Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$381

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.8%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$954

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 03-07 16:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

54% 15% -$376

Other

29% 18% +$16

Crypto

15% 42% -$10

Tech

1% 0% -$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	45	$307	137,657	0	+137,657	Yes	-$307	03-03 19:57
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	2	$123	139	0	+139	No	+$16	02-28 18:48
khamenei seen in public by march 3 664 585 642	1	$100	158	0	+158	No	+$58	02-28 18:39
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	4	$61	140	0	+140	Yes	-$61	03-01 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:05 UTC	5	$52	37	30	+8	Up	+$8	03-01 03:10
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	1	$20	61	0	+61	Yes	+$41	02-22 10:15
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$20	47	0	+47	Yes	+$27	02-22 10:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$19	48	23	+25	Yes	-$1	03-05 10:45
us strikes iraq by february 28	2	$15	15,000	0	+15,000	Yes	-$15	03-04 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:55 UTC	7	$14	12	8	+3	Up	+$2	02-28 21:00
will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	6	$13	12,000	0	+12,000	Yes	-$13	03-06 02:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:50 UTC	6	$11	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	02-28 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:35 UTC	8	$11	15	13	+2	Down	-$2	02-28 20:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$10	40	0	+40	Yes	-$10	03-04 12:51
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$10	03-02 23:16
nothing ever happens khamenei	1	$10	42	0	+42	No	-$10	02-28 19:11
ethereum above 2100 on march 1	1	$10	145	0	+145	No	-$10	03-01 14:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$10	270	0	+270	Yes	-$10	02-28 19:45
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	1	$10	101	0	+101	Yes	-$10	02-28 18:41
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$10	333	0	+333	No	-$10	03-01 02:56
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$10	147	0	+147	No	-$10	03-02 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:00 UTC	2	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	03-01 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:45 UTC	6	$10	108	6	+102	Up	$0	02-28 20:49
iran strike on israel by march 31	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$5	03-01 03:03
cs2 fut prv 2026 02 18	1	$5	10	0	+10	PARIVISION	-$5	02-18 15:02
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$5	19	0	+19	No	-$5	03-04 13:19
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$5	16	0	+16	Yes	+$11	02-18 15:01
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	17	0	+17	Yes	-$5	02-22 09:51
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	1	$5	23	0	+23	No	-$5	03-04 14:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$5	19	0	+19	No	-$5	03-01 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-07 16:40:39	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4d74bb…
03-06 02:13:29	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4884ca…
03-06 01:56:37	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x52ca3e…
03-06 01:55:29	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf583d6…
03-05 12:47:31	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 480 499	Yes	BUY	238	0¢	$1	0x7e6ea5…
03-05 12:46:09	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xdcd8e7…
03-05 12:44:57	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x5e2ec1…
03-05 10:45:31	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8b7f02…
03-05 10:45:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xc07e66…
03-04 23:08:25	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe03839…
03-04 20:54:43	epl ast che 2026 03 04 ast	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x044e04…
03-04 20:54:03	epl ast che 2026 03 04 ast	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcdf27d…
03-04 15:08:57	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd957e1…
03-04 14:05:21	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x74632e…
03-04 13:19:13	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x30662f…
03-04 13:10:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x97f48d…
03-04 13:06:19	will iran strike iraq in march	No	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x330d72…
03-04 12:51:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe44afd…
03-04 03:14:13	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x0cc9cd…
03-04 02:51:41	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x52f6e6…
03-04 02:38:29	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x680082…
03-04 01:39:51	will trump cut off trade with spain	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x1101a1…
03-03 19:57:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5aa0b8…
03-03 18:30:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,550	0¢	$5	0xf10eb3…
03-03 17:32:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xd3a39e…
03-03 17:31:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x3b9d6a…
03-03 17:30:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x94ac23…
03-03 03:08:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	907	0¢	$3	0xff6848…
03-03 01:01:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa5e783…
03-03 00:32:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x89504e…
03-03 00:31:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x50854e…
03-02 23:55:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xc54244…
03-02 23:42:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xc35728…
03-02 23:16:39	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x3cf731…
03-02 19:19:19	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0x615a1f…
03-02 15:38:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0x5e661a…
03-02 07:01:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,445	0¢	$3	0x095f8c…
03-02 07:01:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x09390b…
03-01 23:33:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	800	0¢	$2	0x3033fd…
03-01 23:33:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x04d1aa…
03-01 22:00:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x21dec6…
03-01 22:00:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x8cee27…
03-01 21:57:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x7447e2…
03-01 21:57:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xa57f62…
03-01 21:56:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x9b166a…
03-01 21:56:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	7,500	0¢	$15	0xb8fadf…
03-01 21:49:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xf0ac06…
03-01 21:48:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x3dac64…
03-01 21:48:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	10,540	0¢	$21	0x413ada…
03-01 20:59:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	610	0¢	$1	0x787a96…
03-01 15:56:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	25,955	0¢	$52	0x33813f…
03-01 15:41:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,485	0¢	$5	0xb661b6…
03-01 15:40:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xa8ca92…
03-01 14:48:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xcc4a7d…
03-01 14:46:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x64960b…
03-01 14:30:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x249936…
03-01 14:30:17	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc3ae0a…
03-01 14:13:23	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x75737b…
03-01 14:09:01	ethereum above 2100 on march 1	Yes	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x619061…
03-01 13:36:31	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xc43c0e…
03-01 13:25:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5a3cf4…
03-01 13:18:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x3b45d8…
03-01 13:16:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0xdd5e1d…
03-01 13:15:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	820	0¢	$2	0x886d09…
03-01 13:15:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdc41e4…
03-01 13:15:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x5df850…
03-01 13:10:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x3302a6…
03-01 13:09:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	7,500	0¢	$15	0x602fd4…
03-01 13:08:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xf11bb4…
03-01 13:05:11	ethereum above 2000 on march 1	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x980005…
03-01 12:04:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x0a1c37…
03-01 12:03:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x9899ea…
03-01 12:01:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3cdbfb…
03-01 09:52:19	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	No	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xa1771a…
03-01 09:51:31	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x55c029…
03-01 04:38:43	ethereum above 2500 on march 1	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x003656…
03-01 04:36:53	ethereum above 2500 on march 1	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x11a7ae…
03-01 04:34:55	ethereum above 1500 on march 1	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbc5dfa…
03-01 04:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd83654…
03-01 04:28:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x56bc4e…
03-01 04:27:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1402ff…
03-01 04:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x506c1e…
03-01 04:26:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa64e64…
03-01 04:26:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xeda7cf…
03-01 04:25:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0e28dd…
03-01 04:24:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x22393e…
03-01 04:23:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe56065…
03-01 04:21:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x53108f…
03-01 04:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4280e7…
03-01 04:20:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd19307…
03-01 04:19:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc4376…
03-01 04:02:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x16a68e…
03-01 03:10:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:05 UTC	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x6b8be8…
03-01 03:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x583801…
03-01 03:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x670663…
03-01 03:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xac23ac…
03-01 03:05:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8bfcc4…
03-01 03:04:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x27a7d3…
03-01 03:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x51b0e3…
03-01 03:03:13	iran strike on israel by march 31	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x8e3255…