Homely-Vitamin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.11K

Unrealized P&L

-$53

Hit rate

7.3%

Resolved

231

Trades

373

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$180

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

46% 4% -$2,673

Politics

41% 0% -$4,348

Crypto

10% 3% -$849

Sports

2% 0% -$260

Pop-Culture

0% 20% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	Yes		+179,802	$233	0¢	$180	-$53	10-28 16:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	11	$3.9K	282,529	0	+282,529	No	-$3,871	02-14 12:49
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$909	709,460	0	+709,460	No	-$909	03-17 15:46
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$800	100,000	100,000	+0	No	-$200	03-16 14:33
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$744	1,873	873	+1,000	No	+$636	02-14 12:46
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	6	$734	733,930	0	+733,930	Yes	-$734	02-28 12:46
will judy shelton attend the 2026 state of the union address	8	$539	8,952	0	+8,952	No	-$539	02-25 01:59
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$300	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$300	03-08 21:19
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	7	$233	179,802	0	+179,802	open	—	10-28 16:45
will jd vance attend super bowl lx	9	$160	50,215	0	+50,215	No	-$160	02-09 01:34
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte3	4	$146	13,029	0	+13,029	No	-$146	07-13 16:39
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	2	$133	133,300	0	+133,300	No	-$133	08-18 18:33
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	3	$124	100,280	0	+100,280	No	-$124	04-18 21:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$109	109,000	0	+109,000	No	-$109	04-28 16:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$106	9,662	0	+9,662	No	-$106	06-02 11:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$100	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$100	04-28 13:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$100	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$100	04-28 13:05
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the champion of coal event 614 377	2	$87	1,096	1,096	+0	No	-$85	02-11 21:59
will delcy rodriguez attend the 2026 state of the union address	6	$61	7,081	0	+7,081	No	-$61	02-25 01:46
will xrp reach 1pt3 august 10 16 2026	2	$60	58,150	0	+58,150	No	-$60	08-16 12:34
Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?	3	$58	55,500	0	+55,500	No	-$58	08-30 13:15
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on October 3?	1	$50	972	0	+972	No	-$50	10-03 14:08
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	2	$50	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	-$50	04-18 21:46
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$50	8,333	8,333	+0	No	$0	02-27 22:13
will trump post potus this week on truth social	2	$49	49,150	0	+49,150	Yes	-$49	04-23 00:22
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$43	8,333	8,333	+0	No	-$7	02-27 22:15
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$42	8,333	8,333	+0	No	-$8	02-27 22:15
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	2	$42	8,333	8,333	+0	No	-$8	02-27 22:15
will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	1	$40	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$40	07-23 16:26
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	3	$35	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$35	04-15 22:15
will stephen curry win the 2026 nba all star game mvp 379	2	$32	30,012	0	+30,012	No	-$32	02-11 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:41:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,720	0¢	$26	0x635e19…
10-28 16:45:08	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	55,000	0¢	$55	0xf62008…
10-28 12:44:37	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	16,870	0¢	$17	0x2e6a52…
10-27 17:32:08	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	40,000	0¢	$40	0x0693b2…
10-26 13:07:06	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	49,005	0¢	$50	0xcbfc23…
10-23 15:08:14	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	8,373	0¢	$25	0xa9052d…
10-20 13:04:00	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	7,966	0¢	$24	0x4fcbc3…
10-12 13:28:17	Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?	Yes	BUY	549	1¢	$5	0xdbf55e…
10-12 13:24:44	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,588	1¢	$22	0xcc094e…
10-12 13:16:45	Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	368	1¢	$3	0xfca6ba…
10-12 11:38:50	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2,464	1¢	$20	0x402fe3…
10-03 14:10:32	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	164	5¢	$8	0xbef562…
10-03 14:08:38	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	972	5¢	$50	0x2e1813…
09-30 15:51:59	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	94	7¢	$7	0x60ce7d…
09-29 09:09:44	will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb4bf43…
09-29 09:06:59	Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?	Yes	BUY	897	0¢	$2	0x38d28f…
09-29 09:05:05	will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xcbf83b…
09-19 13:40:12	Southampton FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x80cfb7…
09-19 13:30:12	will xrp reach 1pt55 on september 19 2026	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x2f5517…
09-19 13:05:48	Exact Score: Hamburger SV 3 - 0 1. FC Köln?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xce0524…
09-16 15:36:39	bitcoin above 76000 on september 16 2026 12pm et	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6a8b51…
09-15 18:24:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x0ba1ce…
09-15 18:08:00	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xb07625…
09-15 18:06:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	1,185	1¢	$13	0x16458c…
09-15 18:02:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x8ec5cc…
09-15 17:38:48	bitcoin above 77800 on september 15 2026 2pm et	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x6481cf…
