Self-Assured-Poker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$659

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

558

lifetime

Volume

$163.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$293

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-05 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% $-659

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on april 10	2	$13.2K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	04-10 14:59
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	40	$12.2K	13,009	0	+13,009	open	—	04-19 15:58
bitcoin above 76k on april 18	21	$11.0K	12,237	0	+12,237	open	—	04-18 15:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	39	$10.7K	13,782	3,089	+10,693	open	—	04-26 16:00
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	2	$9.4K	12,107	0	+12,107	open	—	04-06 12:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	3	$7.4K	3,693	3,693	+0	open	—	04-30 16:03
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	2	$6.7K	8,132	0	+8,132	open	—	04-17 14:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	32	$6.1K	10,849	7,000	+3,850	open	—	05-02 15:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	3	$5.6K	5,883	2,748	+3,135	open	—	04-29 15:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	9	$5.1K	5,259	0	+5,259	open	—	04-25 15:40
bitcoin above 74k on april 14	3	$4.8K	4,922	0	+4,922	open	—	04-14 13:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	9	$4.1K	6,326	2,800	+3,526	open	—	05-04 15:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	4	$4.0K	2,250	2,234	+16	open	—	04-26 20:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	43	$3.9K	375,201	348,815	+26,386	open	—	04-26 12:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	2	$3.6K	3,597	0	+3,597	open	—	05-03 14:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	2	$3.3K	5,227	0	+5,227	open	—	05-01 13:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	2	$3.1K	4,312	4,312	+0	open	—	04-28 16:00
bitcoin above 74k on april 17	3	$2.6K	2,816	0	+2,816	open	—	04-17 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7AM ET	3	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-17 12:02
bitcoin above 72k on april 12	7	$1.9K	6,229	0	+6,229	open	—	04-12 09:02
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	57	$1.6K	6,019	0	+6,019	open	—	04-12 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	2	$1.4K	781	781	+0	open	—	05-15 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET	6	$1.4K	971	971	+0	open	—	05-15 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2PM ET	2	$1.3K	680	680	+0	open	—	05-17 19:33
bitcoin above 78k on april 23	1	$1.3K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	04-23 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	2	$1.3K	655	655	+0	open	—	05-17 18:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	5	$1.2K	1,669	1,669	+0	No	$-375	05-06 16:12
bitcoin above 80k on february 1	2	$1.2K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	02-01 16:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	8	$1.0K	5,451	0	+5,451	open	—	05-01 08:11
bitcoin above 76k on april 21	1	$1.0K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	04-20 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 15:57:24	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0xc510f3…
06-05 15:08:57	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0x0fd9bd…
06-04 16:01:16	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0xf54e7f…
06-04 15:59:10	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0x934bb9…
06-03 15:46:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0xc0fa30…
06-03 13:34:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0xd6f138…
06-01 16:09:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	639	100¢	$639	0x089b79…
06-01 13:01:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	400	34¢	$137	0x0b95af…
06-01 10:29:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	128	5¢	$6	0xd46d27…
06-01 10:20:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	649	15¢	$100	0x57261b…
06-01 10:14:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	286	13¢	$36	0xbb2aaa…
06-01 10:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xe6b706…
06-01 09:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x485d8d…
06-01 09:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xc83371…
06-01 09:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	28	31¢	$9	0x217912…
06-01 09:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xfdd15c…
05-31 20:12:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x7ca94f…
05-31 13:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x96d810…
05-31 12:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x822854…
05-30 17:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x6eb60a…
05-30 17:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x1b7802…
05-30 17:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xdfba27…
05-30 16:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xfa054e…
05-30 16:06:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x5c325b…
05-30 15:53:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x7f2b1d…
05-30 14:01:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	51	17¢	$8	0x610de7…
05-30 14:00:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x49218e…
05-30 13:58:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	150	18¢	$27	0x767a9c…
05-30 13:57:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	241	16¢	$39	0xd30ee3…
05-30 13:55:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	482	14¢	$67	0x2952a2…
05-30 13:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xc5544d…
05-30 13:00:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	984	10¢	$100	0xfd29ea…
05-30 12:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xbb24a8…
05-30 12:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x2c8334…
05-30 09:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x5fe6dc…
05-30 06:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	119	73¢	$87	0x6bb471…
05-30 06:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x298ce5…
05-29 17:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x49189b…
05-29 17:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xd9471f…
05-29 16:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x706dc1…
05-29 16:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xbef8c1…
05-29 16:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xbeafa8…
05-29 16:01:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	333	100¢	$333	0xbeb635…
05-29 15:58:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x135c6f…
05-29 15:57:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe6da0b…
05-29 15:47:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x2dc1d5…
05-29 15:41:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0xe9f6d8…
05-29 15:06:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x279c10…
05-28 17:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xf55700…
05-27 13:33:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	86	88¢	$76	0x743ec7…
05-27 13:33:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	84	88¢	$74	0x4f48d3…
05-25 15:56:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xe9a765…
05-25 15:22:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xfa4360…
05-25 13:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8a18d1…
05-25 13:12:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	377	8¢	$30	0x55526d…
05-25 07:04:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	377	27¢	$100	0x9b54d8…
05-24 16:03:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x7549b6…
05-24 15:11:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0xff5423…
05-24 15:11:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0x7cf364…
05-24 09:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb37dc8…
05-24 09:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x08cb1b…
05-24 08:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xd9f9a9…
05-24 08:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xe215d9…
05-24 08:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x31bb11…
05-24 08:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xe08645…
05-24 08:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x0a37b7…
05-24 08:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2345d8…
05-24 07:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	290	10¢	$29	0xc464a6…
05-24 07:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x5be182…
05-24 07:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x90990e…
05-23 17:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	271	99¢	$268	0x80981a…
05-23 16:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	271	97¢	$263	0x47bc12…
05-23 16:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	136	99¢	$134	0xd844c7…
05-23 15:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x61075f…
05-23 15:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	84	90¢	$75	0x9fe2aa…
05-23 15:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	124	14¢	$17	0xdb726e…
05-23 15:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x889646…
05-23 15:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2f019f…
05-23 13:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	297	99¢	$294	0x1d8fa2…
05-23 12:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	297	88¢	$261	0x97b2d1…
05-23 11:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	263	100¢	$262	0xfb923f…
05-23 11:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	263	99¢	$260	0x5f5f22…
05-23 08:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe7df1d…
05-23 08:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	161	22¢	$35	0xdbc7c0…
05-23 08:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	161	43¢	$69	0x2d3e09…
05-23 08:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	186	27¢	$50	0x45407f…
05-23 08:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0x440ce6…
05-23 07:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	262	100¢	$262	0x244812…
05-23 06:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	221	95¢	$210	0xe0abf4…
05-23 06:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xeab5e4…
05-22 16:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0xdbd4a5…
05-22 15:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	232	76¢	$176	0xf4459b…
05-21 20:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	180	94¢	$169	0xa56bcf…
05-21 16:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x598f36…
05-21 16:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0x041eec…
05-21 16:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xdd819f…
05-21 16:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	171	98¢	$168	0xc797cf…
05-21 14:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x1b235b…
05-21 13:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	169	94¢	$158	0xef8505…
05-20 17:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	138	95¢	$131	0x7816ed…