Lonely-Optimist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

-$115

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved (30d)

347

Trades (30d)

1,095

5,088 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$71.7K

$540.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

$108

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-29 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Other

98% 61% -$15,221

Sports

2% 58% -$305

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION		+303	$222	36¢	$108	-$115	10-29 15:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol dnf fly 2026 06 26	37	$4.2K	2,917	2,917	+0	FlyQuest	+$341	06-26 14:28
dota2 pr1 yes 2026 06 27	22	$4.0K	2,855	2,855	+0	Yellow Submarine	+$747	06-27 18:08
lol dk t1 2026 04 17	17	$3.7K	3,649	3,612	+37	Dplus KIA	-$755	04-17 12:33
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	16	$3.6K	4,220	3,372	+848	KT Rolster	-$1,590	10-12 09:55
lol drx kt 2026 07 28 game2	5	$3.1K	1,929	1,929	+0	Kiwoom DRX	+$707	07-28 09:56
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	16	$2.9K	2,018	2,018	+0	JD Gaming	+$818	05-17 11:53
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	11	$2.9K	3,685	1,000	+2,685	Bilibili Gaming	-$1,662	07-09 08:40
lol dnf c9 2026 06 26	10	$2.7K	1,723	1,723	+0	DN SOOPers	+$704	06-26 12:52
lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	6	$2.6K	1,663	1,663	+0	G2 Esports	+$734	03-01 21:07
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	10	$2.5K	2,910	2,910	+0	KT Rolster	+$19	05-17 10:15
lol lng edg 2026 04 10 game2	5	$2.5K	2,174	2,144	+31	EDward Gaming	+$203	04-10 10:58
lol lgd lng 2026 02 01	2	$2.5K	1,501	1,501	+0	LNG Esports	+$509	02-01 11:54
lol nip edg 2026 01 28	2	$2.4K	1,718	1,718	+0	EDward Gaming	+$994	01-28 14:41
lol t1a dkc 2026 01 26	8	$2.4K	1,301	1,301	+0	T1 Academy	+$115	01-26 08:49
lol g2 t1 2026 07 08	9	$2.3K	2,099	2,099	+0	G2 Esports	-$483	07-08 09:24
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	10	$2.3K	1,824	1,038	+786	G2 Esports	+$518	09-20 18:08
lol blg t1 2026 07 04	24	$2.2K	2,457	1,565	+892	Bilibili Gaming	+$274	07-04 10:57
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	9	$2.0K	1,670	1,670	+0	Gen.G	-$185	10-23 18:02
lol jdg al 2026 04 10	2	$2.0K	1,450	1,424	+26	JD Gaming	+$854	04-10 13:59
lol gen g2 2026 03 21 game handicap away 1pt5	5	$2.0K	3,517	0	+3,517	G2 Esports	-$2,005	03-21 13:50
lol we blg 2026 06 13	3	$2.0K	1,278	1,278	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$548	06-13 13:10
lol dnf drx 2026 02 19 game4	3	$2.0K	1,257	1,257	+0	DN SOOPers	+$542	02-19 11:24
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner	7	$1.9K	1,389	1,389	+0	Nongshim Red Force	+$134	05-20 12:19
lol nip jdg 2026 04 17 game2	6	$1.9K	2,457	2,408	+50	Ninjas in Pyjamas	-$229	04-17 13:39
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	8	$1.9K	1,214	1,214	+0	Movistar KOI	+$538	09-12 19:39
lol gal kcb 2026 08 18 game2	10	$1.9K	1,544	1,544	+0	Galions	-$64	08-18 19:10
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?	25	$1.9K	2,180	2,180	+0	Yes	+$170	07-08 06:48
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	18	$1.9K	2,389	1,386	+1,003	LOS	+$352	10-10 21:10
lol kc tl2 2026 06 30	4	$1.8K	1,840	1,840	+0	Team Liquid	-$215	06-30 09:10
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C	23	$1.8K	1,691	1,691	+0	Cupid Esports	-$278	09-23 09:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:46:16	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xd6d5d2…
10-29 15:45:52	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	192	32¢	$62	0xafa8b4…
10-29 15:44:31	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x0a9df5…
10-29 15:44:05	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	SELL	149	52¢	$78	0x10fdf1…
10-29 15:39:17	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x619ea2…
10-29 15:39:04	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	98	36¢	$35	0x87bbfc…
10-29 15:31:32	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x378687…
10-29 14:33:35	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xb2c070…
10-29 13:57:10	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x812d09…
10-29 13:42:11	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x2144e7…
10-29 12:46:10	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x61d156…
10-29 12:40:08	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x9fd98c…
10-29 12:39:55	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x0a925d…
10-29 12:39:37	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5ff5e0…
10-29 12:39:10	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x30e131…
10-29 12:14:40	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x5db707…
10-29 11:38:19	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x3df2e0…
10-29 11:37:56	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x906ea0…
10-29 09:21:53	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	317	72¢	$228	0x72b4f5…
10-29 09:21:19	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	SELL	208	39¢	$81	0x4d4326…
10-29 08:56:40	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xe0f27f…
10-29 08:31:26	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x66f2ba…
10-29 08:31:20	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x02681a…
10-29 08:06:41	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x52ca4b…
10-29 01:38:38	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Mavericks	BUY	63	54¢	$34	0x0c819a…
10-29 01:38:14	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xde638c…
10-29 01:36:04	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Mavericks	BUY	83	53¢	$44	0x1d4526…
10-29 01:32:49	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x9f1c56…
10-29 01:16:02	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x9dec72…
10-29 01:15:50	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x2cdca5…
10-29 00:43:11	Spread: 76ers (-9.5)	Pacers	BUY	46	63¢	$29	0x9dce05…
10-29 00:40:08	Spread: 76ers (-11.5)	Pacers	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x7a64eb…
10-29 00:38:53	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xd697be…
