Smooth-Double — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

4,523

Trades

39,649

lifetime

Volume

$1.43M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-27 20:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 82% +$10,747

Other

6% 100% +$457

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Down	+$7	10-26 16:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:10 UTC	2	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Up	+$7	10-13 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Up	+$7	10-26 12:55
Solana Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Down	+$7	10-17 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Down	+$7	10-26 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Down	+$7	10-18 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Up	+$7	10-05 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Down	+$7	10-19 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Down	+$7	10-18 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Down	+$7	10-22 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Down	+$7	10-08 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Down	+$7	10-27 01:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 03:00 UTC	1	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Up	+$7	10-05 03:15
ethereum up or down on september 29 2026	1	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Down	+$10	09-29 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	1	$7.0K	7,000	+7,000	Up	-$6,984	10-05 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	17	$6.9K	7,000	+7,000	Down	+$70	10-24 14:01
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	1	$6.9K	7,000	+7,000	Up	+$70	10-17 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$6.9K	7,000	+7,000	Up	+$70	10-09 05:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 22:15 UTC	1	$6.9K	7,000	+7,000	Down	+$129	10-03 22:30
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:35 UTC	1	$6.8K	7,000	+7,000	Up	+$210	09-29 21:40
dogecoin up or down october 4 2026 6pm et	1	$5.8K	5,865	+5,865	Down	+$59	10-04 23:00
Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5.0K	5,000	+5,000	Down	+$5	09-01 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$5.0K	5,000	+5,000	Down	+$5	09-19 07:27
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 08:00 UTC	1	$5.0K	5,000	+5,000	Up	+$5	08-21 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$5.0K	5,000	+5,000	Up	+$5	09-03 00:00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 2PM ET	2	$5.0K	5,000	+5,000	Down	+$5	09-05 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5.0K	5,000	+5,000	Down	+$5	09-03 12:30
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 8AM ET	1	$5.0K	5,000	+5,000	Up	+$5	10-20 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:05 UTC	1	$5.0K	5,000	+5,000	Up	+$5	09-25 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$5.0K	5,000	+5,000	Down	+$5	09-13 11:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:00:26	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x77b8cb…
10-27 19:15:03	ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd159e8…
10-27 07:00:02	HYPE Up or Down - October 27, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc3d763…
10-27 06:05:03	ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe29e0f…
10-27 03:00:03	ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ea424…
10-27 02:45:03	ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa87a82…
10-27 01:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,373	100¢	$1,372	0x18c523…
10-27 01:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5,627	100¢	$5,621	0x82ec4a…
10-26 16:45:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7,000	100¢	$6,993	0x6d53c1…
10-26 16:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0xa9e250…
10-26 12:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3,410	100¢	$3,407	0xedf138…
10-26 12:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3,458	100¢	$3,455	0xc98ffc…
10-26 12:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x37de91…
10-26 12:00:02	HYPE Up or Down - October 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa665dc…
10-26 10:55:03	ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70613e…
10-26 10:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7,000	100¢	$6,993	0x80aee0…
10-26 09:00:02	HYPE Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf2b9fc…
10-26 07:00:02	HYPE Up or Down - October 26, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdf0952…
10-26 06:00:02	HYPE Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe57341…
10-26 05:00:03	HYPE Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbfb297…
10-26 03:00:02	HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x612b53…
10-26 02:00:03	HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x037878…
10-26 01:35:03	ZCash Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d33c2…
10-26 01:00:03	HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc72e0b…
10-25 23:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x615e4d…
10-25 23:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf20872…
10-25 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2,187	100¢	$2,185	0xb5a790…
10-25 23:00:03	HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x301b6e…
10-25 22:00:03	HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf72ea2…
10-25 17:00:03	HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1638d9…
10-25 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcdef87…
10-25 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc68bbb…
10-25 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbedf93…
10-25 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6d8f45…
10-25 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x689f97…
10-25 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x624a75…
10-25 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2d9540…
10-25 16:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x246e6c…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf76526…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf51053…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb0fc3…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe94823…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc30781…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb41b81…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1672a…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa40063…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7eec6e…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x75b37b…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x68cca1…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4bac7f…
10-25 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x325318…
10-25 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe4a8c1…
10-25 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2d6995…
10-25 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x090c08…
10-25 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x00f690…
10-25 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	348	100¢	$347	0xbbb3aa…
10-25 12:00:02	HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdff1c2…
10-25 10:00:02	HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7e4e1b…
10-25 09:00:02	HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe89971…
10-25 07:00:03	HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd7ec05…
10-25 06:00:02	HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x183977…
10-24 23:30:03	ZCash Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5a5f6…
10-24 23:00:02	HYPE Up or Down - October 24, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5bfcc6…
10-24 22:00:03	HYPE Up or Down - October 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x44f387…
10-24 19:00:03	HYPE Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x581074…
10-24 18:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x5252ef…
10-24 14:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbad798…
10-24 14:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7d669f…
10-24 14:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,784	99¢	$1,766	0x7737a3…
10-24 14:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6eb47a…
10-24 14:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2,752	99¢	$2,725	0x1c9ac9…
10-24 14:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	335	99¢	$332	0x6c62ae…
10-24 14:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	167	99¢	$165	0x57ae67…
10-24 14:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	586	99¢	$580	0x0e941c…
10-24 14:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfc4161…
10-24 14:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xd3fc71…
10-24 14:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xcf5462…
10-24 14:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x9cca59…
10-24 14:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x7e1d62…
10-24 14:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3e4a0c…
10-24 14:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	153	99¢	$152	0x13d3ca…
10-24 14:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0x5b90df…
10-24 14:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	207	99¢	$205	0x2f9ed4…
10-24 13:00:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa8fd07…
10-24 09:00:03	HYPE Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6ea4ec…
10-24 07:35:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xad1fe0…
10-24 00:00:03	HYPE Up or Down - October 23, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x63d5c5…
10-23 20:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe547df…
10-23 20:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x78b99e…
10-23 20:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5702eb…
10-23 20:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3e8c21…
10-23 20:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa567fe…
10-23 20:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x9dbcb3…
10-23 20:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x71ad62…
10-23 20:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49ee7a…
10-23 20:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x464a0d…
10-23 20:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb30a41…
10-23 20:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x10d4e9…
10-23 20:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf5c3e2…
10-23 20:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xdc7bb8…