Unsung-Peanut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$48

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-24 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

64% 98% -$19

Crypto

24% 100% +$1

Politics

10% 83% -$9

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		-50	-$47	95¢	$-48	$0	05-28 12:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	03-21 14:29
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	01-27 11:56
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$47	0	50	-50	open	—	05-28 12:14
spx up or down on february 9 2026	4	$43	50	50	+0	Up	-$20	02-09 15:46
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	02-26 15:04
will the bad bunny apple music super bowl halftime show video get less than 30 million views on day 1	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$1	02-09 15:45
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-06 14:31
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 11	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	04-11 15:08
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	07-18 10:28
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-04 15:27
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-24 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-16 13:00
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-18 10:28
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-08 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-18 10:28
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 6corbelow	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-11 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on June 9?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-08 14:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on August 5?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-03 13:30
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 420 439	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-09 16:19
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-26 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on August 22?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-20 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 22?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-20 15:38
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 420 439	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-08 14:27
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 23?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-22 03:08
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-22 03:08
bitcoin above 62k on february 26	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	02-26 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-18 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 4?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-03 13:29
ethereum above 1600 on march 12	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	03-11 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-08 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 15:38:54	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc13efd…
10-24 15:38:35	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x308c0a…
10-07 17:51:28	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x673d69…
10-07 07:16:42	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x53c18a…
10-07 02:57:57	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x452076…
10-04 15:28:05	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xecba2c…
10-04 15:27:37	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x07a5eb…
10-04 15:27:02	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0940be…
09-16 13:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3d5d0d…
09-16 13:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x530886…
09-16 13:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ae32f…
09-16 13:00:34	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbc521a…
09-01 13:36:37	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d9877…
08-20 15:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x19383e…
08-20 15:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on August 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0a436b…
08-03 13:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff5f81…
08-03 13:30:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 4?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x562e94…
08-03 13:30:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 5?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xde6410…
08-03 13:30:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on August 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6a9557…
08-03 13:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8df9c3…
07-18 10:28:42	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4f6df4…
07-18 10:28:37	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa19266…
07-18 10:28:33	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x381563…
07-18 10:28:27	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6b4c7e…
07-03 11:10:11	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa4e7f1…
07-03 11:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb50304…
07-03 11:09:53	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x76db16…
07-03 11:09:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc52f60…
07-03 11:09:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x538394…
06-22 03:09:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9ec142…
06-22 03:08:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 23?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x797593…
06-22 03:08:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe7ba3c…
06-22 03:08:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x582143…
06-22 03:08:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf2e81a…
06-22 03:08:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42d852…
06-08 14:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xff8e74…
06-08 14:00:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x02a4f3…
06-08 14:00:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5ab6ee…
06-08 14:00:18	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x509117…
05-28 12:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5a7bae…
05-28 12:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xaf60e0…
05-28 12:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc62d36…
05-28 12:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 29?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0adc21…
05-28 12:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6e8b7d…
05-28 12:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 29?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6e81dd…
05-28 12:14:32	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xddec7d…
05-21 13:53:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x42ea15…
05-21 13:53:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51d6d9…
05-21 13:53:29	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x039bf8…
05-06 14:31:19	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1026ab…
04-24 15:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaaf27c…
04-24 15:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc62f9e…
04-15 14:25:00	highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 14corbelow	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf59b1f…
04-15 14:24:28	ethereum above 2600 on april 16	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0c4c32…
04-11 15:10:29	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 6corbelow	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2028c7…
04-11 15:10:19	highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x05e89f…
04-11 15:09:13	highest temperature in taipei on april 12 2026 27c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb70328…
04-11 15:09:05	highest temperature in taipei on april 12 2026 26c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x96f338…
04-11 15:08:37	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 11	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7727ec…
03-21 14:29:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x125f35…
03-11 15:42:11	ethereum above 1600 on march 12	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdc0f6e…
02-26 15:04:18	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8c4dee…
02-26 15:04:08	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x025864…
02-26 15:03:50	bitcoin above 62k on february 26	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfef08f…
02-09 16:19:37	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 420 439	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb675bc…
02-09 16:19:25	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb48f62…
02-09 15:46:41	spx up or down on february 9 2026	Down	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xbf45b6…
02-09 15:45:51	will the bad bunny apple music super bowl halftime show video get less than 30 million views on day 1	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xaa1d94…
02-09 15:38:09	spx up or down on february 9 2026	Down	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0x613ffa…
02-09 15:38:01	spx up or down on february 9 2026	Down	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x76bf83…
02-09 14:35:41	will the bad bunny apple music super bowl halftime show video get less than 30 million views on day 1	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x589d8c…
02-09 14:32:53	spx up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xb9d6f2…
01-27 11:56:21	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0c5487…
01-08 14:27:00	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 420 439	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0813d1…