52:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$31	0xd5ea3f…
03-30 08:59:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf2e440…
03-30 08:54:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x354568…
03-30 08:48:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xe0b4a1…
03-20 10:29:51	tsla up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	1,820	60¢	$1,092	0x0c5d0f…
03-17 09:41:37	Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	2,660	99¢	$2,639	0x2fdf92…
03-17 09:19:45	Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	2,660	99¢	$2,642	0x6004dc…
03-09 09:18:07	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x61dee7…
03-09 09:07:03	will canada win the 2026 world baseball classic	No	SELL	2,638	100¢	$2,631	0x17e90c…
03-09 08:42:19	will canada win the 2026 world baseball classic	No	BUY	2,638	100¢	$2,631	0xf64568…