Self-Assured-Poker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$659

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

596

lifetime

Volume

$169.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$284

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-30 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% $-659

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on april 10	2	$13.2K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	04-10 14:59
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	40	$12.2K	13,009	0	+13,009	open	—	04-19 15:58
bitcoin above 76k on april 18	21	$11.0K	12,237	0	+12,237	open	—	04-18 15:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	39	$10.7K	13,782	3,089	+10,693	open	—	04-26 16:00
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	2	$9.4K	12,107	0	+12,107	open	—	04-06 12:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	3	$7.4K	3,693	3,693	+0	open	—	04-30 16:03
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	2	$6.7K	8,132	0	+8,132	open	—	04-17 14:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	32	$6.1K	10,849	7,000	+3,850	open	—	05-02 15:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	3	$5.6K	5,883	2,748	+3,135	open	—	04-29 15:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	9	$5.1K	5,259	0	+5,259	open	—	04-25 15:40
bitcoin above 74k on april 14	3	$4.8K	4,922	0	+4,922	open	—	04-14 13:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	9	$4.1K	6,326	2,800	+3,526	open	—	05-04 15:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	4	$4.0K	2,250	2,234	+16	open	—	04-26 20:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	43	$3.9K	375,201	348,815	+26,386	open	—	04-26 12:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	2	$3.6K	3,597	0	+3,597	open	—	05-03 14:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	2	$3.3K	5,227	0	+5,227	open	—	05-01 13:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	2	$3.1K	4,312	4,312	+0	open	—	04-28 16:00
bitcoin above 74k on april 17	3	$2.6K	2,816	0	+2,816	open	—	04-17 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7AM ET	3	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-17 12:02
bitcoin above 72k on april 12	7	$1.9K	6,229	0	+6,229	open	—	04-12 09:02
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	57	$1.6K	6,019	0	+6,019	open	—	04-12 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	2	$1.4K	781	781	+0	open	—	05-15 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET	6	$1.4K	971	971	+0	open	—	05-15 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2PM ET	2	$1.3K	680	680	+0	open	—	05-17 19:33
bitcoin above 78k on april 23	1	$1.3K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	04-23 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	2	$1.3K	655	655	+0	open	—	05-17 18:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	5	$1.2K	1,669	1,669	+0	No	$-375	05-06 16:12
bitcoin above 80k on february 1	2	$1.2K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	02-01 16:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	8	$1.0K	5,451	0	+5,451	open	—	05-01 08:11
bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	6	$1.0K	530	530	+0	open	—	06-30 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:00:41	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	530	100¢	$530	0x424a6c…
06-30 17:55:44	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x561941…
06-30 17:53:20	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x69e60a…
06-30 17:48:07	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xa0bf12…
06-30 17:46:10	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x1ea2a7…
06-30 17:45:56	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x340f44…
06-27 13:37:26	bitcoin above 60k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	1,115	2¢	$23	0x2f4c66…
06-27 11:47:35	bitcoin above 60k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	329	15¢	$50	0x7c058e…
06-27 11:47:07	bitcoin above 60k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	350	14¢	$50	0xcb8c5a…
06-27 11:43:13	bitcoin above 60k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	436	23¢	$100	0x836473…
06-27 10:59:47	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xbb9da5…
06-27 10:55:07	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xaf48e5…
06-27 10:49:58	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	395	51¢	$203	0x4f1664…
06-27 10:46:07	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	414	41¢	$168	0xb47d38…
06-27 05:59:56	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	161	81¢	$130	0xc10e87…
06-27 05:59:46	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	242	62¢	$150	0x880521…
06-27 05:59:16	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0xfa7b3b…
06-26 15:50:29	bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xd58e8e…
06-26 15:46:59	bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x27b073…
06-22 19:53:38	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x339991…
06-21 17:55:37	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	639	9¢	$59	0x162cf0…
06-21 17:46:38	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	639	16¢	$100	0x782729…
06-21 13:00:56	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0xde740f…
06-21 12:59:52	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6efcb9…
06-21 12:58:56	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0x2f1a3e…
06-21 08:06:20	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0xab04f2…
06-21 07:52:05	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0x5e2a40…
06-20 16:12:29	bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	Yes	SELL	281	100¢	$281	0x77a90b…