10-29 00:00:26	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8b8549…
10-29 00:00:08	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	701	70¢	$491	0x14ee87…
10-26 08:09:56	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x084f70…
10-25 18:30:02	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	230	73¢	$167	0x9aafff…
10-25 18:29:44	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	627	28¢	$176	0xc4a2e9…
10-25 17:46:32	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6e16c7…
10-25 17:46:18	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	625	48¢	$300	0x4209ce…
10-25 17:46:02	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	401	6¢	$24	0x0f0178…
10-25 17:11:14	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	237	76¢	$180	0x373aa1…
10-25 13:27:30	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xd10dde…
10-25 12:48:14	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	164	73¢	$120	0x8d16f9…
10-25 12:42:21	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Beijing Royal Fighters	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9d3386…
10-25 12:42:02	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Beijing Royal Fighters	SELL	152	90¢	$137	0xcdea0e…
10-25 12:22:09	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x3713da…
10-25 11:54:57	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Liquid	SELL	75	51¢	$38	0x803d0b…
10-25 11:53:09	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Beijing Royal Fighters	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x86fb54…
10-25 11:52:33	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Shenzhen Leopards	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x41a164…
10-25 11:50:39	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Beijing Royal Fighters	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0xa54266…
10-25 11:34:51	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xf36e7f…
10-25 11:34:51	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4ce7e1…
10-25 11:34:50	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb77f8b…
10-25 11:34:50	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa33972…
10-25 11:34:50	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x8b9883…
10-25 11:34:50	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x3b3de2…
10-25 11:34:48	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	47	62¢	$29	0x6468ec…
10-25 11:34:48	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x61d6f0…
10-25 11:34:48	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x14649f…
10-25 11:33:26	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7d426d…
10-25 10:49:35	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x8be17f…
10-25 10:38:33	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	160	64¢	$102	0x213075…
10-25 10:13:48	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xebaf0c…
10-25 09:23:29	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x4747e5…
10-25 09:22:30	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner	OG	SELL	55	50¢	$27	0x4b9fc4…
10-25 09:17:45	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner	OG	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x72b0c5…
10-25 08:59:18	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x4c2787…
10-25 08:15:56	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x4163d7…
10-25 08:04:44	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x7362f9…
10-25 08:01:09	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xec156d…
10-25 07:34:53	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	SELL	123	80¢	$99	0x24b79c…
10-25 07:23:57	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xf9855c…
10-25 07:18:54	Anyang vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x25385f…
10-25 07:15:20	Anyang vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	29	74¢	$21	0x143cbe…
10-25 06:54:59	Anyang vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x2de3ec…
10-25 06:52:06	Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings	Sydney Kings	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x06f201…
10-25 06:32:20	Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings	Sydney Kings	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x4cc57f…
10-25 04:50:15	Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3aee98…
10-25 04:29:24	Spread: Suns (-10.5)	Warriors	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x5948aa…
10-24 21:52:12	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x1a1aa4…
10-24 21:52:06	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xfa50ec…
10-24 21:51:45	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	174	59¢	$102	0x0566b8…
10-24 21:47:12	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x81392d…
10-24 21:34:53	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	310	71¢	$220	0xd7f599…
10-24 21:34:29	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	SELL	445	31¢	$138	0x319775…
10-24 20:39:02	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x97c515…
10-24 20:37:03	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0xc96f5a…
10-24 20:32:02	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	133	32¢	$42	0xfd2f34…
10-24 20:31:35	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	306	15¢	$46	0x39e74a…
10-24 20:13:02	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	84	43¢	$36	0xbaaf87…
10-24 20:01:18	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x433d03…
10-24 20:01:12	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xce3d99…
10-24 19:50:08	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xcb862a…
10-24 19:10:17	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x7e8dee…
10-24 18:56:11	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x55e415…
10-24 18:55:38	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	SELL	393	100¢	$393	0xc0bdea…
10-24 18:09:30	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	393	71¢	$279	0x944fc9…
10-24 17:11:36	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xc2bdf5…
10-24 17:05:14	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xb3aa90…