Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$498

Unrealized P&L

-$41

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$58.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$196

Open exposure

$422

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-16 04:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

65% 0% $-17

Politics

22% 100% +$515

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Weed rescheduled by December 31?	No		-541	$-381	78¢	$-422	$-41	06-16 04:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?	3	$3.6K	2,021	2,021	+0	open	—	04-11 17:33
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	4	$2.7K	1,828	1,828	+0	open	—	04-13 04:22
elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	2	$2.5K	1,801	1,801	+0	open	—	04-09 22:11
will israel strike 3 countries in january 2026	12	$2.2K	2,451	1,821	+630	open	—	01-10 06:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.7K	989	989	+0	open	—	04-12 14:53
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	2	$1.6K	923	923	+0	open	—	02-03 20:45
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	3	$1.5K	1,665	92	+1,573	Yes	+$198	04-27 09:03
will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	5	$1.4K	1,401	1,401	+0	open	—	03-19 14:53
will club brugge advance to the round of 16	3	$1.3K	858	858	+0	open	—	02-12 20:25
foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	4	$1.3K	777	777	+0	open	—	01-10 04:01
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on April 30?	2	$1.2K	703	703	+0	open	—	04-11 08:41
will trump post bomb or bomber on truth social this week	3	$1.2K	1,252	1,252	+0	open	—	03-24 07:23
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	2	$1.1K	1,056	0	+1,056	open	—	02-28 09:50
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$1.0K	715	715	+0	open	—	04-11 18:18
will january 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	8	$976	1,340	1,340	+0	open	—	01-09 02:02
will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in january 2026	7	$963	1,337	1,337	+0	open	—	01-09 00:14
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	2	$940	783	783	+0	open	—	03-31 02:31
bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 btts	4	$909	988	988	+0	open	—	02-11 03:31
arg riv cat 2026 03 08 draw	2	$902	859	859	+0	open	—	04-12 20:58
will henrique gouveia e melo win between 12 and 14 of votes in the first round	3	$854	560	395	+165	open	—	01-11 06:21
will trump say hang or hanging this week march 8	6	$845	741	741	+0	open	—	02-28 19:35
israel x syria security agreement by march 31	2	$834	515	515	+0	open	—	02-05 16:39
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	3	$801	989	989	+0	open	—	03-10 13:58
will israel strike gaza on february 6 2026	4	$777	795	795	+0	open	—	02-04 11:14
another us bank failure by march 31	7	$763	1,440	1,440	+0	open	—	02-12 12:25
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	3	$718	771	762	+9	open	—	04-11 06:20
will team falcons make it to the blast open rotterdam grand final	3	$712	1,210	680	+530	open	—	03-26 10:57
will allstate run an ad during super bowl lx	5	$705	1,119	1,119	+0	open	—	02-08 15:42
scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 total 2pt5	3	$672	1,319	0	+1,319	open	—	03-06 09:47
bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 draw	2	$656	529	529	+0	open	—	02-10 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 04:33:58	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	No	SELL	541	70¢	$381	0x38672c…
04-27 09:03:00	Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	92	80¢	$74	0x18f42c…
04-23 08:06:38	Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	844	87¢	$734	0xf7ee0a…
04-23 08:06:14	Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	821	87¢	$714	0xc7291e…
04-21 03:11:30	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	340	100¢	$339	0x4c2de6…
04-13 10:05:57	Will Jordana Morais be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	352	30¢	$105	0x671937…
04-13 09:08:17	will starmer say nhs during the next prime ministers questions event	No	SELL	923	15¢	$138	0x508974…
04-13 08:35:43	elc por ips 2026 01 04 spread away 1pt5	Portsmouth FC	BUY	233	75¢	$175	0xfb9e2f…
04-13 04:22:25	Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	433	78¢	$338	0x69b2dd…
04-13 04:20:53	Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	624	78¢	$487	0xc718cb…
04-12 20:58:49	arg riv cat 2026 03 08 draw	No	SELL	859	26¢	$223	0x68fcfa…
04-12 17:51:23	Will Jordana Morais be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	352	15¢	$52	0x553e06…