06-20 15:31:22	bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	281	71¢	$200	0x87f28b…
06-14 21:21:36	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	471	51¢	$240	0x22c7ab…
06-14 17:43:04	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	720	50¢	$360	0x1e914f…
06-14 16:01:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	Yes	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0xb58a37…
06-14 15:58:16	bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x0b958c…
06-14 15:13:42	bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	No	SELL	549	31¢	$170	0x962839…
06-14 14:31:24	bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	549	31¢	$172	0x7b06ce…
06-13 12:48:19	bitcoin above 64k on june 13 2026	Yes	SELL	360	59¢	$212	0xe56af8…
06-13 12:47:34	bitcoin above 64k on june 13 2026	Yes	SELL	360	69¢	$248	0xf28a24…
06-13 09:14:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	720	28¢	$200	0xc72d88…
06-05 15:57:24	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0xc510f3…
06-05 15:08:57	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0x0fd9bd…
06-04 16:01:16	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0xf54e7f…
06-04 15:59:10	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0x934bb9…
06-03 15:46:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0xc0fa30…
06-03 13:34:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0xd6f138…
06-01 16:09:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	639	100¢	$639	0x089b79…
06-01 13:01:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	400	34¢	$137	0x0b95af…
06-01 10:29:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	128	5¢	$6	0xd46d27…
06-01 10:20:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	649	15¢	$100	0x57261b…
06-01 10:14:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	286	13¢	$36	0xbb2aaa…
06-01 10:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xe6b706…
06-01 09:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x485d8d…
06-01 09:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xc83371…
06-01 09:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	28	31¢	$9	0x217912…
06-01 09:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xfdd15c…
05-31 20:12:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x7ca94f…
05-31 13:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x96d810…
05-31 12:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x822854…
05-30 17:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x6eb60a…
05-30 17:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x1b7802…
05-30 17:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xdfba27…
05-30 16:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xfa054e…
05-30 16:06:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x5c325b…
05-30 15:53:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x7f2b1d…
05-30 14:01:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	51	17¢	$8	0x610de7…
05-30 14:00:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x49218e…
05-30 13:58:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	150	18¢	$27	0x767a9c…
05-30 13:57:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	241	16¢	$39	0xd30ee3…
05-30 13:55:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	482	14¢	$67	0x2952a2…
05-30 13:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xc5544d…
05-30 13:00:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	984	10¢	$100	0xfd29ea…
05-30 12:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xbb24a8…
05-30 12:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x2c8334…
05-30 09:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x5fe6dc…
05-30 06:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	119	73¢	$87	0x6bb471…
05-30 06:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x298ce5…
05-29 17:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x49189b…
05-29 17:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xd9471f…
05-29 16:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x706dc1…
05-29 16:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xbef8c1…
05-29 16:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xbeafa8…
05-29 16:01:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	333	100¢	$333	0xbeb635…
05-29 15:58:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x135c6f…
05-29 15:57:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe6da0b…
05-29 15:47:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x2dc1d5…
05-29 15:41:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0xe9f6d8…
05-29 15:06:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x279c10…
05-28 17:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xf55700…
05-27 13:33:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	86	88¢	$76	0x743ec7…
05-27 13:33:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	84	88¢	$74	0x4f48d3…
05-25 15:56:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xe9a765…
05-25 15:22:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xfa4360…
05-25 13:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8a18d1…
05-25 13:12:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	377	8¢	$30	0x55526d…
05-25 07:04:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	377	27¢	$100	0x9b54d8…
05-24 16:03:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x7549b6…
05-24 15:11:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0xff5423…
05-24 15:11:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0x7cf364…
05-24 09:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb37dc8…
05-24 09:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x08cb1b…
05-24 08:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xd9f9a9…