08-30 13:15:03	Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?	Yes	BUY	40,000	0¢	$40	0xa74b02…
08-29 12:34:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x88dc5a…
08-29 12:26:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x642e1f…
08-29 12:18:43	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x069d41…
08-29 12:17:21	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf6bdb5…
08-29 12:14:22	Will XRP reach $2.00 in August?	Yes	BUY	131	1¢	$1	0x7c4bae…
08-29 12:13:45	Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?	Yes	BUY	13,000	0¢	$13	0xdc2033…
08-18 18:33:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0xba82b7…
08-17 22:49:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x1a295f…
08-17 22:42:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3b1e6c…
08-17 22:40:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x15d0a9…
08-17 22:38:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	207	5¢	$10	0xcedc4d…
08-17 22:34:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6d0889…
08-17 22:28:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb37d39…
08-17 22:23:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xda77e7…
08-17 22:23:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9a5b4e…
08-17 22:22:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x00a108…
08-17 22:22:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa6af1a…
08-17 22:19:18	Solana Up or Down - August 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xebe865…
08-17 22:18:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1293da…
08-17 22:13:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdecdd0…
08-17 22:09:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7bb4b6…
08-17 21:04:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x16509c…
08-17 20:59:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x349d07…
08-17 20:54:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1f6b24…
08-17 20:39:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	201	0¢	$1	0xb88a67…
08-17 20:37:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x3d27ed…
08-17 15:31:33	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	33,300	0¢	$33	0x9ecd4c…
08-17 15:24:27	will xrp reach 3 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x0c7fb2…
08-16 12:34:48	will xrp reach 1pt3 august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	29,815	0¢	$30	0xd468e2…
08-16 11:26:57	will xrp reach 1pt3 august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	28,334	0¢	$30	0x4800ee…
08-09 13:13:45	xrp above 1pt2 on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	19,760	0¢	$20	0x1df5fd…
08-02 11:38:21	xrp up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x6a7733…
08-02 11:37:50	xrp up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	190	3¢	$7	0x003964…
07-28 13:18:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,478	1¢	$9	0x12f03b…
07-28 13:17:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xacde70…
07-28 13:17:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x293a51…
07-28 11:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x066169…
07-28 11:12:35	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x6e8641…
07-28 11:11:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x851bd4…
07-28 11:09:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x663dc8…
07-28 11:08:35	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x266c3d…
07-28 10:24:35	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x37948a…
07-28 10:24:28	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x9ad101…
07-24 15:08:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaf878f…
07-24 14:43:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0xb5b07d…
07-24 14:43:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0x35ff09…
07-24 14:11:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x5d046a…
07-24 10:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe816e1…
07-24 10:29:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x5e6945…
07-24 10:27:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x2a2e8e…
07-24 10:12:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xe4587a…
07-24 09:59:06	Solana Up or Down - July 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x85ba7b…
07-24 09:58:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xd75afc…
07-24 09:58:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xb44674…
07-24 09:58:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0xa88761…
07-24 09:44:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd46c79…
07-24 09:40:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7a50f9…
07-24 09:29:48	Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x03433c…
07-24 09:27:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc7ad14…
07-24 09:26:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x471015…
07-24 09:25:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x90dd63…
07-24 09:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	370	0¢	$1	0x69b7b6…
07-24 09:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x323eab…
07-24 09:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5c971b…
07-24 09:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x0c6ab7…
07-24 09:20:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	270	0¢	$1	0x7fd0f8…
07-24 09:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	131	1¢	$1	0x2d583a…
07-23 16:26:33	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$40	0x0fb5f9…
07-22 16:12:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x4a45f4…
07-22 12:09:33	Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8,010	0¢	$8	0x0bd979…
07-22 12:09:31	Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,940	0¢	$2	0x4bd6fc…
07-13 16:39:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte3	Yes	BUY	249	1¢	$3	0xe9bb90…
07-13 16:39:16	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	Yes	SELL	207	0¢	$0	0x7c63c9…