04-12 17:18:55	arg riv cat 2026 03 08 draw	No	BUY	859	79¢	$679	0xbd1944…
04-12 15:20:37	Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	771	73¢	$563	0xf0ab0d…
04-12 14:53:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	989	87¢	$860	0x0edb0b…
04-12 11:26:15	Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	1,828	72¢	$1,316	0xd3a739…
04-12 11:12:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	989	87¢	$860	0x9e2199…
04-11 18:18:05	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	715	72¢	$515	0x529ede…
04-11 17:33:19	Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	483	96¢	$464	0xaf718d…
04-11 13:34:53	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	61¢	$107	0x36926b…
04-11 13:34:47	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	61¢	$101	0xae166d…
04-11 11:17:39	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	715	73¢	$522	0x0ff4c6…
04-11 10:55:33	will starmer say nhs during the next prime ministers questions event	No	BUY	923	42¢	$388	0x688d2f…
04-11 08:41:59	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on April 30?	No	SELL	703	88¢	$619	0xb2c6ae…
04-11 06:20:47	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	SELL	762	76¢	$579	0xc58dd8…
04-09 22:11:43	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	No	SELL	1,801	66¢	$1,189	0xb8f308…
04-09 17:19:43	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	No	BUY	1,801	75¢	$1,351	0x9e3b94…
04-09 17:01:55	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	BUY	67	18¢	$12	0xa41ecb…
04-09 17:01:45	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	BUY	704	18¢	$127	0x39eac2…
04-09 16:03:03	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on April 30?	No	BUY	703	88¢	$619	0xab0733…
04-09 13:29:51	will the total number of tsa passengers for april 6 april 12 be between 17000000 and 17500000	Yes	SELL	794	32¢	$254	0x8ab598…
04-09 11:48:41	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	574	11¢	$63	0xe3cf8f…
04-09 11:26:21	will the total number of tsa passengers for april 6 april 12 be between 17500000 and 18000000	Yes	SELL	446	64¢	$285	0xc1e976…
04-09 10:24:33	Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	1,538	88¢	$1,353	0xf86f5b…
04-09 10:05:47	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	SELL	889	22¢	$196	0x1408f1…
04-08 16:26:11	Will Ghada Omar as Yor Forger (SPY x FAMILY Season 3) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	BUY	448	25¢	$112	0xc5c9d6…
04-08 08:23:15	will the total number of tsa passengers for april 6 april 12 be between 17000000 and 17500000	Yes	BUY	794	31¢	$246	0xdd05b8…
04-08 07:41:55	will the total number of tsa passengers for april 6 april 12 be between 17500000 and 18000000	Yes	BUY	446	34¢	$152	0x696f3e…
04-08 06:36:03	will trump say kuwait during events with rutte	Yes	BUY	734	32¢	$235	0x746795…
04-07 15:33:15	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	889	21¢	$187	0xed5ed8…
04-07 15:12:15	Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	2,021	87¢	$1,758	0x774536…
04-07 12:49:33	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	574	14¢	$80	0xa59fd6…
03-31 02:31:43	Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	No	SELL	783	57¢	$446	0xbea507…
03-30 10:07:42	Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	No	BUY	783	63¢	$493	0x02c875…
03-26 10:57:19	will team falcons make it to the blast open rotterdam grand final	Yes	SELL	680	46¢	$313	0x405cc6…
03-26 07:36:45	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	SELL	186	63¢	$117	0xe91ed4…
03-25 06:55:29	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xddb747…
03-24 07:23:09	will trump post bomb or bomber on truth social this week	Yes	SELL	224	62¢	$139	0x9c9b57…
03-24 07:22:55	will trump post bomb or bomber on truth social this week	Yes	SELL	1,028	62¢	$637	0xf2e18d…
03-24 05:24:15	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	277	35¢	$97	0x4215fa…
03-24 05:24:05	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0xa1d86c…
03-24 05:23:45	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x53cd5f…
03-23 06:19:03	will trump post bomb or bomber on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	1,252	36¢	$451	0xf26ab1…
03-20 16:23:23	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	156	33¢	$51	0x660af5…
03-20 16:22:59	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	177	33¢	$58	0xd518e7…
03-20 09:59:07	will team falcons make it to the blast open rotterdam grand final	Yes	BUY	610	33¢	$201	0xb5f448…
03-20 09:58:51	will team falcons make it to the blast open rotterdam grand final	Yes	BUY	600	33¢	$198	0xbe123d…
03-19 14:53:47	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	SELL	751	63¢	$473	0x8d1ca0…
03-18 06:05:57	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	BUY	751	68¢	$511	0x35574a…
03-17 15:58:15	cs2 ecs nemi1 2026 03 07 game2 odd even total kills	Even	BUY	592	19¢	$112	0x463ce6…
03-16 10:46:45	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	Yes	SELL	650	31¢	$202	0x9904e1…
03-16 08:45:55	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	136	59¢	$80	0x424ee4…
03-16 08:45:11	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	146	59¢	$86	0xaaef75…
03-16 08:43:27	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	174	59¢	$103	0x5d8b4e…
03-15 10:03:07	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	456	63¢	$287	0x85361d…
03-14 11:45:43	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	511	26¢	$133	0x44ddf2…
03-14 11:45:31	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	139	26¢	$36	0xfb4d9e…
03-11 10:23:39	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	338	21¢	$71	0x71de12…
03-11 03:01:35	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	750	18¢	$135	0x56792d…
03-10 14:14:09	will frankenstein win exactly 2 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x6fc6f8…
03-10 14:13:53	will frankenstein win exactly 2 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	166	16¢	$27	0x36fcfb…
03-10 14:04:21	will all the empty rooms win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 268	Yes	SELL	88	67¢	$59	0x58608c…
03-10 13:58:41	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	SELL	481	42¢	$202	0x0de6a2…
03-10 13:56:39	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	SELL	508	42¢	$213	0x44225c…
03-06 10:48:49	will all the empty rooms win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 268	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x3d53f5…
03-06 10:34:19	will frankenstein win exactly 2 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x78344a…
03-06 10:34:17	will frankenstein win exactly 2 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	179	16¢	$29	0x0d6cc9…
03-06 10:24:01	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	BUY	1,088	29¢	$316	0x3f8f9b…
03-06 09:58:27	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	989	39¢	$386	0xfa1bfc…
03-06 09:47:29	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	469	53¢	$249	0x27a37b…
03-06 09:04:01	spl kho qad 2026 03 05 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x2d41e7…
02-28 19:35:51	will trump say hang or hanging this week march 8	Yes	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x1bd514…
02-28 19:35:37	will trump say hang or hanging this week march 8	Yes	SELL	653	83¢	$542	0x4816e5…
02-28 19:35:19	will trump say hang or hanging this week march 8	Yes	SELL	73	83¢	$61	0x66d6ef…
02-28 17:38:09	will trump say hang or hanging this week march 8	Yes	BUY	73	31¢	$23	0x0094ef…
02-28 17:37:47	will trump say hang or hanging this week march 8	Yes	BUY	653	31¢	$202	0x6d52bd…
02-28 17:37:35	will trump say hang or hanging this week march 8	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xa08aa5…
02-28 12:30:41	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	395	52¢	$205	0x20e5d5…
02-28 11:05:43	will nick tran be the republican nominee for tx 08	Yes	SELL	341	2¢	$7	0xeaad8b…
02-28 11:05:25	will nick tran be the republican nominee for tx 08	Yes	SELL	808	2¢	$16	0x30bf6e…
02-28 10:04:53	will nick tran be the republican nominee for tx 08	Yes	BUY	1,149	1¢	$13	0x99fd51…
02-28 09:50:05	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	No	BUY	515	100¢	$514	0x89fa46…
02-28 09:46:13	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	455	48¢	$218	0xc9ebc2…
02-28 08:06:47	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	164	97¢	$160	0x82c4ca…
02-16 11:40:09	another crypto hack over 100m before 2027	No	SELL	881	6¢	$56	0x055684…
02-15 12:59:45	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	No	BUY	541	100¢	$539	0x546596…
02-14 16:20:37	another crypto hack over 100m before 2027	No	BUY	881	24¢	$211	0xebec91…
02-14 09:59:25	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	No	SELL	149	39¢	$58	0xdd5ff8…
02-14 06:02:53	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	No	BUY	149	40¢	$60	0x49554f…
02-13 21:12:05	will israel strike lebanon on february 16 2026	Yes	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0xeb4b54…